Modena v Arezzo prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Alberto Braglia

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Arezzo, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Modena host Arezzo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 14:00 UK).

The key numbers

Modena have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Modena have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.00. Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Arezzo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Arezzo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Arezzo have four wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 2.11. Arezzo have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Arezzo have conceded 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Modena are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Arezzo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Modena (second) and Arezzo (13th) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Modena the stronger side, 254 rating points above Arezzo (Modena 1607, Arezzo 1353, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Modena XI (3-5-2): L. Chichizola, S. Nador, B. Nieling, F. Folino, A. Bianco, G. Brugman, S. Santoro, P. Azzi, G. Olzer, G. Ambrosino, A. Belotti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Ambrosino (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) and A. Belotti (4.8 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Modena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Modena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Ambrosino averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 935 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Belotti averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 343 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Arezzo XI (4-3-3): A. Nunziante, M. Coppolaro, S. Righetti, A. Renzi, M. Gilli, A. Ioniţă, M. Sala, S. Mawuli, A. Cerri, E. Pattarello, L. Mancuso — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mattia Sala (3.2 per match over 11 appearances) and S. Righetti (3.2 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Arezzo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arezzo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mattia Sala averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 751 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. S. Righetti averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 824 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Alberto Braglia
Recent form: Modena 3W 1D 1L · Arezzo 1W 2D 2L

Modena v Arezzo (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 3.38

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 2.5

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.88 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Modena for / against	Line	Arezzo for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.88 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Chichizola	11	90990 min	292.6 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	2.4 7/2

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bryant Nieling	11	89979 min	201.8 /90	151.4 /90	20.2 /90	484.4 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
S. Nador	11	87952 min	191.8 /90	212 /90	90.9 /90	656.1 /90	131.2 /90	00 /90
D. Tonoli	9	85765 min	141.6 /90	80.9 /90	60.7 /90	374.4 /90	91.1 /90	20.2 /90
F. Zampano	8	71571 min	101.6 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	193 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
F. Folino	5	68341 min	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	215.5 /90	82.1 /90	10.3 /90
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Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
S. Nador n 8	85.3	1.5 8/2	1.1 5/2	—
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	1.1 4/3	2.1 7/5	—
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.9 6/3	1.2 5/2	—
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	2 6/4
S. Nador n 8	85.3	2 8/4
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.7 5/3
G. Brugman n 8	72.3	1.7 6/4
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Ambrosino	11	85935 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	333.2 /90	121.2 /90	222.1 /90	101 /90
G. Caso	9	78698 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	172.2 /90	81 /90	131.7 /90	131.7 /90
A. Belotti	7	49343 min	71.8 /90	00 /90	133.4 /90	82.1 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90
L. Bacchin	2	2651 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Stênio	2	2243 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90
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Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0
S. Nador n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	3.8 8/6	1.3 6/4
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.6 6/3	0.6 4/0
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nador n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
G. Brugman n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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Arezzo

Arezzo Goalkeeper

Arezzo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Nunziante	11	911000 min	262.3 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

Arezzo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Nunziante n 8	90	2.4 6/3

Arezzo Defensive

Arezzo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Righetti	10	82824 min	161.7 /90	131.4 /90	20.2 /90	414.5 /90	141.5 /90	10.1 /90
M. Gilli	10	79794 min	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	50.6 /90	445 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
A. Renzi	9	91820 min	242.6 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	374.1 /90	91 /90	00 /90
M. Coppolaro	9	78703 min	91.2 /90	151.9 /90	20.3 /90	253.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
J. Illanes	6	83500 min	71.3 /90	71.3 /90	30.5 /90	264.7 /90	81.4 /90	10.2 /90
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Arezzo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Nunziante n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 3/2	—
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	1.9 7/4	0.2 1/0	—
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	1.5 6/3	2 7/3	—
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	1.4 6/2	1.8 7/4	—
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	1.2 5/2	1.6 7/2	—
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Arezzo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	2.1 6/5
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	1.7 7/4
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	1 3/2
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	2.7 7/4
A. Arena n 8	53.3	1.7 6/2
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Arezzo Attacking

Arezzo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Cerri	7	53374 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.9 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
P. Cianci	7	52363 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90
E. Pattarello	7	49342 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90
L. Mancuso	4	40158 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
M. Olivieri	2	67134 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Arezzo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Nunziante n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	0.8 5/0	0.5 3/0
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	0.9 4/3	0.1 1/0
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
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Arezzo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Nunziante n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Modena v Arezzo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ModenaWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

ArezzoDWLLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Modena#2 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD

Arezzo#13 pos11 pts10 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Modena scored1.8

Arezzo scored0.9

Modena conceded1

Arezzo conceded1.9

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