Modena v Padova prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Alberto Braglia

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Padova, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Modena host Padova in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 14:00 UK).

The key numbers

Modena have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Modena have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.00. Modena have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Modena have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Padova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of Padova’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Padova have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.38. Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Modena are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Padova are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Modena (second) and Padova (ninth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Modena the stronger side, 130 rating points above Padova (Modena 1607, Padova 1477, after at least 84 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Modena 1–2 Padova.

Team news

Predicted Modena XI (3-5-2): L. Chichizola, S. Nador, B. Nieling, F. Folino, A. Bianco, G. Brugman, S. Santoro, P. Azzi, G. Olzer, G. Ambrosino, A. Belotti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Ambrosino (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) and A. Belotti (4.8 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Modena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Modena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Ambrosino averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 935 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Belotti averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 343 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Padova XI (3-5-2): A. Sorrentino, M. Lovato, A. Dellavalle, C. Pastina, E. Zuelli, P. Fusi, A. Capelli, G. Giunti, M. Pompetti, L. Moro, G. Artistico — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alessandro Dellavalle (4.0 per match over 11 appearances) and C. Pastina (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Padova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Padova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alessandro Dellavalle averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 990 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. C. Pastina averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 641 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Alberto Braglia
Head-to-head (last 2): Modena 0 · draws 0 · Padova 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Modena 3W 1D 1L · Padova 2W 1D 2L

Modena v Padova (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 4.25

Corners

against 3.5 / 6.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2

Cards

against 2.88 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Modena for / against	Line	Padova for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 19.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Modena

Modena Goalkeeper

Modena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Chichizola	11	90990 min	292.6 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Modena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	2.4 7/2

Modena Defensive

Modena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bryant Nieling	11	89979 min	201.8 /90	151.4 /90	20.2 /90	484.4 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
S. Nador	11	87952 min	191.8 /90	212 /90	90.9 /90	656.1 /90	131.2 /90	00 /90
D. Tonoli	9	85765 min	141.6 /90	80.9 /90	60.7 /90	374.4 /90	91.1 /90	20.2 /90
F. Zampano	8	71571 min	101.6 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	193 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
F. Folino	5	68341 min	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	215.5 /90	82.1 /90	10.3 /90
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Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
S. Nador n 8	85.3	1.5 8/2	1.1 5/2	—
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	1.1 4/3	2.1 7/5	—
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.9 6/3	1.2 5/2	—
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	2 6/4
S. Nador n 8	85.3	2 8/4
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.7 5/3
G. Brugman n 8	72.3	1.7 6/4
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Ambrosino	11	85935 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	333.2 /90	121.2 /90	222.1 /90	101 /90
G. Caso	9	78698 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	172.2 /90	81 /90	131.7 /90	131.7 /90
A. Belotti	7	49343 min	71.8 /90	00 /90	133.4 /90	82.1 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90
L. Bacchin	2	2651 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Stênio	2	2243 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90
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Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0
S. Nador n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	3.8 8/6	1.3 6/4
A. Bianco n 8	77.6	1.6 6/3	0.6 4/0
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Chichizola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bryant Nieling n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nador n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Ambrosino n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
G. Brugman n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Sorrentino	11	90990 min	444 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90

Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	4.3 8/7

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle	11	90990 min	333 /90	222 /90	111 /90	575.2 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90
M. Lovato	10	84837 min	101.1 /90	131.4 /90	70.8 /90	404.3 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
C. Pastina	8	80641 min	202.8 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90	375.2 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
F. Sgarbi	5	79393 min	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	133 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
E. Zuelli	11	84926 min	141.4 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	282.7 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	1.3 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Zuelli n 8	82	1.1 4/2	0.7 5/0	—
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	4.3 7/5	1 5/0	—
M. Lovato n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.6 3/1	—
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	3.2 8/7
E. Zuelli n 8	82	1.4 5/3
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	3.5 7/3
M. Lovato n 8	90	1.1 6/2
L. Carissoni n 8	70.4	1.6 5/4
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Moro	9	73658 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	71 /90
K. Lasagna	7	42292 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.5 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
G. Caprari	6	57342 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	61.6 /90
G. Artistico	5	73364 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
M. Bortolussi	4	39155 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Zuelli n 8	82	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
M. Lovato n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Sorrentino n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Zuelli n 8	82	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Fusi n 8	58.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lovato n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Modena v Padova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ModenaWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

PadovaLLWWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Modena 0 · 0 draws · Padova 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-02-28 Modena 1–2 Padova
2026-01-11 Padova 2–0 Modena

League standing · 2026/27

Modena#2 pos20 pts10 pl+8 GD

Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Modena scored1.8

Padova scored1

Modena conceded1

Padova conceded1.1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Padova?: In their last 2 meetings, Modena won 0, Padova won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Modena and Padova?: Recent form — Modena 3W 1D 1L; Padova 2W 1D 2L.

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