MantovaPalermo

Mantova v Palermo result

Full-time · Mantova 0–2 Palermo

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mantova · Palermo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Mantova 0–2 Palermo — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo won 2–0 at Stadio Danilo Martelli in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 17 October. Palermo are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Palermo: J. Segre (62’) and Hernani (86’, assisted by D. Vavassori).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Segre’s goal on 62 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Mantova 1.84, Palermo 1.94, from 15 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Luca Zufferli, Italy showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Palermo: M. Bani (21’).

What it changes

Mantova stay second after this result (seven league matches played). Mantova have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Mantova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Palermo stay first after this result (seven league matches played). Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Palermo have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Vavassori (Palermo) 5.7, J. Segre (Palermo) 5.5 and Mattia Perin (Palermo) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Mantova, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Mantova next host Hellas Verona on 7 November 2026.

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mantova: Mantova v Hellas Verona, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Mantova 0–2 Palermo · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli · Mantova
  • Referee: Luca Zufferli, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Mantova 0 · draws 3 · Palermo 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mantova 2W 2D 1L · Palermo 4W 1D 0L

Mantova 0–2 Palermo (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMantova for / againstLinePalermo for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Luca Zufferli, Italy.

Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi890720 min212.6 /9091.1 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
2.66/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cella890720 min121.5 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90303.8 /90111.4 /9010.1 /90
A. Castellini888706 min182.3 /90131.7 /9020.3 /90324.1 /90101.3 /9020.3 /90
Bodin Tomašević775526 min132.2 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90264.4 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
T. Del Lungo24895 min10.9 /9000 /9000 /9032.8 /9010.9 /9000 /90
A. Meroni23978 min11.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Cella n 890
1.46/3
0.32/0
T. Augello
F. Bardi n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
1.65/4
0.85/1
J. Segre
A. Castellini n 888.3
1.37/1
0.54/0
T. Augello
Jonathan Silva n 874.8
1.44/3
0.63/1
—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
1.56/4
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
28/6
A. Castellini n 888.3
2.38/5
Jonathan Silva n 874.8
3.98/6
L. Ignacchiti n 874.1
2.67/7
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Ruocco871568 min71.1 /9000 /90142.2 /90101.6 /9091.4 /9050.8 /90
R. Ilie865520 min10.2 /9030.5 /90101.7 /9050.9 /90162.8 /9081.4 /90
E. Gliozzi860478 min10.2 /9010.2 /90142.6 /9061.1 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90
D. Bragantini635208 min10.4 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9052.2 /9041.7 /90
V. Vlahović534171 min21.1 /9010.5 /9084.2 /9031.6 /9031.6 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
A. Castellini n 888.3
0.83/2
0.43/0
Jonathan Silva n 874.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
00/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Castellini n 888.3
00/0
0.54/0
Jonathan Silva n 874.8
00/0
00/0
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Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Fortin689535 min213.5 /9061 /9000 /90
M. Perin290180 min73.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 689.2
3.55/5

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Augello790630 min60.9 /90121.7 /9030.4 /90243.4 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
T. Cassandro762433 min142.9 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90306.2 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90
P. Ceccaroni690540 min61 /9010.2 /9040.7 /90203.3 /9040.7 /9000 /90
M. Bani683495 min81.5 /90101.8 /9050.9 /90264.7 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90
N. Pierozzi467266 min31 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9072.4 /9041.4 /9010.3 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Vavassori n 876.6
0.95/1
2.26/4
—
J. Segre n 873.9
1.87/4
0.94/2
F. Benaissa-Yahia
J. Pohjanpalo n 870.4
1.14/2
0.32/0
—
D. Johnsen n 868.5
0.31/1
1.15/1
—
T. Augello n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
A. Castellini
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 876.6
0.32/0
J. Segre n 873.9
1.86/3
J. Pohjanpalo n 870.4
00/0
D. Johnsen n 868.5
1.14/3
T. Augello n 890
15/2
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Pohjanpalo870563 min50.8 /9020.3 /90142.2 /9081.3 /9061 /9020.3 /90
Gabriel Strefezza536179 min21 /9000 /9042 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Le Douaron14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /90
D. Vavassori877613 min30.4 /9010.1 /90172.5 /9091.3 /9071 /9091.3 /90
J. Segre874591 min00 /9010.2 /9020.3 /9020.3 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 876.6
2.57/3
1.36/2
J. Segre n 873.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 870.4
2.27/4
1.35/3
D. Johnsen n 868.5
3.38/5
1.88/2
T. Augello n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 876.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Segre n 873.9
00/0
0.21/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 870.4
0.84/1
0.32/0
D. Johnsen n 868.5
0.85/0
1.16/1
T. Augello n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MantovaPalermo
56%Possession44%
1.84Expected goals (xG)1.94
15Shots13
4Shots on target4
8Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box11
3Corners3
2Offsides3
15Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves4
506Passes398
82%Pass accuracy75%

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi9000000005.9
Bodin Tomašević9000103107.3
S. Cella9000001207
A. Castellini9000000006.7
S. Trimboli9000000106.3
F. Benaissa-Yahia9000001106.6
D. Bragantini9000314106.9
T. Del Lungo8400001106.7
R. Kouda7400221006.5
F. Ruocco7400301006.8
R. Ilie5500300106.2
L. Ignacchiti3500000006.3
I. Cajazzo1600000006.1
E. Gliozzi1600210006.6
J. Longonda600000006

Palermo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Perin9000000007.1
T. Cassandro9000101307.7
M. Bani90000002Y7.3
P. Ceccaroni9000000007
D. Vavassori9001104008
T. Augello9000000407.3
J. Segre8410311108.2
A. Palumbo8400310106.6
D. Johnsen7700212206.4
J. Pohjanpalo7700101006.4
F. Ranocchia6600100306.5
N. Estévez2400000206.8
Hernani1310110107.7
A. Gabrielloni1300000006.4
L. Mazzitelli600000006.8
P. Peda600000007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mantova v Palermo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MantovaLDWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
PalermoWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Mantova 0 · 3 draws · Palermo 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • 2026-09-03 Palermo 5–2 Mantova
  • 2026-03-04 Palermo 2–1 Mantova
  • 2026-01-11 Mantova 1–1 Palermo
  • 2025-02-16 Palermo 2–2 Mantova
  • 2024-10-30 Mantova 0–0 Palermo
League standing · 2026/27
Mantova#4 pos18 pts10 pl+4 GD
Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Mantova scored1.5
Palermo scored2.4
Mantova conceded1.1
Palermo conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Mantova v Palermo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Palermo was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Mantova and Palermo?
In their last 5 meetings, Mantova won 0, Palermo won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mantova and Palermo?
Recent form — Mantova 2W 2D 1L; Palermo 4W 1D 0L.

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