This Matchweek

ParmaMonza

Parma v Monza result

Full-time · Parma 1–1 Monza

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · Monza

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 1–1 Monza — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monza: 2.11 to 0.62 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Parma and Monza drew 1–1 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Sunday 6 September.

The goals

Monza led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Monza: Jay Robinson (38’, assisted by Ricardo Mangas); Parma: Simone Lontani (60’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Simone Lontani’s goal on 60 minutes.

Discipline

F. La Penna showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Parma: Mandela Keita (66’) and Pontus Almqvist (83’); Monza: Michael Folorunsho (41’) and Leonardo Colombo (68’).

What it changes

Parma move up from 17th to 15th (three league matches played).

Monza move up from 18th to 16th (three league matches played).

Parma are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Monza have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ricardo Mangas (Monza) 6.3, Jay Robinson (Monza) 6.2 and Simone Lontani (Parma) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Parma are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Monza, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Parma next host Bologna on 7 November 2026.

Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 1–1 Monza · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: F. La Penna
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Parma 1 · draws 3 · Monza 0 · 1.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 2W 0D 3L · Monza 2W 0D 3L

Parma 1–1 Monza (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 7.13 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · F. La Penna
27.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParma for / againstLineMonza for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.25our book
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: F. La Penna — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 27.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi390270 min103.3 /9031 /9000 /90
G. Daffara19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
2.65/4

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato390270 min31 /9062 /9031 /9082.7 /9000 /9010.3 /90
E. Valeri390270 min103.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90134.3 /9031 /9000 /90
M. Troilo388265 min31 /9031 /9020.7 /9082.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Sascha Britschgi386257 min51.8 /9010.4 /9000 /9082.8 /9031.1 /9000 /90
D. Drobnic290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9042 /9000 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ordoñez n 875.5
0.62/1
1.66/2
Ricardo Mangas
E. Touré n 470.5
0.61/1
0.62/0
—
Mandela Keita n 869.1
0.32/0
1.66/3
Ricardo Mangas
E. Valeri n 876.8
0.74/1
0.63/1
Ricardo Mangas
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Ordoñez n 875.5
2.76/5
E. Touré n 470.5
0.61/1
Mandela Keita n 869.1
2.15/3
E. Valeri n 876.8
2.16/4
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.96/1
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Touré471282 min00 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9031 /9031 /90
S. Lontani371214 min20.8 /9000 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9031.3 /90
M. Frigan24386 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
David Romero23773 min00 /9000 /9056.2 /9033.7 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Elphege14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9000 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ordoñez n 875.5
0.74/1
00/0
E. Touré n 470.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
Mandela Keita n 869.1
0.53/0
0.32/0
E. Valeri n 876.8
0.93/3
0.32/0
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ordoñez n 875.5
00/0
00/0
E. Touré n 470.5
00/0
0.31/0
Mandela Keita n 869.1
0.21/0
00/0
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Del Prato n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Thiam390270 min31 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Pizzignacco19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Thiam n 891.1
1.94/2
S. Pizzignacco n 880.8
3.16/4

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Kouadio490360 min123 /90123 /9010.3 /90123 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
A. Carboni390270 min20.7 /9031 /9020.7 /9093 /9041.3 /9000 /90
L. Lucchesi380239 min20.8 /90155.6 /9041.5 /90124.5 /9072.6 /9020.8 /90
F. Delli Carri260119 min43 /9021.5 /9000 /90129.1 /9021.5 /9000 /90
Y. Maye17676 min33.6 /9000 /9000 /901011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Kouadio n 490
0.82/1
00/0
—
Ricardo Mangas n 485
1.13/1
1.34/1
E. Valeri
P. Cutrone n 857.3
1.85/3
1.84/3
—
A. Colpani n 851
0.42/0
2.27/3
—
A. Carboni n 887.5
1.27/2
0.32/0
—
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Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 490
34/3
Ricardo Mangas n 485
1.12/2
P. Cutrone n 857.3
1.65/3
A. Colpani n 851
0.21/0
A. Carboni n 887.5
1.25/3
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Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Cutrone455220 min00 /9020.8 /9083.3 /9031.2 /9083.3 /9020.8 /90
Gustavo Varela385254 min41.4 /9000 /9082.8 /9041.4 /9000 /9031.1 /90
O. Forson353160 min10.6 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9073.9 /9021.1 /90
Jay Robinson17676 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9022.4 /9044.7 /90
Dany Mota17070 min11.3 /9000 /9033.9 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
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Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 490
0.31/0
00/0
Ricardo Mangas n 485
1.63/1
0.82/1
P. Cutrone n 857.3
2.96/5
1.85/3
A. Colpani n 851
26/3
0.94/0
A. Carboni n 887.5
0.95/2
0.43/0
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Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Kouadio n 490
00/0
00/0
Ricardo Mangas n 485
00/0
0.31/0
P. Cutrone n 857.3
0.41/1
0.41/1
A. Colpani n 851
0.21/0
00/0
A. Carboni n 887.5
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaMonza
46%Possession54%
0.73Expected goals (xG)1.72
7Shots16
3Shots on target5
2Shots off target9
2Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box13
6Corners3
0Offsides4
16Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves2
347Passes410
78%Pass accuracy84%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Corvi9000000008.2
E. Del Prato9000001106.3
M. Troilo9000001107
Mandela Keita90000001Y6.7
E. Valeri9000003007.2
E. Touré9000210006.9
Sascha Britschgi7700000206.9
David Romero5500000006.2
Diego Carlos4500100006.2
C. Ordoñez4500000006.9
G. Fabbian4500000206.5
L. Valenti sub4500000006.9
Vincent Sierro sub4500000106.6
M. Frigan sub4500001106.7
S. Lontani sub3510220107.9
P. Almqvist sub13000001Y6.7

Monza Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ricardo Mangas9001002306.9
L. Lucchesi9000210106.9
M. Folorunsho90002010Y6.2
S. Birindelli9000103106.9
E. Akinsanmiro9000000206.3
D. Thiam9000001007.3
Jay Robinson8110110108.2
E. Kouadio8100111006.9
A. Carboni8100101006.9
Dany Mota6200312106.9
O. Forson5400101006.7
A. Colpani sub3600113006.9
L. Colombo sub28000000Y6.2
A. Bakoune sub900000006.6
Y. Maye sub900100006.9
M. Mout sub900000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
MonzaLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Parma 1 · 3 draws · Monza 0 · 1.75 goals/game
  • 2025-03-15 Monza 1–1 Parma
  • 2024-12-28 Parma 2–1 Monza
  • 2022-03-02 Monza 1–1 Parma
  • 2021-10-17 Parma 0–0 Monza
League standing · 2026/27
Parma#15 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD
Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.8
Monza scored1.7
Parma conceded1.5
Monza conceded2.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 0.62 xG from 7 shots, Monza 2.11 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Dany Mota 10' · 0.47 xGEddy Kouadio 62' · 0.42 xGMichael Folorunsho 75' · 0.31 xGDany Mota 21' · 0.31 xGAndrea Carboni 20' · 0.17 xGEl Bilal Touré 17' · 0.14 xGSimone Lontani 59' · 0.13 xGGiovanni Fabbian 34' · 0.11 xGOmari Forson 47' · 0.10 xGEl Bilal Touré 65' · 0.07 xGDany Mota 13' · 0.07 xGAndrea Colpani 57' · 0.06 xGDiego Carlos 2' · 0.06 xGEnrico Del Prato 52' · 0.05 xGLorenzo Lucchesi 83' · 0.05 xGOmari Forson 35' · 0.04 xGMichael Folorunsho 94' · 0.04 xGYvan Maye 86' · 0.01 xGLorenzo Lucchesi 32' · 0.01 xGSamuele Birindelli 62' · 0.01 xGMichael Folorunsho 45' · 0.01 xGSimone Lontani 59' · 0.06 xG · goalJay Robinson 37' · 0.03 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)Monza (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma710.62
Monza1612.11

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monza led on xG, 1.11 to 0.30. At full time, Monza led on xG, 2.11 to 0.62. The widest gap was 1.49 xG to Monza, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Monza 37 minGoal - Parma 59 min
Parma 0.62 xGMonza 2.11 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Monza?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Monza was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Monza?
In their last 4 meetings, Parma won 1, Monza won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Monza?
Recent form — Parma 2W 0D 3L; Monza 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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