AvellinoPalermo

Avellino v Palermo result

Full-time · Avellino 1–1 Palermo

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Avellino · Palermo

The model’s pre-match pick

Avellino 1–1 Palermo — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Avellino and Palermo drew 1–1 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 13 September. Palermo have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Avellino: W. Cheddira (60’, assisted by R. Russo); Palermo: D. Johnsen (63’, assisted by J. Pohjanpalo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Johnsen’s goal on 63 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Avellino out-shot Palermo 15 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.87 xG to 0.55 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Daniele Doveri, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Avellino: Filippo Missori (56’) and Michael Venturi (84’); Palermo: M. Bani (35’).

What it changes

Avellino have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Avellino have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Avellino are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Palermo are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Russo (Avellino) 8.4, D. Johnsen (Palermo) 6.5 and F. Barba (Palermo) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Avellino, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Palermo, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Avellino next travel to Benevento on 7 November 2026.

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Avellino: Benevento v Avellino, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Avellino 1–1 Palermo · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi · Avellino
  • Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Avellino 0 · draws 1 · Palermo 3 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Avellino 2W 0D 3L · Palermo 5W 0D 0L

Avellino 1–1 Palermo (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.25
Corners
against 5 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAvellino for / againstLinePalermo for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 18.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy.

Avellino

Avellino Goalkeeper

Avellino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Martinelli490360 min164 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Avellino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Martinelli n 490
43/2

Avellino Defensive

Avellino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Izzo490360 min61.5 /9041 /9041 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
T. Cancellotti479315 min72 /9010.3 /9030.9 /90144 /9030.9 /9000 /90
L. Šimić475298 min61.8 /90123.6 /9092.7 /90288.5 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
P. Enrici290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9021 /90126 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Michael Venturi23162 min11.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9068.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Avellino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Izzo n 890
0.94/2
1.57/4
—
T. Martinelli n 490
00/0
0.31/0
—
R. Russo n 881.9
1.68/2
1.97/2
D. Vavassori
B. Moruzzi n 483.5
1.62/2
0.82/1
J. Segre
T. Cancellotti n 880
1.57/3
0.85/1
J. Segre
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Avellino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Izzo n 890
16/2
R. Russo n 881.9
1.96/4
B. Moruzzi n 483.5
3.84/3
T. Cancellotti n 880
1.87/4
L. Šimić n 882.3
2.68/5
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Avellino Attacking

Avellino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Russo487347 min20.5 /9000 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9092.3 /9051.3 /90
A. Favilli449196 min00 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9000 /90
W. Cheddira24997 min00 /9000 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9000 /9010.9 /90
D. Fila15555 min00 /9000 /9023.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Pandolfi13535 min00 /9000 /9025.1 /9025.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Avellino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Izzo n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
T. Martinelli n 490
00/0
00/0
R. Russo n 881.9
1.56/2
0.54/0
B. Moruzzi n 483.5
1.12/2
0.31/0
T. Cancellotti n 880
0.11/0
00/0
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Avellino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Izzo n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Martinelli n 490
00/0
00/0
R. Russo n 881.9
0.32/0
00/0
B. Moruzzi n 483.5
0.31/0
00/0
T. Cancellotti n 880
00/0
00/0
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Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Fortin388265 min134.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Perin290180 min73.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 388.3
4.43/3

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Ceccaroni490360 min51.3 /9000 /9020.5 /90133.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Augello490360 min51.3 /9092.3 /9010.3 /90164 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
T. Cassandro453211 min73 /9020.9 /9000 /90156.4 /9062.6 /9010.4 /90
M. Bani390270 min41.3 /9051.7 /9031 /90155 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
N. Pierozzi374221 min31.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9072.9 /9031.2 /9000 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Segre n 875.6
1.96/5
0.93/3
T. Cancellotti
D. Vavassori n 568.6
13/1
1.84/2
R. Russo
D. Johnsen n 861.8
1.14/2
1.35/1
—
J. Pohjanpalo n 866.9
14/2
0.53/0
—
Hernani n 555
11/1
1.34/0
—
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Segre n 875.6
1.66/3
D. Vavassori n 568.6
0.52/0
D. Johnsen n 861.8
0.93/2
J. Pohjanpalo n 866.9
00/0
Hernani n 555
2.63/2
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Pohjanpalo565325 min41.1 /9010.3 /9082.2 /9061.7 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
Gabriel Strefezza536179 min21 /9000 /9042 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Le Douaron14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /90
J. Segre575377 min00 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9041 /9061.4 /90
D. Vavassori569343 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9041 /9041 /9051.3 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Segre n 875.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Vavassori n 568.6
1.34/1
13/1
D. Johnsen n 861.8
2.66/4
1.36/1
J. Pohjanpalo n 866.9
1.97/4
1.25/2
Hernani n 555
1.63/2
00/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Segre n 875.6
00/0
0.11/0
D. Vavassori n 568.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
D. Johnsen n 861.8
0.53/0
0.74/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 866.9
0.84/1
0.21/0
Hernani n 555
00/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AvellinoPalermo
47%Possession53%
1.87Expected goals (xG)0.55
15Shots9
5Shots on target2
3Shots off target5
7Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box4
4Corners3
1Offsides0
8Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
417Passes475
83%Pass accuracy84%

Avellino Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Martinelli9000000007.3
A. Izzo9000002006.7
P. Enrici9000000207.2
Michael Venturi90001000Y6.5
M. Besaggio9000001206.3
M. Palumbo9000003306.9
R. Russo8701003208.3
L. Di Maggio8600000106.9
B. Moruzzi8600100106.7
L. Pandolfi5700110006.7
T. Cancellotti1600000006.7
F. Missori sub74001010Y6.7
W. Cheddira sub3310220007.5
D. Sounas sub900000006.7
M. Sala sub900000006.9
T. Biasci sub800221006.6

Palermo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Fortin9000000008.2
M. Bani90000000Y6.3
F. Barba9000000307.9
T. Augello9000001007.2
D. Vavassori9000111006.7
A. Palumbo9000100006.5
T. Cassandro8700000206.9
J. Pohjanpalo7701002006.2
F. Ranocchia7600100506.9
E. Gyasi5900100106.5
J. Segre5900000406.9
D. Johnsen sub3110112207.9
N. Estévez sub3100100006.7
C. Gomes sub1400000006.7
A. Gabrielloni sub1300100207
N. Pierozzi sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Avellino v Palermo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AvellinoLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
PalermoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Avellino 0 · 1 draw · Palermo 3 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Palermo 2–0 Avellino
  • 2025-12-20 Avellino 2–2 Palermo
  • 2018-04-21 Palermo 3–0 Avellino
  • 2017-11-25 Avellino 1–3 Palermo
League standing · 2026/27
Avellino#5 pos15 pts10 pl+5 GD
Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Avellino scored1.5
Palermo scored2.4
Avellino conceded1
Palermo conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Avellino v Palermo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Avellino v Palermo was Draw or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Palermo?
In their last 4 meetings, Avellino won 0, Palermo won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Avellino and Palermo?
Recent form — Avellino 2W 0D 3L; Palermo 5W 0D 0L.

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