AscoliCarrarese

Ascoli v Carrarese result

Full-time · Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ascoli · Carrarese

The model’s pre-match pick

Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ascoli and Carrarese drew 1–1 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 29 August. Carrarese are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Carrarese: F. Abiuso (51’, assisted by J. Rouhi); Ascoli: G. Gori (82’, assisted by G. De Pieri).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Gori’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Ascoli 1.70, Carrarese 1.81, from 20 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Andrea Zanotti, Italy showed seven yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ascoli: S. D'Uffizi (26’), G. Corradini (53’), G. Gori (82’) and A. Guiébré (85’); Carrarese: F. Abiuso (33’), F. Ruggeri (47’) and Nicolás Schiavi (68’).

What it changes

Ascoli stay second (shared) after this result (two league matches played).

Carrarese move up from 20th to 12th (shared) (two league matches played).

Ascoli have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Rouhi (Carrarese) 7.1, F. Abiuso (Carrarese) 4.3 and G. De Pieri (Ascoli) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ascoli or Carrarese (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Ascoli next host Vicenza Virtus on 21 November 2026.

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ascoli: Ascoli v Vicenza Virtus, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca · Ascoli Piceno
  • Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Ascoli 3W 1D 1L · Carrarese 0W 1D 4L

Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 4 matches
3.5 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 6 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 3 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 4 matches
4.33 yellows
Referee · Andrea Zanotti, Italy
27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAscoli for / againstLineCarrarese for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 4.5 against n 4
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 16 against n 4
19.5standard
13.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 6 against n 4
8.5standard
2.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.75 for · 13.5 against n 4
21.5standard
14.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 3 against n 4
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 27 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ascoli

Ascoli Goalkeeper

Ascoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Vitale290180 min115.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90

Ascoli Defensive

Ascoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Guiébré290180 min31.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9084 /9021 /9010.5 /90
N. Rizzo290180 min63 /9052.5 /9052.5 /90126 /9042 /9000 /90
T. Milanese283165 min31.6 /9021.1 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Silipo290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9000 /90
S. Perciun282164 min63.3 /9000 /9010.5 /9094.9 /9063.3 /9000 /90
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Ascoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Milanese n 475.5
0.62/0
0.62/0
F. Oliana
S. D'Uffizi n 644.5
1.72/2
2.73/2
—
Ascoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Milanese n 475.5
0.92/1
S. D'Uffizi n 644.5
00/0

Ascoli Attacking

Ascoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Curado287173 min00 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. A. Chakir258116 min00 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /90
A. Silipo290180 min21 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9042 /9042 /90
S. Perciun282164 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
S. D'Uffizi277154 min10.6 /9010.6 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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Ascoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Milanese n 475.5
0.61/1
00/0
S. D'Uffizi n 644.5
1.33/1
0.31/0
Ascoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Milanese n 475.5
00/0
00/0
S. D'Uffizi n 644.5
0.31/0
0.31/0

Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Garofani290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Ruggeri290180 min84 /9063 /9031.5 /90157.5 /9063 /9000 /90
L. Romani287174 min31.6 /9010.5 /9000 /9084.1 /9021 /9000 /90
F. Oliana286171 min42.1 /9000 /9021.1 /9084.2 /9052.6 /9021.1 /90
Tommaso Guercio22957 min23.2 /9011.6 /9000 /90711.1 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Belloni290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9042 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Belloni n 866.5
1.97/3
1.74/4
—
F. Ruggeri n 887
1.87/4
0.95/2
—
F. Oliana n 885.6
0.94/2
0.32/0
T. Milanese
G. Parlanti n 874.4
2.17/4
37/5
—
J. Rouhi n 853.5
0.42/0
0.63/0
—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Ruggeri n 887
2.36/5
N. Belloni n 866.5
2.26/3
F. Oliana n 885.6
1.66/4
G. Parlanti n 874.4
2.47/4
J. Rouhi n 853.5
1.94/4
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cissé286172 min00 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9021 /9021 /9021 /90
F. Abiuso262123 min00 /9000 /9032.2 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /90
G. Marconi22957 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9034.7 /90
N. Belloni290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
G. Parlanti283166 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Ruggeri n 887
0.54/0
00/0
N. Belloni n 866.5
0.32/0
00/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
00/0
00/0
G. Parlanti n 874.4
0.94/2
0.53/0
J. Rouhi n 853.5
0.83/1
0.21/0
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Belloni n 866.5
00/0
0.21/0
F. Ruggeri n 887
00/0
00/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
00/0
00/0
G. Parlanti n 874.4
00/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 853.5
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AscoliCarrarese
71%Possession29%
1.70Expected goals (xG)1.81
20Shots18
6Shots on target4
9Shots off target11
5Blocked shots3
15Shots inside the box12
10Corners9
0Offsides1
10Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves5
566Passes217
90%Pass accuracy73%

Ascoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Vitale9000000007.2
A. Guiébré90000012Y6.2
N. Rizzo9000000207.2
G. Corradini90001021Y7.3
S. Damiani9000000407.2
S. D'Uffizi83002141Y7.3
A. Silipo7000322006.9
M. A. Chakir6900711006.6
M. Curado6900711006.6
T. Milanese5800000006.5
S. Perciun5800001106.3
A. Oliveri sub3200001107.2
D. Bolsius sub3200000106.9
G. Gori sub21101100Y7.3
G. De Pieri sub2001111007.7
M. Brunori sub800000006.3

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Garofani9000000007.9
F. Ruggeri90001001Y6.3
F. Oliana9000100106.3
L. Romani9000311006.6
Nicolás Schiavi90001101Y7
J. Rouhi9001005007.7
G. Parlanti7900110206.9
F. Abiuso79103101Y7.5
F. Reale7100001107
N. Belloni6300000106.9
M. Cissé6300201006.2
Tommaso Guercio sub2700000005.6
G. Marconi sub2700100006.3
J. Martini sub1900000006.2
M. Finotto sub1100002106.3
L. Topalović sub1100200006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ascoli v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AscoliDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
CarrareseLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Ascoli#2 pos20 pts11 pl+10 GD
Carrarese#16 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Ascoli scored1.55
Carrarese scored0.9
Ascoli conceded0.64
Carrarese conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ascoli v Carrarese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ascoli v Carrarese was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Ascoli and Carrarese?
Recent form — Ascoli 3W 1D 1L; Carrarese 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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