Cesena v Carrarese prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Cesena v Carrarese, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cesena host Carrarese in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 14:00 UK).

Form and the table

Six of Cesena’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Cesena’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Cesena have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Cesena have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Cesena have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Carrarese’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Carrarese’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Carrarese have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.63. Carrarese have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Carrarese have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cesena (12th) and Carrarese (15th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Carrarese the stronger side, 16 rating points above Cesena (Carrarese 1438, Cesena 1422, after at least 86 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Carrarese 0–0 Cesena.

Team news

Predicted Cesena XI (4-2-3-1): A. Siano, A. Ciofi, G. Frabotta, M. Mangraviti, J. Gelli, D. Bisoli, R. Pagano, E. Bohinen, M. Guidi, X. Druiventak, C. Shpendi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, X. Druiventak (4.2 per match over three appearances, one assist) and C. Shpendi (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Cesena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cesena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Shpendi averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 962 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Carrarese XI (3-5-2): S. Pizzignacco, F. Oliana, F. Ruggeri, F. Reale, J. Rouhi, N. Schiavi, G. Parlanti, M. Braunöder, J. Martini, F. Abiuso, G. Marconi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Rouhi (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and G. Parlanti (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Carrarese’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Carrarese (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Rouhi averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 930 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. G. Parlanti averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 851 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Head-to-head (last 4): Cesena 2 · draws 1 · Carrarese 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Cesena 1W 2D 2L · Carrarese 3W 0D 2L

Cesena v Carrarese (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 5

Corners

against 4.75 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Cesena for / against	Line	Carrarese for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Cesena

Cesena Goalkeeper

Cesena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Siano	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	100.9 /90	00 /90

Cesena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Siano n 8	90	3 8/7

Cesena Defensive

Cesena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Ciofi	11	85930 min	70.7 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	222.1 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ilić	10	83826 min	91 /90	212.3 /90	40.4 /90	414.5 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90
G. Frabotta	10	60603 min	131.9 /90	81.2 /90	71 /90	355.2 /90	91.3 /90	30.4 /90
J. Gelli	9	82738 min	151.8 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90	496 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Mangraviti	9	74662 min	91.2 /90	40.5 /90	50.7 /90	293.9 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Cesena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Siano n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	0.7 3/1	1.1 5/2	—
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	2.2 8/5	0.8 4/1	—
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	0.3 2/0	0.9 4/1	—
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	1.4 8/1	0.7 3/1	—
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Cesena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	1 5/2
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	0.5 2/2
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	1.4 5/3
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	1.2 4/4
R. Pagano n 8	81.6	2.2 7/4
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Cesena Attacking

Cesena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Shpendi	11	84928 min	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	212 /90	131.3 /90	141.4 /90	50.5 /90
A. Fiori	9	59533 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	203.4 /90	81.4 /90	71.2 /90	50.8 /90
L. D'Andrea	7	46321 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.7 /90
A. Debenedetti	6	23139 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
M. Caprini	2	3876 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90
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Cesena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Siano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	2.1 7/7	1.4 7/3
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	1 4/2	0 0/0
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Cesena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Siano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ciofi n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Shpendi n 8	86.4	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
D. Bisoli n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
M. Ilić n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Pizzignacco	8	90720 min	172.1 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
G. Garofani	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Pizzignacco n 8	90	2.1 4/3
G. Garofani n 3	90	3.3 3/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Oliana	11	89981 min	131.2 /90	191.7 /90	141.3 /90	444 /90	161.5 /90	40.4 /90
F. Ruggeri	11	87955 min	222.1 /90	151.4 /90	90.8 /90	504.7 /90	171.6 /90	20.2 /90
F. Reale	10	88875 min	202.1 /90	90.9 /90	70.7 /90	333.4 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90
Tommaso Guercio	5	25124 min	53.6 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	1410.2 /90	42.9 /90	00 /90
L. Romani	4	89354 min	41 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	174.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Oliana n 8	90	1.4 7/3	0.3 2/0	—
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	1.1 4/4	0.4 3/0	—
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	1 3/2	0.1 1/0	—
G. Parlanti n 8	75.8	2.4 8/5	2.1 7/4	—
F. Abiuso n 8	80.1	1.7 7/3	2.4 8/5	—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Oliana n 8	90	1 5/2
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	1.7 7/5
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	1.4 6/4
G. Parlanti n 8	75.8	2.8 7/5
F. Abiuso n 8	80.1	0.7 3/2
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Abiuso	11	77843 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	222.3 /90	70.7 /90	60.6 /90	60.6 /90
G. Marconi	10	39385 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	112.6 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90	51.2 /90
T. Rubino	8	46371 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	122.9 /90	71.7 /90	51.2 /90	92.2 /90
M. Cissé	7	60417 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	102.2 /90	30.6 /90	51.1 /90	61.3 /90
M. Finotto	2	2141 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.2 /90	00 /90	12.2 /90	00 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Oliana n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
G. Parlanti n 8	75.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
F. Abiuso n 8	80.1	2.2 7/5	0.8 3/1
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Oliana n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Parlanti n 8	75.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
F. Abiuso n 8	80.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cesena v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CesenaLDLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

CarrareseWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Cesena 2 · 1 draw · Carrarese 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-01 Carrarese 0–0 Cesena
2025-10-28 Cesena 2–1 Carrarese
2024-12-29 Carrarese 2–0 Cesena
2024-08-18 Cesena 2–1 Carrarese

League standing · 2026/27

Cesena#12 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD

Carrarese#15 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Cesena scored1.1

Carrarese scored0.9

Cesena conceded1.4

Carrarese conceded1.3

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cesena and Carrarese?: In their last 4 meetings, Cesena won 2, Carrarese won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cesena and Carrarese?: Recent form — Cesena 1W 2D 2L; Carrarese 3W 0D 2L.

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