PalermoPadova

Palermo v Padova result

Full-time · Palermo 2–1 Padova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Renzo Barbera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Palermo · Padova

The model’s pre-match pick

Palermo 2–1 Padova — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.15 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo beat Padova 2–1 at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 19 September. Palermo are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Padova: C. Pastina (7’, assisted by M. Cocchi); Palermo: D. Vavassori (44’, assisted by D. Johnsen; 83’, assisted by D. Johnsen). L. Carissoni (90+1’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Vavassori’s goal on 83 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Palermo 2.51, Padova 1.18, from 22 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Marco Di Bello, Italy showed three yellow cards and one red — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Palermo: N. Pierozzi (42’) and F. Ranocchia (66’); Padova: M. Cocchi (61’).

What it changes

Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Palermo have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Padova have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Vavassori (Palermo) 10.5, D. Johnsen (Palermo) 9.0 and A. Palumbo (Palermo) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Padova, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Palermo or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Padova next host Empoli on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Padova: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Palermo 2–1 Padova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera · Palermo
  • Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Palermo 3 · draws 1 · Padova 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palermo 4W 1D 0L · Padova 2W 1D 2L

Palermo 2–1 Padova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePalermo for / againstLinePadova for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy.

Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Fortin489355 min174.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90
M. Perin290180 min73.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 488.8
4.34/4

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Augello590450 min51 /90102 /9020.4 /90193.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
T. Cassandro560298 min92.7 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90226.6 /9072.1 /9010.3 /90
M. Bani490360 min41 /9082 /9041 /90194.8 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90
P. Ceccaroni490360 min51.3 /9000 /9020.5 /90133.3 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Pierozzi374221 min31.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9072.9 /9031.2 /9000 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Segre n 871.8
1.96/5
0.62/2
E. Zuelli
D. Vavassori n 672.2
14/1
1.54/2
—
J. Pohjanpalo n 872.8
1.15/2
0.53/0
—
D. Johnsen n 860.8
0.73/1
1.35/1
—
T. Augello n 886.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
C. Pastina
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Segre n 871.8
1.96/3
D. Vavassori n 672.2
0.42/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 872.8
00/0
D. Johnsen n 860.8
1.34/3
T. Augello n 886.4
15/2
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Vavassori672433 min10.2 /9010.2 /9061.2 /9051 /9051 /9061.2 /90
J. Pohjanpalo667402 min40.9 /9020.4 /9081.8 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
D. Johnsen662373 min41 /9041 /90133.1 /9071.7 /90122.9 /9061.4 /90
Gabriel Strefezza536179 min21 /9000 /9042 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Le Douaron14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Segre n 871.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Vavassori n 672.2
1.25/1
14/1
J. Pohjanpalo n 872.8
1.77/4
1.15/2
D. Johnsen n 860.8
2.87/4
1.57/1
T. Augello n 886.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Segre n 871.8
00/0
0.21/0
D. Vavassori n 672.2
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 872.8
0.84/1
0.32/0
D. Johnsen n 860.8
0.74/0
0.74/0
T. Augello n 886.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Sorrentino590450 min183.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 890
3.97/6

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle590450 min112.2 /90102 /9030.6 /90204 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
C. Pastina574371 min153.6 /9041 /9020.5 /90276.5 /9061.5 /9010.2 /90
M. Lovato474297 min10.3 /9051.5 /9030.9 /90103 /9030.9 /9000 /90
M. Cocchi454215 min72.9 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90187.5 /9031.3 /9000 /90
F. Sgarbi279157 min21.1 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Carissoni n 590
1.63/2
0.62/1
—
E. Zuelli n 590
13/2
0.21/0
J. Segre
Alessandro Dellavalle n 590
0.83/1
14/1
—
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
C. Pastina n 880.1
15/1
0.42/1
T. Augello
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 590
2.25/4
E. Zuelli n 590
1.65/2
L. Carissoni n 590
1.45/2
C. Pastina n 880.1
3.58/7
M. Pompetti n 570
1.33/2
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Caprari557286 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
K. Lasagna543214 min00 /9000 /9062.5 /9000 /9020.8 /9000 /90
L. Moro381242 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90
M. Bortolussi337110 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
A. Seghetti12020 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.5 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Carissoni n 590
0.21/0
0.21/0
E. Zuelli n 590
0.21/0
00/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 590
0.21/0
00/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Pastina n 880.1
0.85/1
0.32/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Carissoni n 590
00/0
0.21/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 590
00/0
00/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 590
00/0
00/0
C. Pastina n 880.1
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PalermoPadova
53%Possession47%
2.51Expected goals (xG)1.18
22Shots20
7Shots on target5
5Shots off target8
10Blocked shots7
16Shots inside the box12
7Corners11
0Offsides5
10Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
4Saves5
401Passes349
78%Pass accuracy78%

Palermo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Fortin9000000007.3
P. Ceccaroni9000000006.9
D. Vavassori9020530009.2
T. Augello9000002107.2
A. Palumbo9000113607.3
D. Johnsen9002214008.3
J. Pohjanpalo8200100006.3
J. Segre7600110006.5
F. Ranocchia67001141Y7.2
N. Pierozzi45000010Y6.3
M. Bani4500000406.9
T. Cassandro sub4500002006.9
G. Magnani sub4500100307.6
N. Estévez sub2300000006.6
C. Gomes sub1400000006.7
A. Gabrielloni sub800000006.3

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000007.2
C. Pastina9010110207.2
Alessandro Dellavalle9000311206.7
M. Lovato9000000306.3
A. Capelli9000002106.7
P. Fusi9000003306.9
E. Zuelli8400105006.3
G. Giunti8400321106.9
M. Cocchi69012011Y7
L. Moro6900001006.2
A. Seghetti5300110006.2
F. Di Mariano sub3700200006.3
L. Carissoni sub22000000R5.2
K. Lasagna sub2100002106.6
N. Galazzi sub1100000006.7
M. Bortolussi sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Palermo v Padova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalermoWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PadovaLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Palermo 3 · 1 draw · Padova 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Padova 0–1 Palermo
  • 2025-12-27 Palermo 1–0 Padova
  • 2019-04-22 Palermo 1–1 Padova
  • 2018-12-08 Padova 1–3 Palermo
League standing · 2026/27
Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD
Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Palermo scored2.4
Padova scored1
Palermo conceded1.2
Padova conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Palermo v Padova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palermo v Padova was Home or Draw (best price 1.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Padova?
In their last 4 meetings, Palermo won 3, Padova won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palermo and Padova?
Recent form — Palermo 4W 1D 0L; Padova 2W 1D 2L.

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