CarrareseMantova

Carrarese v Mantova result

Full-time · Carrarese 1–2 Mantova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio dei Marmi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Carrarese · Mantova

The model’s pre-match pick

Carrarese 1–2 Mantova — Mantova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mantova won 2–1 at Stadio dei Marmi in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 22 August. Carrarese are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Mantova led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Mantova: F. Ruocco (22’, assisted by E. Gliozzi) and R. Ilie (61’, assisted by A. Castellini); Carrarese: P. Pinelli (80’, assisted by M. Cissé).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Ruocco’s goal on 22 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Carrarese 0.86, Mantova 1.17, from 10 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Andrea Calzavara, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Carrarese: J. Rouhi (56’); Mantova: Bodin Tomašević (10’).

What it changes

Carrarese are 20th after this result (one league match played).

Mantova are second after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Ruocco (Mantova) 7.4, R. Ilie (Mantova) 6.9 and E. Gliozzi (Mantova) 6.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Mantova are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Carrarese, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Mantova next travel to Avellino on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Mantova: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Carrarese 1–2 Mantova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio dei Marmi · Carrara
  • Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Carrarese 0 · draws 3 · Mantova 1 · 1.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Carrarese 0W 2D 3L · Mantova 3W 0D 2L

Carrarese 1–2 Mantova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 3.25
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Andrea Calzavara, Italy
28.25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCarrarese for / againstLineMantova for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
15.25 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 28.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Garofani19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Ruggeri19090 min44 /9033 /9000 /9066 /9033 /9000 /90
L. Romani19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Oliana18181 min22.2 /9000 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9033.3 /9022.2 /90
Tommaso Guercio12626 min13.5 /9013.5 /9000 /90413.8 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Belloni19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9044 /9033 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Belloni n 863
27/3
1.34/3
S. Trimboli
F. Ruggeri n 878.4
1.66/3
0.74/1
A. Castellini
F. Oliana n 885.6
0.94/2
0.53/1
S. Cella
G. Parlanti n 874.1
27/3
2.77/4
S. Trimboli
T. Rubino n 848.9
1.85/3
1.25/0
—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Belloni n 863
2.36/3
F. Ruggeri n 878.4
25/4
F. Oliana n 885.6
1.76/4
G. Parlanti n 874.1
1.76/3
T. Rubino n 848.9
1.24/1
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cissé18282 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
F. Abiuso16464 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Belloni19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Y. Khafi19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Parlanti17676 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Ruggeri n 878.4
0.64/0
00/0
N. Belloni n 863
0.42/0
00/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
00/0
00/0
T. Rubino n 848.9
1.86/2
0.94/0
G. Parlanti n 874.1
0.94/2
0.53/0
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Belloni n 863
00/0
0.21/0
F. Ruggeri n 878.4
00/0
00/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
00/0
00/0
G. Parlanti n 874.1
00/0
00/0
T. Rubino n 848.9
00/0
00/0
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Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
2.55/4

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Castellini19090 min11 /9033 /9011 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
S. Cella19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
Bodin Tomašević15656 min11.6 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9034.8 /9011.6 /90
A. Meroni13434 min00 /9012.6 /9012.6 /9012.6 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Trimboli19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ruocco n 860.3
2.26/4
1.96/4
—
S. Trimboli n 889
2.16/5
2.17/6
G. Parlanti
S. Cella n 890
1.55/5
0.43/0
F. Oliana
A. Castellini n 888.1
1.16/3
16/1
F. Ruggeri
F. Bardi n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Castellini n 888.1
2.28/4
S. Trimboli n 889
1.36/2
F. Ruocco n 860.3
0.92/1
S. Cella n 890
0.32/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
1.47/4
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Gliozzi19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
F. Ruocco19090 min11 /9000 /9044 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Ilie15656 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9023.2 /9000 /90
D. Bragantini13434 min00 /9025.3 /9000 /9000 /9025.3 /9000 /90
S. Trimboli19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Ruocco n 860.3
1.95/3
0.72/1
S. Trimboli n 889
0.85/1
0.32/0
A. Castellini n 888.1
0.64/1
00/0
S. Cella n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Trimboli n 889
0.11/0
0.42/1
A. Castellini n 888.1
00/0
0.32/0
F. Ruocco n 860.3
0.21/0
00/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Cella n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CarrareseMantova
48%Possession52%
0.86Expected goals (xG)1.17
10Shots12
2Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box9
2Corners3
1Offsides0
19Fouls17
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
430Passes465
77%Pass accuracy81%

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Garofani9000000005.6
F. Ruggeri9000000407.5
F. Oliana9000000206.3
N. Belloni9000000107
G. Parlanti9000001506.9
M. Cissé9001311006.3
L. Romani8400100106.2
F. Reale8400000206.5
J. Rouhi75000032Y6.9
Y. Khafi5900000106
F. Abiuso5900200106.6
Tommaso Guercio sub3100001106.7
G. Marconi sub3100101007
P. Pinelli sub1510110107.7
Nicolás Schiavi sub1300001006.6
M. Finotto sub1300000006.2

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi9000000006.2
S. Cella9000000107.2
A. Castellini9001001206.9
S. Trimboli9000002307.2
L. Ignacchiti9000111207.5
F. Benaissa-Yahia9000102307
E. Gliozzi9001212106.5
R. Ilie6710213107.3
F. Ruocco6710210207.9
Jonathan Silva5700000106.9
Bodin Tomašević45000001Y6.6
A. Meroni sub4400000106.3
D. Wieser sub3300000106.3
Federico Chinetti sub2300001006.3
D. Bragantini sub2300000006.5
F. Paoletti sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Carrarese v Mantova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarrareseDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
MantovaLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Carrarese 0 · 3 draws · Mantova 1 · 1.75 goals/game
  • 2026-03-01 Mantova 1–1 Carrarese
  • 2025-12-27 Carrarese 0–0 Mantova
  • 2025-05-09 Mantova 2–1 Carrarese
  • 2024-10-20 Carrarese 1–1 Mantova
League standing · 2026/27
Carrarese#16 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Carrarese scored0.9
Mantova scored1.36
Carrarese conceded1.3
Mantova conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Carrarese v Mantova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Carrarese v Mantova was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Carrarese and Mantova?
In their last 4 meetings, Carrarese won 0, Mantova won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carrarese and Mantova?
Recent form — Carrarese 0W 2D 3L; Mantova 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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