CatanzaroPadova

Catanzaro v Padova result

Full-time · Catanzaro 1–1 Padova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Catanzaro · Padova

The model’s pre-match pick

Catanzaro 1–1 Padova — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.80 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Catanzaro and Padova drew 1–1 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 31 October. Catanzaro have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Catanzaro led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Catanzaro: M. Dorval (27’); Padova: K. Varas (66’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Varas’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Catanzaro out-shot Padova 25 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.77 xG to 0.39 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Catanzaro: A. Candela (15’) and Gabriel Arditi (82’); Padova: G. Giunti (27’) and Alessandro Dellavalle (52’).

What it changes

Catanzaro have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Catanzaro have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Catanzaro are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Padova are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Varas (Padova) 7.0, M. Dorval (Catanzaro) 6.3 and P. Iemmello (Catanzaro) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Catanzaro next travel to Cesena on 7 November 2026.

Padova next host Empoli on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Catanzaro: Cesena v Catanzaro, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Padova: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Catanzaro 1–1 Padova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo · Catanzaro
  • Referee: Niccolo Turrini
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Catanzaro 1 · draws 0 · Padova 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Catanzaro 0W 2D 3L · Padova 2W 0D 3L

Catanzaro 1–1 Padova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.25
Corners
against 6.38 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCatanzaro for / againstLinePadova for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 17.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Niccolo Turrini.

Catanzaro

Catanzaro Goalkeeper

Catanzaro — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Pigliacelli990810 min343.8 /90141.6 /9000 /90
Catanzaro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
3.57/6

Catanzaro Defensive

Catanzaro — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Matias Antonini983747 min91.1 /90161.9 /9040.5 /90364.3 /90141.7 /9030.4 /90
M. Ruggero978704 min141.8 /9060.8 /9070.9 /90334.2 /90121.5 /9020.3 /90
M. Imperiale773513 min61.1 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90213.7 /9040.7 /9020.4 /90
B. Verrengia474297 min30.9 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9082.4 /9041.2 /9000 /90
R. Frosinini431125 min53.6 /9021.4 /9000 /90107.2 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Catanzaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Petriccione n 886.6
0.54/0
2.28/5
P. Fusi
P. Iemmello n 884.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
Matias Antonini n 882.1
1.66/4
0.42/1
M. Lovato
M. Ruggero n 876.8
1.26/2
0.32/0
—
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Catanzaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Petriccione n 886.6
1.26/2
P. Iemmello n 884.4
0.42/1
Matias Antonini n 882.1
16/1
M. Ruggero n 876.8
2.17/5
G. Alesi n 878.4
1.97/4
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Catanzaro Attacking

Catanzaro — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Iemmello983748 min20.2 /9000 /90151.8 /9050.6 /9081 /9040.5 /90
N. Koffi770490 min10.2 /9000 /9091.7 /9040.7 /9050.9 /9061.1 /90
E. Pecorino544218 min10.4 /9010.4 /90114.5 /9062.5 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90
F. Di Francesco448192 min00 /9010.5 /9020.9 /9000 /9073.3 /9010.5 /90
M. D'Alessandro437148 min10.6 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Catanzaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Petriccione n 886.6
0.84/1
0.11/0
P. Iemmello n 884.4
1.98/5
0.53/1
Matias Antonini n 882.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
M. Ruggero n 876.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Catanzaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Petriccione n 886.6
00/0
00/0
P. Iemmello n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
Matias Antonini n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
M. Ruggero n 876.8
00/0
00/0
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Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Sorrentino1090900 min414.1 /9080.8 /9000 /90
Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 890
4.18/6

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle1090900 min292.9 /90202 /90111.1 /90484.8 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90
M. Lovato983747 min91.1 /90131.6 /9070.8 /90344.1 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
C. Pastina880641 min202.8 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90375.2 /9071 /9010.1 /90
F. Sgarbi484337 min51.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90123.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
E. Zuelli1088881 min141.4 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90282.9 /90101 /9010.1 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
1.14/3
0.54/0
—
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
E. Zuelli n 887.6
14/2
0.65/0
—
P. Fusi n 859.9
4.57/6
0.95/0
J. Petriccione
M. Lovato n 890
0.63/2
0.63/1
Matias Antonini
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
38/7
E. Zuelli n 887.6
1.46/3
P. Fusi n 859.9
3.98/4
M. Lovato n 890
1.16/2
L. Carissoni n 870.4
1.86/4
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Moro871568 min00 /9000 /9081.3 /9010.2 /9020.3 /9061 /90
K. Lasagna742292 min00 /9000 /9082.5 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9000 /90
G. Caprari657342 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9061.6 /90
G. Artistico471283 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9031 /9000 /90
M. Bortolussi439155 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9000 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
0.63/1
0.11/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 887.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
P. Fusi n 859.9
0.62/1
00/0
M. Lovato n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
P. Fusi n 859.9
00/0
00/0
M. Lovato n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CatanzaroPadova
57%Possession43%
1.77Expected goals (xG)0.39
25Shots5
5Shots on target1
9Shots off target3
11Blocked shots1
18Shots inside the box3
11Corners2
0Offsides2
13Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
514Passes397

Catanzaro Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pigliacelli9000000006.2
Matias Antonini9000200107
M. Imperiale9000300107.1
F. Tchaouna9000210406.6
M. Dorval9010212107.8
G. Alesi9000304207.2
P. Iemmello7900622006.8
N. Koffi7900303006
R. Frosinini7600201107
J. Petriccione7600005107.2
A. Candela65001001Y5.9
M. Ruggero2500000006.3
N. Mosti1400111006.5
M. D'Alessandro1400000006.5
N. Buso1100001006.7
Gabriel Arditi11000000Y6.3

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000006.9
Alessandro Dellavalle90000004Y6.7
M. Lovato9000000106.4
L. Carissoni9000000006.1
K. Varas9010210208
A. Capelli9000001306.8
L. Moro9000200106.2
G. Artistico8100001006.1
F. Sgarbi5600000006.3
M. Pompetti4500000006.6
E. Zuelli4500101006.9
P. Fusi4500000005.9
G. Giunti45000002Y6.6
M. Cocchi3400000106.3
M. Bortolussi900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Catanzaro v Padova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CatanzaroLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
PadovaLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Catanzaro 1 · 0 draws · Padova 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Padova 1–3 Catanzaro
  • 2025-10-19 Catanzaro 0–1 Padova
League standing · 2026/27
Catanzaro#20 pos6 pts10 pl-11 GD
Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Catanzaro scored1.1
Padova scored1
Catanzaro conceded2.2
Padova conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Catanzaro v Padova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Catanzaro v Padova was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Padova?
In their last 2 meetings, Catanzaro won 1, Padova won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Catanzaro and Padova?
Recent form — Catanzaro 0W 2D 3L; Padova 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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