Virtus Entella v Modena prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Comunale

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Virtus Entella v Modena, Serie B – Italy on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.36 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Virtus Entella host Modena in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Virtus Entella or Modena (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Modena have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Virtus Entella’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Virtus Entella’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Virtus Entella have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Virtus Entella have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Virtus Entella have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Modena have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25. Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Virtus Entella are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Modena are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Virtus Entella (14th) and Modena (second) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Modena the stronger side, 204 rating points above Virtus Entella (Modena 1607, Virtus Entella 1403, after at least 163 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Virtus Entella 2–1 Modena.

Team news

Predicted Virtus Entella XI (3-5-2): F. Del Frate, A. Tiritiello, M. Alborghetti, L. Parodi, A. Franzoni, N. Squizzato, L. Vignali, L. Benedetti, F. Mezzoni, L. Cuppone, B. Guiu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Tiritiello (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) and Bernat Guiu (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Virtus Entella’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Virtus Entella (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Tiritiello averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Bernat Guiu averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 831 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Modena XI (4-2-3-1): L. Chichizola, S. Nador, B. Nieling, F. Folino, D. Tonoli, A. Bianco, G. Brugman, S. Santoro, P. Azzi, G. Olzer, G. Ambrosino — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Ambrosino (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) and A. Belotti (4.8 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Modena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Modena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Ambrosino averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 935 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Belotti averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 343 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Comunale
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Virtus Entella 1 · draws 0 · Modena 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Virtus Entella 1W 2D 2L · Modena 3W 1D 1L

Virtus Entella v Modena (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 5.63

Corners

against 3.5 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 3.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Virtus Entella for / against	Line	Modena for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Virtus Entella

Virtus Entella Goalkeeper

Virtus Entella — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Del Frate	9	90810 min	212.3 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
E. Torrielli	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Virtus Entella — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Virtus Entella before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Del Frate n 8	90	2.5 4/3

Virtus Entella Defensive

Virtus Entella — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Alborghetti	10	82823 min	161.7 /90	212.3 /90	20.2 /90	454.9 /90	141.5 /90	20.2 /90
A. Tiritiello	9	89799 min	202.3 /90	111.2 /90	50.6 /90	697.8 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
L. Parodi	8	86689 min	60.8 /90	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	283.7 /90	111.4 /90	20.3 /90
I. Marconi	3	78234 min	31.2 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	93.5 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90
N. Previtali	3	67201 min	20.9 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	83.6 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Virtus Entella — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Virtus Entella before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Franzoni n 8	88.5	1.1 7/2	1.8 6/5	—
M. Alborghetti n 8	80.4	1.3 5/3	0.3 2/0	—
Bernat Guiu n 8	70.4	2.4 7/5	3.2 6/6	—
N. Squizzato n 8	72.1	1.6 6/3	0.2 1/0	—
F. Del Frate n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
See more players · Pro

Virtus Entella — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Virtus Entella before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Franzoni n 8	88.5	1.5 7/4
M. Alborghetti n 8	80.4	1.5 5/4
Bernat Guiu n 8	70.4	1.4 5/2
N. Squizzato n 8	72.1	2.3 6/3
A. Tiritiello n 8	88.6	2.4 8/7
See more players · Pro

Virtus Entella Attacking

Virtus Entella — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Bernat Guiu	10	74741 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	222.7 /90	91.1 /90	202.4 /90	111.3 /90
L. Cuppone	8	69554 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	162.6 /90	50.8 /90	61 /90	61 /90
M. Tirelli	6	49295 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	51.5 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
Giacomo Corona	4	33133 min	21.4 /90	00 /90	42.7 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
F. Forte	3	75225 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Virtus Entella — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Virtus Entella before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Franzoni n 8	88.5	1.5 6/4	0.8 5/1
M. Alborghetti n 8	80.4	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
Bernat Guiu n 8	70.4	3 8/5	1.4 6/2
N. Squizzato n 8	72.1	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
F. Del Frate n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Virtus Entella — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Virtus Entella before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Franzoni n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Alborghetti n 8	80.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Bernat Guiu n 8	70.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
N. Squizzato n 8	72.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Del Frate n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Chichizola	11	90990 min	292.6 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	2.4 7/2

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bryant Nieling	11	89979 min	201.8 /90	151.4 /90	20.2 /90	484.4 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
S. Nador	11	87952 min	191.8 /90	212 /90	90.9 /90	656.1 /90	131.2 /90	00 /90
D. Tonoli	9	85765 min	141.6 /90	80.9 /90	60.7 /90	374.4 /90	91.1 /90	20.2 /90
F. Zampano	8	71571 min	101.6 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	193 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
F. Folino	5	68341 min	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	215.5 /90	82.1 /90	10.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
S. Nador n 8	85.3	1.5 8/2	1.1 5/2	—
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	1.1 4/3	2.1 7/5	—
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.9 6/3	1.2 5/2	—
See more players · Pro

Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	2 6/4
S. Nador n 8	85.3	2 8/4
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.7 5/3
G. Brugman n 8	72.3	1.7 6/4
See more players · Pro

Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Ambrosino	11	85935 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	333.2 /90	121.2 /90	222.1 /90	101 /90
G. Caso	9	78698 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	172.2 /90	81 /90	131.7 /90	131.7 /90
A. Belotti	7	49343 min	71.8 /90	00 /90	133.4 /90	82.1 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90
L. Bacchin	2	2651 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Stênio	2	2243 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0
S. Nador n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	3.8 8/6	1.3 6/4
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.6 6/3	0.6 4/0
See more players · Pro

Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nador n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
G. Brugman n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Virtus Entella v Modena — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Virtus EntellaDWLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

ModenaWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Virtus Entella 1 · 0 draws · Modena 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-03 Virtus Entella 2–1 Modena
2025-10-05 Modena 2–0 Virtus Entella

League standing · 2026/27

Virtus Entella#14 pos10 pts10 pl-1 GD

Modena#2 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Virtus Entella scored1.1

Modena scored1.8

Virtus Entella conceded1.2

Modena conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Virtus Entella v Modena?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Virtus Entella v Modena is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Virtus Entella and Modena?: In their last 2 meetings, Virtus Entella won 1, Modena won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Virtus Entella and Modena?: Recent form — Virtus Entella 1W 2D 2L; Modena 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.