AvellinoPadova

Avellino v Padova result

Full-time · Avellino 0–1 Padova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Avellino · Padova

The model’s pre-match pick

Avellino 0–1 Padova — Padova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.35 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Padova won 1–0 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 24 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Avellino out-shot Padova 28 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.10 xG to 0.80 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Padova led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Padova: E. Zuelli (20’, assisted by G. Artistico).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Zuelli’s goal on 20 minutes.

Discipline

Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Padova: P. Fusi (41’) and G. Giunti (41’).

What it changes

Avellino have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Avellino have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Sorrentino (Padova) 6.0, M. Besaggio (Avellino) 5.7 and Alessandro Dellavalle (Padova) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Avellino or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Avellino next travel to Benevento on 7 November 2026.

Padova next host Empoli on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Avellino: Benevento v Avellino, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Padova: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Avellino 0–1 Padova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi · Avellino
  • Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Avellino 1 · draws 1 · Padova 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Avellino 2W 2D 1L · Padova 1W 0D 4L

Avellino 0–1 Padova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.4 yellows
Referee · Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy
25.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAvellino for / againstLinePadova for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 19.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Avellino

Avellino Goalkeeper

Avellino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Martinelli890720 min263.3 /90101.3 /9000 /90
Avellino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Martinelli n 890
3.26/4

Avellino Defensive

Avellino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Izzo890720 min131.6 /9081 /9060.8 /90344.3 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
P. Enrici688530 min142.4 /90122 /9020.3 /90284.8 /9061 /9000 /90
Michael Venturi670422 min61.3 /9081.7 /9020.4 /90265.5 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90
T. Cancellotti566331 min71.9 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90143.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
L. Šimić475298 min61.8 /90123.6 /9092.7 /90288.5 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
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Avellino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Izzo n 890
0.43/0
0.85/1
—
T. Martinelli n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
R. Russo n 885.5
0.85/1
2.68/5
P. Fusi
B. Moruzzi n 880
1.35/2
0.63/1
—
M. Besaggio n 879.4
1.47/3
2.77/6
—
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Avellino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Izzo n 890
1.66/4
R. Russo n 885.5
1.46/4
B. Moruzzi n 880
2.77/5
M. Besaggio n 879.4
1.46/3
M. Palumbo n 876
1.96/3
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Avellino Attacking

Avellino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Russo886684 min40.5 /9020.3 /90111.4 /9070.9 /90212.8 /9091.2 /90
W. Cheddira657342 min20.5 /9000 /90123.2 /9061.6 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90
A. Favilli641244 min00 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9000 /90
L. Pandolfi24692 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9032.9 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Fila15555 min00 /9000 /9023.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Avellino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Izzo n 890
0.52/1
0.32/0
T. Martinelli n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Russo n 885.5
1.46/2
0.95/1
B. Moruzzi n 880
1.15/3
0.32/0
M. Besaggio n 879.4
0.43/0
0.43/0
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Avellino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Izzo n 890
0.11/0
00/0
T. Martinelli n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Russo n 885.5
0.54/0
0.32/0
B. Moruzzi n 880
0.11/0
0.31/1
M. Besaggio n 879.4
0.43/0
00/0
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Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Sorrentino890720 min293.6 /9081 /9000 /90
Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 890
3.67/5

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle890720 min222.8 /90182.3 /9091.1 /90354.4 /9081 /9020.3 /90
M. Lovato781567 min61 /90111.7 /9071.1 /90274.3 /9050.8 /9000 /90
C. Pastina779551 min182.9 /9081.3 /9030.5 /90355.7 /9061 /9010.2 /90
F. Sgarbi382247 min41.5 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90114 /9020.7 /9000 /90
E. Zuelli889714 min111.4 /9050.6 /9020.3 /90232.9 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
15/3
0.85/1
—
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Zuelli n 889.3
0.84/2
0.54/0
—
P. Fusi n 863
3.27/5
0.95/0
R. Russo
M. Lovato n 781
0.83/2
0.62/1
—
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
2.88/7
E. Zuelli n 889.3
1.47/3
P. Fusi n 863
3.98/4
M. Lovato n 781
14/1
C. Pastina n 880.1
2.98/6
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Lasagna742292 min00 /9000 /9082.5 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9000 /90
L. Moro668409 min00 /9000 /9061.3 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9030.7 /90
G. Caprari657342 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9061.6 /90
M. Bortolussi439155 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9000 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
A. Seghetti335106 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.7 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
0.52/1
0.11/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 889.3
0.32/0
00/0
P. Fusi n 863
0.73/1
0.21/0
M. Lovato n 781
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 889.3
00/0
00/0
P. Fusi n 863
0.21/0
00/0
M. Lovato n 781
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AvellinoPadova
69%Possession31%
2.10Expected goals (xG)0.80
28Shots8
7Shots on target1
14Shots off target7
7Blocked shots0
20Shots inside the box4
11Corners2
1Offsides1
6Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves7
598Passes275
89%Pass accuracy71%

Avellino Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Martinelli9000000006.7
Michael Venturi9000200307.3
P. Enrici9000100207.6
F. Missori9000100007
M. Besaggio9000005107.9
R. Russo9000325007
B. Moruzzi8200334106.7
M. Palumbo7400303006.9
A. Di Bitonto5900201006.6
W. Cheddira5900200006.2
L. Palmiero4500001007
L. Di Maggio sub4500212007.5
A. Izzo sub3100100107
A. Favilli sub3100110006.7
T. Biasci sub1600000106.5
S. Di Paolo sub800000006.5

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000009
Alessandro Dellavalle9000100307.7
F. Sgarbi9000000106.6
M. Lovato9000000207.2
L. Carissoni9000000307.2
A. Capelli9000102007
E. Zuelli8910311007.6
L. Moro8900000106.7
G. Giunti77001011Y7.3
G. Artistico7701002007.2
P. Fusi66002021Y6.6
K. Varas sub2400000006.7
M. Bortolussi sub1300000006.7
M. Pompetti sub1300000106.9
N. Galazzi sub10000000–
A. Seghetti sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Avellino v Padova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AvellinoWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PadovaLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Avellino 1 · 1 draw · Padova 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Avellino 1–0 Padova
  • 2025-09-30 Padova 2–2 Avellino
League standing · 2026/27
Avellino#5 pos15 pts10 pl+5 GD
Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Avellino scored1.5
Padova scored1
Avellino conceded1
Padova conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Avellino v Padova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Avellino v Padova was Home or Draw (best price 1.35 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Padova?
In their last 2 meetings, Avellino won 1, Padova won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Avellino and Padova?
Recent form — Avellino 2W 2D 1L; Padova 1W 0D 4L.

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