Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense result

Full-time · Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense

Serie A – Brazil · Thu, 23 Jul 2026 01:30 BST · Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sao Paulo · Atletico Paranaense · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense — Atletico Paranaense won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Atletico Paranaense won 2–1 at Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques in Serie A – Brazil on Thursday 23 July. Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Atletico Paranaense came from behind: Sao Paulo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sao Paulo: Artur (19’); Atletico Paranaense: Leozinho (46’; 51’, assisted by L. Esquivel).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Leozinho’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sao Paulo 0.94, Atletico Paranaense 1.79, from 18 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Atletico Paranaense: Arthur Dias (18’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Leozinho (Atletico Paranaense) 8.3, R. Arboleda (Sao Paulo) 6.8 and Marcos Antônio (Sao Paulo) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sao Paulo or Atletico Paranaense (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Sao Paulo next travel to Mirassol on 24 October 2026.

Atletico Paranaense next travel to Vitoria on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sao Paulo: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Atletico Paranaense: Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques · Braganza
Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Sao Paulo 4 · draws 1 · Atletico Paranaense 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Sao Paulo 1W 2D 2L · Atletico Paranaense 2W 2D 1L

Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.38 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

5.25 / 5.63

Corners

against 4.75 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 2.88

Cards

against 2.63 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sao Paulo for / against	Line	Atletico Paranaense for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	0.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Gomes Stefano.

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Djhordney Ferreira n 5	38	3.3 4/3	1.4 3/0	—
Enzo Díaz n 8	76.5	3.2 8/6	1.5 6/3	—
G. Tapia n 8	28.3	3.2 2/2	3.2 5/3	—
Wendell n 8	50.4	2.5 6/3	0.9 3/1	—
Pablo Maia n 8	53	2.1 5/3	1.3 4/2	—

Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Luciano n 8	71.1	2.2 7/4	1.3 7/1
Ferreirinha n 8	55.1	2 7/2	0.6 3/0
G. Tapia n 8	28.3	2 4/1	0.4 1/0
Andre Silva n 8	47.4	1.2 5/0	0.7 3/0
Artur n 8	78.5	1 5/2	0.7 4/1

Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Luciano n 8	71.1	0.9 6/0	0 0/0
G. Tapia n 8	28.3	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
D. Bobadilla n 8	68.6	0 0/0	0.5 3/0
Wendell n 8	50.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Andre Silva n 8	47.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Bobadilla n 8	68.6	3 6/6
Enzo Díaz n 8	76.5	2.1 5/4
Sabino n 8	75.6	1.9 6/5
Djhordney Ferreira n 5	38	1.9 3/1
Cédric Soares n 8	61.8	1.8 6/4

Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rafael n 8	91.3	2.7 5/5

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Chiqueti n 8	33.3	3.4 6/2	2.7 5/3	—
Renan Peixoto n 8	15.1	3 4/0	3.7 4/1	—
João Cruz n 8	47.9	2.8 6/4	1.6 6/1	—
Diogo Riquelme n 5	32.6	2.8 4/1	0 0/0	—
Julimar n 8	53.8	2.3 5/3	0.4 2/0	—

Atletico Paranaense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Bruninho n 8	42.4	2.4 5/2	1.6 4/2
K. Viveros n 8	93	2.3 8/4	1.8 8/3
João Cruz n 8	47.9	2.3 5/3	1.2 5/0
Chiqueti n 8	33.3	2 3/2	1 2/1
Luiz Gustavo n 8	75.1	1.5 5/2	1 4/1

Atletico Paranaense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Viveros n 8	93	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
Claudinho n 3	85.7	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
Julimar n 8	53.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
G. Benavidez n 8	88	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Jadson n 8	68.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Atletico Paranaense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Esquivel n 8	78.8	3.1 8/7
Gilberto Junior n 6	61.5	2.9 5/4
Leonardo Derik n 8	47.5	2.8 5/3
Jadson n 8	68.6	2.6 6/3
Leozinho n 8	21.9	2.6 4/1

Atletico Paranaense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Santos n 8	94.5	2.3 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sao Paulo		Atletico Paranaense
70%	Possession	30%
0.94	Expected goals (xG)	1.79
18	Shots	11
3	Shots on target	3
7	Shots off target	6
8	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	3
7	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
629	Passes	263
91%	Pass accuracy	80%

Sao Paulo player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Rafael	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
R. Arboleda	90	0	1	1	0	5	7.9
Wendell	90	0	1	0	2	2	6.7
Marcos Antônio	90	0	1	0	3	1	8.3
Artur	90	1	1	1	2	0	7.3
Luciano	90	0	1	1	0	2	7.2
Lucas Ramon	75	0	0	0	1	2	6.3
D. Bobadilla	74	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Pablo Maia	64	0	2	0	1	2	7.2
Jonathan Calleri	64	0	2	0	0	0	6.9
R. Toloi	23	0	0	0	0	1	7
Luis Osorio sub	67	0	0	0	0	4	6.9
Ferreirinha sub	26	0	1	0	0	0	7
Andre Silva sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
Danielzinho sub	16	0	0	0	1	1	6.9
Victor Sá sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Atletico Paranaense player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Santos	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
F. Aguirre	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
L. Esquivel	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7.2
Jadson	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.3
Luiz Gustavo	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7
Stiven Mendoza	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.7
K. Viveros	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Gilberto	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Leozinho	76	2	0	4	2	0	0	0	8.3
Arthur Dias	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
João Cruz	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Teran sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.5
Claudinho sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	7.2
Isaac sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Gilberto Junior sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sao PauloLDDWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Atletico ParanaenseLDDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sao Paulo 4 · 1 draw · Atletico Paranaense 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-08-06 Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Sao Paulo
2025-07-31 Sao Paulo 2–1 Atletico Paranaense
2024-11-10 Sao Paulo 2–1 Atletico Paranaense
2024-07-04 Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo
2023-10-29 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Sao Paulo
2023-06-21 Sao Paulo 2–1 Atletico Paranaense

League standing · 2026

Sao Paulo#8 pos42 pts31 pl+1 GD

Atletico Paranaense#3 pos53 pts31 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Sao Paulo scored1.16

Atletico Paranaense scored1.58

Sao Paulo conceded1.13

Atletico Paranaense conceded1.19

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and Atletico Paranaense?: In their last 6 meetings, Sao Paulo won 4, Atletico Paranaense won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sao Paulo and Atletico Paranaense?: Recent form — Sao Paulo 1W 2D 2L; Atletico Paranaense 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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