Borussia DortmundVillarreal

Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal result

Full-time · Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal

UEFA Champions League · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal — Borussia Dortmund won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3–2 at Signal Iduna Park in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 8 September. Borussia Dortmund have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Villarreal: an own goal by Renato Veiga (53’) and S. Mouriño (66’, assisted by Georges Mikautadze); Borussia Dortmund: Serhou Guirassy (80’, assisted by Fábio Silva; 85’ pen) and an own goal by Serhou Guirassy (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Serhou Guirassy’s own goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Borussia Dortmund 2.83, Villarreal 1.34, from 18 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Simone Sozza, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Borussia Dortmund: Waldemar Anton (38’); Villarreal: Pau Navarro (38’), Sergi Cardona (42’) and S. Mouriño (83’).

What it changes

Borussia Dortmund have scored three goals, the most (shared) of the 62 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Borussia Dortmund have conceded two goals, the 28th-most (shared) of the 62 clubs.

Villarreal have scored two goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 62 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Villarreal have conceded three goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 62 clubs.

Borussia Dortmund have won their last four matches in all competitions. Villarreal are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund) 13.0, Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal) 6.5 and S. Mouriño (Villarreal) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Borussia Dortmund next host SV Elversberg on 7 November 2026.

Villarreal next host Getafe on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Villarreal: Villarreal v Getafe, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park · Dortmund
  • Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Borussia Dortmund 1 · draws 0 · Villarreal 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Borussia Dortmund 4W 0D 1L · Villarreal 1W 2D 2L

Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.75 / 6.63
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBorussia Dortmund for / againstLineVillarreal for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Goalkeeper

Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Kobel387261 min113.8 /9041.4 /9000 /90
A. Meyer19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 888.9
3.28/6
A. Meyer n 890
2.64/4

Borussia Dortmund Defensive

Borussia Dortmund — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Anton482328 min30.8 /90184.9 /9020.5 /90143.8 /9041.1 /9000 /90
Kouakou Joane Gadou378234 min51.9 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9083.1 /9041.5 /9000 /90
F. Mané346138 min32 /9032 /9000 /9053.3 /9021.3 /9000 /90
L. Reggiani22550 min11.8 /9000 /9023.6 /9023.6 /9023.6 /9011.8 /90
R. Bensebaïni18181 min55.6 /9033.3 /9022.2 /9077.8 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Anton n 886
1.36/3
0.32/0
Renato Veiga
D. Svensson n 865.6
14/2
1.97/3
Renato Veiga
J. Ryerson n 879.3
1.14/3
1.35/3
P. Gueye
M. Beier n 868.4
1.23/2
1.34/2
P. Gueye
F. Nmecha n 863.5
1.16/0
0.94/1
P. Gueye
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Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Anton n 886
1.46/2
D. Svensson n 865.6
1.95/4
J. Ryerson n 879.3
1.66/3
M. Beier n 868.4
1.34/2
F. Nmecha n 863.5
0.94/1
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Borussia Dortmund Attacking

Borussia Dortmund — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Beier460238 min00 /9000 /9062.3 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9000 /90
S. Guirassy380240 min20.8 /9010.4 /9051.9 /9041.5 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Konstantinos Karetsas366198 min00 /9010.5 /9062.7 /9041.8 /9041.8 /9073.2 /90
Fábio Silva345136 min32 /9000 /9064 /9042.6 /9032 /9010.7 /90
S. Inacio261122 min21.5 /9000 /9053.7 /9021.5 /9043 /9010.7 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Anton n 886
0.42/1
00/0
D. Svensson n 865.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Ryerson n 879.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
M. Beier n 868.4
1.35/2
0.32/0
F. Nmecha n 863.5
1.45/2
0.53/0
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Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Anton n 886
00/0
0.11/0
D. Svensson n 865.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Ryerson n 879.3
00/0
0.74/1
M. Beier n 868.4
0.21/0
0.31/1
F. Nmecha n 863.5
00/0
00/0
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Villarreal

Villarreal Goalkeeper

Villarreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luíz Júnior490360 min61.5 /9082 /9000 /90
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 890
25/3

Villarreal Defensive

Villarreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Renato Veiga490360 min10.3 /9082 /9051.3 /9092.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Carlos Romero390270 min62 /9010.3 /9000 /90206.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
J. Foyth390270 min62 /9072.3 /9072.3 /90175.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
S. Mouriño380240 min124.5 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90207.5 /9062.3 /9020.8 /90
A. Freeman259118 min53.8 /9000 /9000 /9086.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Renato Veiga n 890
1.57/3
0.43/0
D. Svensson
Luíz Júnior n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Pépé n 875.4
0.11/0
1.57/3
—
P. Gueye n 877.1
15/2
26/6
F. Nmecha
G. Mikautadze n 866.5
0.72/2
14/2
—
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Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Renato Veiga n 890
0.54/0
N. Pépé n 875.4
0.32/0
P. Gueye n 877.1
16/1
G. Mikautadze n 866.5
0.21/0
Santi Comesaña n 859.9
1.54/2
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Villarreal Attacking

Villarreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Mikautadze470279 min10.3 /9010.3 /9082.6 /9041.3 /9041.3 /9072.3 /90
Gerard Moreno453211 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9062.6 /9083.4 /90
Ayoze Pérez452207 min00 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90
T. Buchanan439154 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90
N. Pépé484336 min20.5 /9000 /9082.1 /9061.6 /9082.1 /90133.5 /90
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Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Renato Veiga n 890
0.42/1
00/0
Luíz Júnior n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Pépé n 875.4
1.86/5
1.36/3
P. Gueye n 877.1
1.26/1
0.43/0
G. Mikautadze n 866.5
2.96/4
1.75/4
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Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luíz Júnior n 890
00/0
00/0
Renato Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Pépé n 875.4
0.43/0
0.62/2
P. Gueye n 877.1
0.32/0
00/0
G. Mikautadze n 866.5
0.84/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Borussia DortmundVillarreal
52%Possession48%
2.83Expected goals (xG)1.34
18Shots13
6Shots on target6
5Shots off target4
7Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box9
9Corners7
1Offsides3
15Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves4
514Passes481
90%Pass accuracy86%

Borussia Dortmund Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Anton90000004Y6.6
Kouakou Joane Gadou9000000406.9
S. Guirassy9020532008.7
J. Ryerson9000000006
D. Svensson9000000206.5
Joey Veerman9000000207.2
G. Kobel9000000007.7
M. Beier8200201106.3
F. Nmecha7500001206.9
M. Sabitzer7500004207.2
Konstantinos Karetsas2700000006.5
E. Nwaneri sub5500100006.5
J. Bellingham sub1500002106.7
Fábio Silva sub1501331007.5
C. Chukwuemeka sub800000006.2
Kauã Prates sub800001106.3

Villarreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Santi Comesaña9000110507
P. Gueye9000100306.9
G. Mikautadze9001103207
S. Mouriño90101114Y7
Renato Veiga9000000006.3
P. Gulácsi9000000007.5
Pau Navarro83001004Y6.2
T. Buchanan7500333007.6
T. Oluwaseyi5900100206.6
N. Saliba5900000406.7
Sergi Cardona45000002Y6.9
A. Freeman sub4500001106.5
Alberto Moleiro sub3100000006.2
N. Pépé sub3100112006.2
A. Diatta sub1500000006.2
Gerard Moreno sub1300000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Borussia DortmundWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
VillarrealWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Borussia Dortmund 1 · 0 draws · Villarreal 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-11-25 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Villarreal
League standing · 2026/27
Borussia Dortmund#12 pos9 pts4 pl+2 GD
Villarreal#28 pos3 pts4 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Borussia Dortmund scored1.75
Villarreal scored2
Borussia Dortmund conceded1.25
Villarreal conceded3.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal?
In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Villarreal won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal?
Recent form — Borussia Dortmund 4W 0D 1L; Villarreal 1W 2D 2L.

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