Mantova v Ascoli prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Ascoli, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Mantova host Ascoli in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 14:00 UK).

The key numbers

Ascoli have conceded seven goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Seven of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Mantova have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Mantova have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Mantova have conceded 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Ascoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Ascoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Ascoli have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. Ascoli have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Mantova are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Ascoli are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Mantova (fourth) and Ascoli (second) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ascoli the stronger side, 89 rating points above Mantova (Ascoli 1649, Mantova 1559, after at least 87 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Mantova XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bardi, A. Castellini, B. Tomašević, S. Cella, F. Benaissa-Yahia, S. Trimboli, R. Kouda, F. Ruocco, R. Ilie, L. Ignacchiti, E. Gliozzi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Ruocco (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals) and Jonathan Silva (3.7 per match over eight appearances) have been Mantova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Mantova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Ruocco averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 952 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jonathan Silva averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 598 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Ascoli XI (4-2-3-1): S. Vitale, N. Rizzo, M. Curado, A. Guiébré, L. Venuti, G. Corradini, A. Silipo, S. Damiani, G. Acampora, S. D'Uffizi, A. Chakir — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Silipo (3.8 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and one assist) and A. Guiébré (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) have been Ascoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ascoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Silipo averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 839 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. A. Guiébré averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1080 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Danilo Martelli
Recent form: Mantova 1W 2D 2L · Ascoli 2W 3D 0L

Mantova v Ascoli (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 0.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 6.25

Corners

against 3.5 / 3.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Mantova for / against	Line	Ascoli for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Bardi	13	901170 min	352.7 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 8	90	2.8 7/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Cella	13	901170 min	181.4 /90	131 /90	50.4 /90	534.1 /90	241.8 /90	30.2 /90
A. Castellini	13	891156 min	211.6 /90	171.3 /90	40.3 /90	483.7 /90	171.3 /90	30.2 /90
Bodin Tomašević	12	81976 min	252.3 /90	100.9 /90	50.5 /90	666.1 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90
T. Del Lungo	3	60179 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
A. Meroni	2	3978 min	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Cella n 8	90	2.4 8/5	0.6 4/1	—
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.5 5/3	0.9 6/1	—
A. Castellini n 8	90	1.3 5/1	0.4 3/0	—
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	1.2 5/2	1.9 6/5	—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 8	90	1.1 6/3
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.9 8/6
A. Castellini n 8	90	1.8 6/3
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	0.3 2/0
R. Ilie n 8	57.3	2.4 5/3
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Ruocco	13	73952 min	70.7 /90	00 /90	262.5 /90	131.2 /90	141.3 /90	60.6 /90
R. Ilie	13	60785 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	161.8 /90	60.7 /90	232.6 /90	151.7 /90
E. Gliozzi	12	55661 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	192.6 /90	81.1 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90
D. Bragantini	10	47474 min	10.2 /90	40.8 /90	112.1 /90	50.9 /90	122.3 /90	50.9 /90
V. Vlahović	7	36249 min	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	124.3 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Castellini n 8	90	1.3 4/3	0.5 3/1
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	2.5 7/7	0.9 4/2
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Castellini n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
F. Ruocco n 8	72.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Ascoli

Ascoli Goalkeeper

Ascoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Vitale	12	901080 min	443.7 /90	100.8 /90	00 /90

Ascoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Vitale n 8	90	3.8 8/5

Ascoli Defensive

Ascoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Guiébré	12	901080 min	231.9 /90	141.2 /90	40.3 /90	756.3 /90	161.3 /90	50.4 /90
N. Rizzo	11	90990 min	191.7 /90	181.6 /90	80.7 /90	504.5 /90	141.3 /90	40.4 /90
F. Gattoni	3	61183 min	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	42 /90	21 /90
L. Venuti	3	58174 min	42.1 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	94.7 /90	21 /90	00 /90
S. D'Uffizi	12	841012 min	80.7 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	554.9 /90	90.8 /90	30.3 /90
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Ascoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1.8 8/4	—
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. D'Uffizi n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1	2.5 7/6	—
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	1.1 5/2	1.1 3/2	—
A. Silipo n 8	66.9	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0	—
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Ascoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	2.1 7/5
S. D'Uffizi n 8	85.6	0.8 5/1
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	2.7 7/6
A. Silipo n 8	66.9	0.5 3/0
T. Milanese n 8	49.9	0.7 3/0
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Ascoli Attacking

Ascoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Curado	10	67665 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	152 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
G. Gori	8	38303 min	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	113.3 /90	51.5 /90	82.4 /90	20.6 /90
D. Bolsius	7	42295 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	82.4 /90
M. Brunori	5	51257 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	72.5 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90
A. Chakir	5	44222 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
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Ascoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.4 3/0
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. D'Uffizi n 8	85.6	1.1 4/3	0.4 3/0
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
A. Silipo n 8	66.9	2.9 7/5	1.7 5/2
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Ascoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. D'Uffizi n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Silipo n 8	66.9	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mantova v Ascoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MantovaLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

AscoliDWWDD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD

Ascoli#2 pos20 pts11 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Mantova scored1.36

Ascoli scored1.55

Mantova conceded1

Ascoli conceded0.64

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