Empoli v Palermo result

Full-time · Empoli 2–4 Palermo

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 BST · Stadio Carlo Castellani

Updated 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Empoli · Palermo

The model’s pre-match pick

Empoli 2–4 Palermo — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo won 4–2 at Stadio Carlo Castellani in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 10 October. Palermo have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Empoli: E. Saporiti (50’ pen) and B. Popov (79’ pen); Palermo: J. Pohjanpalo (57’, assisted by M. Bani), A. Palumbo (65’, assisted by D. Johnsen), D. Johnsen (69’, assisted by A. Palumbo) and T. Cassandro (88’, assisted by A. Gabrielloni).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Palumbo’s goal on 65 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Empoli 1.91, Palermo 4.91, from 6 shots to 35 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Livio Marinelli, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Empoli: J. Seghetti (57’); Palermo: F. Ranocchia (75’).

What it changes

Empoli stay 12th after this result (six league matches played). Empoli have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Empoli have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Palermo stay first after this result (six league matches played). Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 6, across 10 matches. Empoli have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Palermo are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Palumbo (Palermo) 10.5, D. Johnsen (Palermo) 9.7 and T. Cassandro (Palermo) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Empoli or Palermo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Empoli next travel to Padova on 7 November 2026.

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Empoli: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Empoli 2–4 Palermo · Serie B – Italy
Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani · Empoli
Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Empoli 1 · draws 1 · Palermo 2 · 4.75 goals/game
Recent form: Empoli 2W 0D 3L · Palermo 4W 1D 0L

Empoli 2–4 Palermo (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.38

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4 / 4

Corners

against 3.57 / 5.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.14 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 5.14 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.71 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.2 yellows

Referee · Livio Marinelli, Italy

28.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Empoli for / against	Line	Palermo for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.14 for · 14.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.14 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.29 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 28.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Empoli

Empoli Goalkeeper

Empoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Seghetti	5	90450 min	214.2 /90	51 /90	00 /90

Empoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Seghetti n 6	90	4 6/4

Empoli Defensive

Empoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Cauz	5	90450 min	102 /90	112.2 /90	10.2 /90	193.8 /90	71.4 /90	10.2 /90
L. Magnino	5	90449 min	132.6 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	224.4 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90
M. Curto	4	79315 min	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	113.1 /90	72 /90	10.3 /90
S. Romagnoli	2	68135 min	21.3 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	53.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Saporiti	5	85425 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	194 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
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Empoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Cauz n 5	90	1.4 4/3	0.4 2/0	T. Augello
J. Seghetti n 6	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0	—
L. Magnino n 8	89.9	1.1 6/3	1.3 6/3	J. Segre
E. Saporiti n 8	70.9	1 5/1	1.4 4/2	D. Johnsen
Gerard Yepes n 8	81.8	1.1 6/2	1.8 6/5	—
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Empoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cauz n 5	90	2 5/4
L. Magnino n 8	89.9	2.1 8/4
E. Saporiti n 8	70.9	1 5/1
Gerard Yepes n 8	81.8	3.3 7/6
S. Shpendi n 8	71.8	1.1 4/2
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Empoli Attacking

Empoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Shpendi	5	65323 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
B. Popov	5	30151 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90
J. Ceesay	4	67267 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90
F. Distefano	3	58174 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	10.5 /90
E. Saporiti	5	85425 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90	102.1 /90	81.7 /90
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Empoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cauz n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
J. Seghetti n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Magnino n 8	89.9	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
E. Saporiti n 8	70.9	1.9 6/4	0.8 5/0
Gerard Yepes n 8	81.8	0.7 4/1	0.4 2/1
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Empoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Cauz n 5	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
J. Seghetti n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Magnino n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
E. Saporiti n 8	70.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1
Gerard Yepes n 8	81.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Fortin	5	89445 min	214.2 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
M. Perin	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 5	89	4.2 5/5

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Augello	6	90540 min	61 /90	122 /90	20.3 /90	233.8 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
T. Cassandro	6	57343 min	92.4 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	236 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
P. Ceccaroni	5	90450 min	51 /90	10.2 /90	40.8 /90	153 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
M. Bani	5	81405 min	81.8 /90	81.8 /90	51.1 /90	245.3 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
N. Pierozzi	4	67266 min	31 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90	72.4 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Vavassori n 7	74.7	0.9 4/1	2.2 5/3	—
J. Segre n 8	70.3	2.1 7/5	0.8 3/2	L. Magnino
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	71.8	1.4 5/3	0.5 3/0	—
D. Johnsen n 8	67.3	0.5 2/1	1.3 6/1	E. Saporiti
T. Augello n 8	86.4	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0	C. Cauz
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 7	74.7	0.3 2/0
J. Segre n 8	70.3	1.9 6/3
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	71.8	0 0/0
D. Johnsen n 8	67.3	1.2 4/3
T. Augello n 8	86.4	1 5/2
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Pohjanpalo	7	69484 min	40.7 /90	20.4 /90	91.7 /90	61.1 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90
Gabriel Strefezza	5	36179 min	21 /90	00 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
J. Le Douaron	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90
D. Vavassori	7	75523 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	111.9 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	81.4 /90
J. Segre	7	73512 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	71.2 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 7	74.7	1.9 6/2	1.4 5/2
J. Segre n 8	70.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	71.8	1.7 7/4	1.1 5/2
D. Johnsen n 8	67.3	2.8 8/5	1.5 8/1
T. Augello n 8	86.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 7	74.7	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
J. Segre n 8	70.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	71.8	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
D. Johnsen n 8	67.3	0.7 4/0	1 5/1
T. Augello n 8	86.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Empoli		Palermo
41%	Possession	59%
1.91	Expected goals (xG)	4.91
6	Shots	35
2	Shots on target	12
2	Shots off target	12
2	Blocked shots	11
5	Shots inside the box	24
1	Corners	5
2	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	12
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
8	Saves	1
386	Passes	563
81%	Pass accuracy	87%

Empoli Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Seghetti	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	8.5
M. Curto	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
C. Cauz	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
L. Magnino	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
E. Saporiti	90	1	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
B. Popov	90	1	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
J. Ceesay	89	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
N. Corrado	71	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
E. Biondini	71	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Romagnoli	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
F. Bandinelli	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
K. Zedadka sub	45	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.7
L. Deli sub	45	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
S. Shpendi sub	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
D. Degli Innocenti sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Egan sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Palermo Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Fortin	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Cassandro	90	1	0	1	1	2	5	0	7.9
M. Bani	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	7.2
P. Ceccaroni	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
D. Vavassori	90	0	0	6	1	2	0	0	6.3
T. Augello	90	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.2
D. Johnsen	85	1	1	5	3	2	0	0	8.9
F. Ranocchia	80	0	0	0	0	5	1	Y	7
J. Segre	79	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	6.6
A. Palumbo	79	1	1	4	4	6	1	0	10
J. Pohjanpalo	79	1	0	5	2	1	0	0	7.2
P. Peda sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Gabrielloni sub	11	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Hernani sub	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
L. Mazzitelli sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
N. Estévez sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Empoli v Palermo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EmpoliWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

PalermoWWWDW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Empoli 1 · 1 draw · Palermo 2 · 4.75 goals/game

2026-02-07 Palermo 3–2 Empoli
2025-12-07 Empoli 1–3 Palermo
2018-02-02 Empoli 4–0 Palermo
2017-09-09 Palermo 3–3 Empoli

League standing · 2026/27

Empoli#18 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD

Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Empoli scored1

Palermo scored2.4

Empoli conceded1.7

Palermo conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Empoli v Palermo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Empoli v Palermo was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Empoli and Palermo?: In their last 4 meetings, Empoli won 1, Palermo won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Empoli and Palermo?: Recent form — Empoli 2W 0D 3L; Palermo 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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