Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Thu, 29 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT · Estádio São Januário

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 04:33 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Flamengo · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo, Serie A – Brazil on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.28 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,747 of 2,357 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vasco DA Gama host Flamengo in Serie A – Brazil on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Vasco DA Gama or Flamengo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Flamengo have scored 64 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far).

Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Vasco DA Gama have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 0.86. Vasco DA Gama have scored 39 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vasco DA Gama have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Flamengo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Flamengo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Flamengo have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.67. Flamengo have conceded 27 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far).

Vasco DA Gama (13th) and Flamengo (first) are 32 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Flamengo the stronger side, 328 rating points above Vasco DA Gama (Flamengo 1921, Vasco DA Gama 1593, after at least 297 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Flamengo. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Flamengo 2–2 Vasco DA Gama.

Team news

Vasco DA Gama have four names on the availability list: C. Cuesta (out, Inactive), Cauan Barros (out, Inactive), Mateus Carvalho (out, Knee Injury) and A. Gomez (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-2-3-1): L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, Cuiabano, P. Rodríguez, A. Lescano, T. Mendes, S. Sosa, F. Colidio, T. Tchê, B. Duarte — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.2 per match over 31 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Coutinho (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 2352 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Coutinho averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 560 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Flamengo have three names on the availability list: Danilo (out, Jaw injury), Evertton Araujo (out, Thigh Injury) and J. Carrascal (out, Yellow Cards) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted Flamengo XI (4-2-3-1): A. Rossi, L. Pereira, L. Ortiz, A. Sandro, E. Royal, E. Pulgar, S. Lino, Jorginho, L. Paquetá, G. Plata, Pedro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Samuel Lino (4.5 per match over 44 appearances, 10 goals and 10 assists) and Lucas Paquetá (4.2 per match over 33 appearances, 10 goals and one assist) have been Flamengo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Flamengo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Samuel Lino averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 3079 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lucas Paquetá averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2453 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 29 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio São Januário
Referee: Bruno Arleu
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Vasco DA Gama 0 · draws 4 · Flamengo 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L · Flamengo 3W 2D 0L

Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

6 / 6.86

Corners

against 4.88 / 3.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.25 / 6.43

Shots on target

against 2.5 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.25 / 3.14

Cards

against 1.75 / 3.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Vasco DA Gama for / against	Line	Flamengo for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.86 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.43 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.14 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5

Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama Goalkeeper

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Léo Jardim	49	914468 min	1272.6 /90	521 /90	00 /90
Daniel Fuzato	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	1.6 4/2

Vasco DA Gama Defensive

Vasco DA Gama — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Robert Renan	43	913894 min	701.6 /90	671.5 /90	200.5 /90	1844.3 /90	421 /90	40.1 /90
Puma Rodríguez	34	722440 min	301.1 /90	200.7 /90	80.3 /90	1214.5 /90	100.4 /90	40.1 /90
Cuiabano	31	762352 min	953.6 /90	542.1 /90	60.2 /90	2128.1 /90	451.7 /90	50.2 /90
Paulo Henrique	31	712186 min	572.3 /90	251 /90	50.2 /90	1737.1 /90	361.5 /90	50.2 /90
Lucas Piton	29	681959 min	371.7 /90	211 /90	40.2 /90	843.9 /90	241.1 /90	10 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	1 3/2	0.4 2/1	—
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	0.8 3/2	2 5/3	—
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	0.8 4/1	1.7 5/4	—
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0	—
See more players · Pro

Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	2.4 8/6
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	0.8 4/1
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	2.2 6/6
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	1.6 5/3
David n 8	32.9	0.3 1/0
See more players · Pro

Vasco DA Gama Attacking

Vasco DA Gama — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
David	34	491650 min	50.3 /90	40.2 /90	331.8 /90	150.8 /90	271.5 /90	160.9 /90
Claudio Spinelli	30	521559 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	583.3 /90	271.6 /90	90.5 /90	50.3 /90
Brenner	25	451117 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	272.2 /90	131 /90	161.3 /90	20.2 /90
Marino Hinestroza	23	441010 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90	171.5 /90	292.6 /90
Bruno Duarte	10	61613 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	142.1 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	1.2 5/2	0.5 2/1
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	2.1 6/4	1 4/2
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	2.7 6/5	0.5 3/0
See more players · Pro

Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	72.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andrés Gómez n 8	70.8	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Puma Rodríguez n 8	62.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Flamengo

Flamengo Goalkeeper

Flamengo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Rossi	43	923944 min	1122.6 /90	290.7 /90	10 /90
A. da Silva Ventura	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Flamengo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Flamengo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Rossi n 8	90	3 7/5

Flamengo Defensive

Flamengo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Leo Pereira	36	903230 min	320.9 /90	371 /90	220.6 /90	1052.9 /90	200.6 /90	80.2 /90
Leo Ortiz	33	892925 min	240.7 /90	300.9 /90	250.8 /90	942.9 /90	180.6 /90	00 /90
Emerson Royal	27	802172 min	411.7 /90	210.9 /90	70.3 /90	1064.4 /90	391.6 /90	30.1 /90
G. Varela	25	822051 min	160.7 /90	170.7 /90	90.4 /90	733.2 /90	130.6 /90	40.2 /90
Ayrton Lucas	25	771915 min	291.4 /90	120.6 /90	100.5 /90	854 /90	221 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Flamengo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Flamengo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Rossi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Samuel Lino n 8	84.1	0.5 3/1	2.4 8/5	—
Pedro n 8	73.1	0.9 6/0	0.8 5/0	—
Leo Pereira n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.4 3/0	—
Jorge Carrascal n 8	67.5	1.7 6/3	2.7 6/4	—
See more players · Pro

Flamengo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Flamengo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Samuel Lino n 8	84.1	2.5 7/7
Pedro n 8	73.1	0.2 1/0
Leo Pereira n 8	90	0.8 6/0
Jorge Carrascal n 8	67.5	1.7 6/3
Leo Ortiz n 8	89.1	0.9 6/1
See more players · Pro

Flamengo Attacking

Flamengo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pedro	38	762900 min	180.6 /90	90.3 /90	742.3 /90	451.4 /90	481.5 /90	321 /90
Bruno Henrique	31	511576 min	70.4 /90	60.3 /90	291.7 /90	160.9 /90	241.4 /90	140.8 /90
J. Freitas	4	1975 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90
Wallace Yan	3	2060 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Samuel Lino	41	692843 min	100.3 /90	100.3 /90	622 /90	311 /90	752.4 /90	250.8 /90
See more players · Pro

Flamengo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Flamengo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Rossi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuel Lino n 8	84.1	2.3 6/5	0.9 4/3
Pedro n 8	73.1	2.9 8/5	1.7 6/3
Leo Pereira n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
Jorge Carrascal n 8	67.5	2 5/3	1.5 4/2
See more players · Pro

Flamengo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Flamengo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Rossi n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Samuel Lino n 8	84.1	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Pedro n 8	73.1	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Leo Pereira n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Jorge Carrascal n 8	67.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Vasco DA GamaDWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

FlamengoWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Vasco DA Gama 0 · 4 draws · Flamengo 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-05-03 Flamengo 2–2 Vasco DA Gama
2025-09-21 Flamengo 1–1 Vasco DA Gama
2025-04-19 Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Flamengo
2024-09-15 Flamengo 1–1 Vasco DA Gama
2024-06-02 Vasco DA Gama 1–6 Flamengo
2023-10-22 Flamengo 1–0 Vasco DA Gama

League standing · 2026

Vasco DA Gama#13 pos38 pts31 pl-6 GD

Flamengo#1 pos70 pts32 pl+37 GD

Goals per game

Vasco DA Gama scored1.26

Flamengo scored2

Vasco DA Gama conceded1.45

Flamengo conceded0.84

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo is Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo?: In their last 6 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, Flamengo won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo?: Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L; Flamengo 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 04:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.