BariModena

Bari v Modena result

Full-time · Bari 3–1 Modena

Serie B – Italy ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bari · Modena · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bari 3–1 Modena — Bari won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bari beat Modena 3–1 in Serie B – Italy on Monday 6 April. Modena are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bari, every meeting checked.

The goals

Bari led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bari: G. Moncini (22’ pen) and M. Çuni (80’, assisted by M. Dorval); Modena: an own goal by D. Adorni (31’) and G. Ambrosino (90’, assisted by Gady Beyuku).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bari 2.22, Modena 1.31, from 12 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Arena showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bari: G. Maggiore (59’) and V. Mantovani (90+7’); Modena: F. Gerli (88’) and Yanis Massolin (90+7’).

What it changes

Bari stay 17th after this result (33 league matches played). Bari have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Bari have conceded 58 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Modena stay sixth after this result (32 league matches played). Modena have scored 49 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Modena have conceded 35 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Ambrosino (Modena) 6.9, M. Çuni (Bari) 6.1 and G. Moncini (Bari) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Modena, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bari 3–1 Modena · Serie B – Italy
  • Referee: A. Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bari 0 · draws 3 · Modena 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bari 2W 0D 3L · Modena 2W 1D 2L

Bari 3–1 Modena (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.5
Corners
against 7.25 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBari for / againstLineModena for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: A. Arena.

Bari

Bari Defensive

Bari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Moncini n 878.8
1.46/2
0.94/2
—
M. Dorval n 882.1
1.25/3
17/0
—
Emanuele Rao n 868.1
0.74/0
2.38/4
—
L. Dickmann n 871.4
1.15/2
1.75/5
—
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Bari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
G. Moncini n 878.8
00/0
M. Dorval n 882.1
1.96/4
Emanuele Rao n 868.1
0.73/1
L. Dickmann n 871.4
26/4
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Bari Attacking

Bari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 878.8
1.66/3
15/2
M. Dorval n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
Emanuele Rao n 868.1
1.56/3
1.25/2
L. Dickmann n 871.4
0.62/2
0.21/0
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Bari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 878.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Dorval n 882.1
00/0
0.31/1
Emanuele Rao n 868.1
0.84/1
0.21/0
L. Dickmann n 871.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Modena

Modena Defensive

Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
S. Santoro n 889.6
1.46/4
1.97/6
—
F. Zampano n 868.1
1.86/4
0.82/2
—
L. Zanimacchia n 880.9
0.32/0
1.88/3
—
E. Gliozzi n 842.4
1.94/2
1.34/1
—
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
S. Santoro n 889.6
2.87/6
F. Zampano n 868.1
0.73/1
L. Zanimacchia n 880.9
0.43/0
E. Gliozzi n 842.4
0.83/0
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Santoro n 889.6
0.82/2
0.42/1
F. Zampano n 868.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
L. Zanimacchia n 880.9
15/1
0.42/1
E. Gliozzi n 842.4
1.95/2
1.14/0
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Santoro n 889.6
00/0
0.42/1
F. Zampano n 868.1
0.21/0
00/0
L. Zanimacchia n 880.9
0.32/0
00/0
E. Gliozzi n 842.4
0.31/0
0.52/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BariModena
38%Possession62%
2.22Expected goals (xG)1.31
12Shots19
8Shots on target6
4Shots off target9
0Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box13
4Corners7
2Offsides0
2Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves6
258Passes399
71%Pass accuracy81%

Bari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cerofolini9000001008.2
A. Cistana9000001107.3
C. Odenthal9000100006.6
V. Mantovani90000000Y7.2
Moussa Mane9000001207
K. Piscopo9000111207.5
G. Maggiore87002101Y7.5
Tomás Esteves8700102106.5
Emanuele Rao6900330107.7
G. Moncini6910110006.3
F. Artioli6200102207.3
M. Braunöder sub2800001006.6
M. Dorval sub2101001207.6
M. Çuni sub2110220006.7
D. Traoré sub1200000006.3
M. Verreth sub1200000006.3

Modena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Chichizola9000000008.7
D. Tonoli9000000406.3
Bryant Nieling9000000205.9
F. Gerli90001000Y6.2
S. Santoro9000402306.9
M. De Luca9000111006
D. Adorni7900220206.3
L. Zanimacchia7500001106.3
E. Gliozzi4800212006.3
F. Zampano4500000106.2
S. Wiafe4500101105.5
Y. Massolin sub45001020Y6.9
Gady Beyuku sub4501002006.5
G. Ambrosino sub4210220108.3
M. Cotali sub1500101106.7
G. Defrel sub1100000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bari v Modena — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BariWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ModenaLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bari 0 · 3 draws · Modena 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-09-13 Modena 3–0 Bari
  • 2025-04-25 Bari 1–2 Modena
  • 2024-08-23 Modena 2–1 Bari
  • 2024-04-01 Modena 1–1 Bari
  • 2023-10-21 Bari 1–1 Modena
  • 2023-05-06 Modena 1–1 Bari
League standing · 2025/26
Bari#17 pos40 pts38 pl-22 GD
Modena#6 pos55 pts38 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Bari scored1
Modena scored1.29
Bari conceded1.58
Modena conceded0.95

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bari v Modena?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bari v Modena was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bari and Modena?
In their last 6 meetings, Bari won 0, Modena won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bari and Modena?
Recent form — Bari 2W 0D 3L; Modena 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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