ParmaNapoli

Parma v Napoli result

Full-time · Parma 1–1 Napoli

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · Napoli · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 1–1 Napoli — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Napoli: 1.32 to 0.15 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the 20th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Parma and Napoli drew 1–1 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Sunday 12 April. Napoli have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Parma led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Parma: Gabriel Strefezza (1’, assisted by Nesta Elphege); Napoli: Scott McTominay (60’, assisted by Rasmus Højlund).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Scott McTominay’s goal on 60 minutes.

Discipline

M. Di Bello showed one yellow card — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Parma: Alessandro Circati (83’).

What it changes

Parma have scored 28 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Parma have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Napoli have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Napoli have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Parma are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Napoli are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Olivera (Napoli) 6.8, Scott McTominay (Napoli) 5.8 and Gabriel Strefezza (Parma) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Napoli are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Parma.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Parma next host Bologna on 7 November 2026.

Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 1–1 Napoli · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: M. Di Bello
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 1 · draws 2 · Napoli 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 0W 3D 2L · Napoli 5W 0D 0L

Parma 1–1 Napoli (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.29
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 1.43
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.13 yellows
Referee · M. Di Bello
24.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParma for / againstLineNapoli for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
11 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.71 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.29 for · 2.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.57 against n 7

Referee: M. Di Bello — 2.13 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
Z. Suzuki15901350 min432.9 /90191.3 /9010.1 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6
Z. Suzuki n 890
3.28/5

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato31842618 min301 /90240.8 /90220.8 /90742.5 /90180.6 /9050.2 /90
A. Circati25852126 min301.3 /90180.8 /90241 /901175 /90291.2 /9050.2 /90
L. Valenti24842010 min421.9 /90261.2 /90221 /901024.6 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Troilo14781085 min181.5 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90736.1 /90191.6 /9050.4 /90
A. N'Diaye771496 min132.4 /90101.8 /9010.2 /90407.3 /90101.8 /9040.7 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
2.77/7
1.86/4
—
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.43/0
00/0
L. Spinazzola
Mandela Keita n 878.6
0.73/1
1.46/3
M. Politano
Adrián Bernabé n 880.6
0.74/1
1.56/4
L. Spinazzola
E. Valeri n 889.9
15/2
0.83/2
M. Politano
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
0.65/0
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.43/0
Mandela Keita n 878.6
1.46/4
Adrián Bernabé n 880.6
1.35/2
E. Valeri n 889.9
15/3
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino32832662 min100.3 /9010 /90541.8 /90260.9 /90180.6 /90250.8 /90
J. Ondrejka1455771 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.3 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
A. Benedyczak955492 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9000 /90
P. Almqvist952465 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
1.35/3
0.43/0
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mandela Keita n 878.6
0.11/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 880.6
1.36/3
0.74/1
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
0.32/0
00/0
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 878.6
00/0
0.11/0
Adrián Bernabé n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
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Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Milinković-Savić31902790 min712.3 /90301 /9030.1 /90
A. Meret1090900 min191.9 /90151.5 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Milinković-Savić n 890
2.14/4
A. Meret n 890
24/2

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Buongiorno33792599 min401.4 /90431.5 /90160.6 /901465.1 /90551.9 /9030.1 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo32862751 min491.6 /90120.4 /9080.3 /901254.1 /90411.3 /9020.1 /90
Juan Jesus27772078 min502.2 /90361.6 /90130.6 /90903.9 /90482.1 /90110.5 /90
S. Beukema22761668 min191 /90150.8 /90160.9 /90613.3 /90160.9 /9020.1 /90
M. Olivera22611340 min372.5 /90171.1 /9040.3 /90734.9 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
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Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McTominay n 878.8
14/2
1.96/5
—
R. Højlund n 889.1
0.94/2
1.98/5
—
M. Politano n 859.3
0.83/1
0.82/2
E. Valeri
A. Buongiorno n 886.3
1.77/5
15/2
—
L. Spinazzola n 868
0.31/1
0.21/0
Adrián Bernabé
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Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McTominay n 878.8
14/2
R. Højlund n 889.1
00/0
M. Politano n 859.3
0.42/0
A. Buongiorno n 886.3
2.28/5
L. Spinazzola n 868
14/2
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Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund35842952 min140.4 /9020.1 /90521.6 /90310.9 /90280.9 /90160.5 /90
David Neres23581337 min60.4 /9040.3 /90161.1 /90100.7 /90312.1 /90281.9 /90
N. Lang1946876 min10.1 /9010.1 /90101 /9040.4 /90212.2 /90171.7 /90
A. Vergara1074739 min20.2 /9020.2 /90121.5 /9060.7 /90141.7 /90121.5 /90
L. Lucca1045449 min00 /9000 /9071.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9030.6 /90
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Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McTominay n 878.8
25/4
14/3
R. Højlund n 889.1
1.86/5
1.15/3
M. Politano n 859.3
1.95/3
1.14/2
A. Buongiorno n 886.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Spinazzola n 868
14/2
0.31/1
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Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McTominay n 878.8
0.43/0
00/0
R. Højlund n 889.1
0.53/1
00/0
M. Politano n 859.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
A. Buongiorno n 886.3
00/0
00/0
L. Spinazzola n 868
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaNapoli
26%Possession74%
0.19Expected goals (xG)1.22
3Shots20
2Shots on target6
0Shots off target6
1Blocked shots8
1Shots inside the box16
3Corners7
2Offsides2
4Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves1
246Passes715
72%Pass accuracy92%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Suzuki9000000006.9
A. Circati90000001Y6.9
M. Troilo9000000107.6
L. Valenti9000000207.3
E. Del Prato9000000206.6
Mandela Keita9000110106.9
E. Valeri9000000406.9
Gabriel Strefezza7210110107.5
Adrián Bernabé6700000106.5
H. Nicolussi6600000006.2
N. Elphege5901001006.9
O. Sørensen sub3100001006.5
N. Estévez sub2400001006.3
C. Ordoñez sub2300000106.9
D. Mikołajewski sub1800000106.7

Napoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Milinković-Savić9000000006.3
A. Buongiorno9000100107.2
M. Olivera9000112507.2
S. Lobotka9000004207.9
L. Spinazzola9000003207.2
S. McTominay9010220007.2
M. Politano7900100006.3
K. De Bruyne7800113206.7
R. Højlund6601001005.9
A. Zambo Anguissa5600001106.5
Juan Jesus4500000006.3
S. Beukema sub4500001107.3
Alisson Santos sub3400420007
Giovane sub2400000006.2
E. Elmas sub1200100006.3
Miguel Gutiérrez sub1100102007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Napoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
NapoliWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 1 · 2 draws · Napoli 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-14 Napoli 0–0 Parma
  • 2025-05-18 Parma 0–0 Napoli
  • 2024-08-31 Napoli 2–1 Parma
  • 2021-01-31 Napoli 2–0 Parma
  • 2020-09-20 Parma 0–2 Napoli
  • 2020-07-22 Parma 2–1 Napoli
League standing · 2025/26
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
Napoli#2 pos76 pts38 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.74
Napoli scored1.53
Parma conceded1.21
Napoli conceded0.95

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 0.15 xG from 3 shots, Napoli 1.32 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Eljif Elmas 83' · 0.33 xGScott McTominay 43' · 0.10 xGFranck Zambo 20' · 0.10 xGEljif Elmas 86' · 0.09 xGGiovane 79' · 0.08 xGRasmus Højlund 47' · 0.08 xGRasmus Højlund 49' · 0.07 xGKevin De Bruyne 18' · 0.07 xGAlisson Santos 77' · 0.05 xGMatteo Politano 52' · 0.04 xGAlisson Santos 90' · 0.04 xGScott McTominay 74' · 0.04 xGAlisson Santos 86' · 0.04 xGScott McTominay 5' · 0.03 xGChristian Ordóñez 76' · 0.03 xGAlessandro Buongiorno 50' · 0.03 xGAlisson Santos 64' · 0.02 xGMathías Olivera 43' · 0.02 xGMandela Keita 81' · 0.02 xGAlisson Santos 56' · 0.02 xGMiguel Gutiérrez 92' · 0.01 xGGabriel Strefezza 0' · 0.11 xG · goalScott McTominay 59' · 0.07 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)Napoli (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma310.15
Napoli2011.32

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Parma 0.11, Napoli 0.32. At full time, Napoli led on xG, 1.32 to 0.15. The widest gap was 1.17 xG to Napoli, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Parma 0 minGoal - Napoli 59 min
Parma 0.15 xGNapoli 1.32 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Napoli?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Napoli was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Napoli?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 1, Napoli won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Napoli?
Recent form — Parma 0W 3D 2L; Napoli 5W 0D 0L.

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