SudtirolCesena

Sudtirol v Cesena result

Full-time · Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Marco Druso

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sudtirol · Cesena

The model’s pre-match pick

Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sudtirol and Cesena drew 1–1 at Stadio Marco Druso in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 31 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cesena out-shot Sudtirol 25 to 16 and created the better chances, 2.97 xG to 1.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Sudtirol led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sudtirol: Fabio Rispoli (23’, assisted by S. Tronchin); Cesena: C. Shpendi (65’, assisted by D. Bisoli).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Shpendi’s goal on 65 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Sudtirol: S. Tronchin (37’); Cesena: M. Mangraviti (49’), G. Frabotta (69’), M. Ilić (86’) and M. Francesconi (90+3’).

What it changes

Sudtirol have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sudtirol have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cesena have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Cesena have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Sudtirol are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fabio Rispoli (Sudtirol) 6.3, C. Shpendi (Cesena) 5.7 and A. Plizzari (Sudtirol) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Cesena are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sudtirol, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sudtirol or Cesena (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Sudtirol next travel to Pisa on 7 November 2026.

Cesena next host Catanzaro on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sudtirol: Pisa v Sudtirol, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cesena: Cesena v Catanzaro, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Marco Druso · Bozen
  • Referee: Davide Di Marco
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Sudtirol 0 · draws 2 · Cesena 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sudtirol 1W 2D 2L · Cesena 1W 2D 2L

Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSudtirol for / againstLineCesena for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Davide Di Marco.

Sudtirol

Sudtirol Goalkeeper

Sudtirol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Plizzari1090900 min353.5 /9040.4 /9000 /90
Sudtirol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Plizzari n 890
3.68/4

Sudtirol Defensive

Sudtirol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Giorgini1086855 min70.7 /9080.8 /9080.8 /90222.3 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Stivanello989803 min111.2 /9050.6 /9080.9 /90242.7 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Giacomo Stabile770488 min71.3 /9040.7 /9061.1 /90173.1 /9091.7 /9030.6 /90
D. Veroli762432 min71.5 /9030.6 /9040.8 /90122.5 /9030.6 /9000 /90
S. Davì759416 min91.9 /9030.6 /9000 /90183.9 /9040.9 /9000 /90
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Sudtirol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Plizzari n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Giorgini n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
M. Ilić
S. Molina n 880.9
14/3
1.34/3
M. Ilić
R. Burnete n 840.3
3.17/4
0.83/0
—
R. Stivanello n 889.1
0.84/1
0.54/0
M. Ilić
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Sudtirol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Giorgini n 884.4
0.85/1
S. Molina n 880.9
1.97/5
R. Burnete n 840.3
3.65/3
R. Stivanello n 889.1
1.45/3
S. Tronchin n 888.3
2.58/5
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Sudtirol Attacking

Sudtirol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burnete1039386 min10.2 /9000 /9081.9 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
A. Okoro854434 min10.2 /9000 /9051 /9010.2 /9030.6 /9030.6 /90
K. Mixtur743303 min10.3 /9000 /9082.4 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
L. Anghelè340121 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /90
S. Merkaj288176 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9031.5 /90
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Sudtirol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Plizzari n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Giorgini n 884.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
S. Molina n 880.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Burnete n 840.3
25/1
0.62/0
R. Stivanello n 889.1
0.42/1
00/0
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Sudtirol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Plizzari n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Giorgini n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
S. Molina n 880.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
R. Burnete n 840.3
0.31/0
00/0
R. Stivanello n 889.1
00/0
00/0
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Cesena

Cesena Goalkeeper

Cesena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Siano1090900 min363.6 /90101 /9000 /90
Cesena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Siano n 890
2.98/6

Cesena Defensive

Cesena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Ciofi1084840 min70.8 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90212.3 /9080.9 /9000 /90
M. Ilić982736 min91.1 /90162 /9040.5 /90394.8 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
G. Frabotta957513 min91.6 /9071.2 /9050.9 /90274.7 /9081.4 /9020.4 /90
J. Gelli890720 min151.9 /9081 /9050.6 /90496.1 /9091.1 /9010.1 /90
M. Mangraviti874590 min91.4 /9020.3 /9050.8 /90253.8 /9020.3 /9000 /90
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Cesena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Siano n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
D. Bisoli n 885.8
0.43/0
0.84/1
—
A. Ciofi n 882.5
0.84/1
14/2
—
C. Shpendi n 885.9
2.48/6
0.84/1
—
M. Ilić n 881.5
17/0
0.73/1
R. Stivanello
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Cesena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Bisoli n 885.8
1.25/2
A. Ciofi n 882.5
15/2
C. Shpendi n 885.9
0.52/2
M. Ilić n 881.5
1.24/4
R. Pagano n 879.9
2.37/4
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Cesena Attacking

Cesena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Shpendi1084838 min70.8 /9010.1 /90181.9 /90121.3 /90121.3 /9040.4 /90
L. D'Andrea651303 min00 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
A. Debenedetti623139 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /90
D. Bisoli1087866 min00 /9020.2 /9080.8 /9000 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
R. Pagano979707 min00 /9000 /9081 /9030.4 /90121.5 /9040.5 /90
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Cesena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Siano n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Bisoli n 885.8
0.94/2
00/0
A. Ciofi n 882.5
0.43/0
00/0
C. Shpendi n 885.9
2.17/7
1.47/3
M. Ilić n 881.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Cesena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Siano n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Bisoli n 885.8
00/0
0.32/0
A. Ciofi n 882.5
00/0
00/0
C. Shpendi n 885.9
0.85/1
0.11/0
M. Ilić n 881.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SudtirolCesena
46%Possession54%
1.43Expected goals (xG)2.97
16Shots25
5Shots on target7
8Shots off target12
3Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box14
2Corners4
0Offsides6
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
6Saves3
433Passes508

Sudtirol Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Plizzari9000000007.8
S. Molina9000002006.3
R. Stivanello9000001206.6
A. Giorgini9000000207.1
Fabio Rispoli9010311208.2
S. Tronchin90012021Y6.8
K. Mixtur8000201106.4
Giacomo Stabile7000100106.2
Vasco Lopes6300212106.7
R. Burnete6300311006.5
S. Davì4500001006.4
F. Davi4500000006.2
Kevin Zeroli2700110006.1
A. Vasic2700100006.1
D. Veroli2000000006.3
A. Okoro1000110006.5

Cesena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Siano9000000006.7
A. Ciofi9000002006.5
M. Ilić90002000Y6.4
G. Frabotta90004024Y6.8
R. Pagano9000302106.3
C. Shpendi9010312008.2
E. Bohinen8300002406.8
M. Mangraviti72000000Y6.4
Xavello Druiventak7200430306.1
Matteo Guidi5900200206.6
A. Fiori5900101007.2
M. Caprini3100330006.6
D. Bisoli3101003207
L. D'Andrea1800300006.7
J. Gelli1800001006.3
M. Francesconi7000000Y6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sudtirol v Cesena — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SudtirolWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CesenaDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Sudtirol 0 · 2 draws · Cesena 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol
  • 2025-10-25 Sudtirol 0–1 Cesena
  • 2025-04-05 Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena
  • 2024-11-03 Cesena 1–0 Sudtirol
League standing · 2026/27
Sudtirol#10 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD
Cesena#12 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Sudtirol scored1.1
Cesena scored1.1
Sudtirol conceded1
Cesena conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sudtirol v Cesena?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sudtirol v Cesena was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Sudtirol and Cesena?
In their last 4 meetings, Sudtirol won 0, Cesena won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sudtirol and Cesena?
Recent form — Sudtirol 1W 2D 2L; Cesena 1W 2D 2L.

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