Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia result

Full-time · Kairat Almaty 0–1 Levski Sofia

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 11 Aug 2026 16:00 BST · Turkestan Arena

Updated 25 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kairat Almaty · Levski Sofia

The model’s pre-match pick

Kairat Almaty 0–1 Levski Sofia — Levski Sofia won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Levski Sofia won 1–0 at Turkestan Arena in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 11 August. Levski Sofia have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Levski Sofia led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Levski Sofia: Reinaldo (13’, assisted by Everton Bala).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Reinaldo’s goal on 13 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kairat Almaty 0.00, Levski Sofia 0.00, from 20 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Siebert showed seven yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kairat Almaty: Olzhas Baybek (45+6’), Damir Kasabulat (60’) and Gustavo Mendonça (90+4’); Levski Sofia: Everton Bala (7’), Aldair (73’), Nikola Serafimov (88’) and J. Perea (89’).

What it changes

Kairat Almaty sit fourth on nine points from six games with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far). Kairat Almaty have scored five goals, the 12th-fewest of the 48 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Kairat Almaty have conceded four goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 48 clubs.

Levski Sofia sit first on 14 points from six games with a goal difference of +7 (2026/27 so far). Levski Sofia have scored 10 goals, the 15th-most (shared) of the 48 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Levski Sofia have conceded three goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 48 clubs.

Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Svetoslav Vutsov (Levski Sofia) 5.9, Gašper Trdin (Levski Sofia) 5.5 and Aleksandr Shirobokov (Kairat Almaty) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Kairat Almaty next host Mjallby AIF on 26 November 2026.

Levski Sofia next travel to Marseille on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kairat Almaty: Kairat Almaty v Mjallby AIF, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for Levski Sofia: Marseille v Levski Sofia, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Kairat Almaty 0–1 Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League
Venue: Turkestan Arena · Turkestan
Referee: D. Siebert
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Kairat Almaty 0 · draws 0 · Levski Sofia 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Kairat Almaty 3W 0D 2L · Levski Sofia 3W 2D 0L

Kairat Almaty 0–1 Levski Sofia (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

0.75 / 6.75

Corners

against 7.25 / 2 · 0 of the last 1 over 9.5

over 4 matches

1.25 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 7.25 / 3.25 · 0 of the last 1 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1 / 1.2

Cards

against 1 / 2 · 0 of the last 1 over 3.5

over 4 matches

4.29 yellows

Referee · D. Siebert

21.43 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kairat Almaty for / against	Line	Levski Sofia for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	0.75 for · 7.25 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 2 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	4.5 for · 18.5 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	11.25 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	1.25 for · 7.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 3.25 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 1 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	1.2 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: D. Siebert — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.43 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia Goalkeeper

Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Vutsov n 3	92.3	2.3 2/2

Levski Sofia Defensive

Levski Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Trdin n 3	92.3	0.6 1/1	0.3 1/0	—
K. Dimitrov n 5	91.4	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0	—
Maicon n 3	90.3	0.3 1/0	0.7 1/1	—
S. Vutsov n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Aldair n 3	67.3	0.4 1/0	0 0/0	—

Levski Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Maicon n 3	90.3	2.7 2/2
G. Trdin n 3	92.3	0.6 1/1
K. Dimitrov n 5	91.4	0.4 2/0
Aldair n 3	67.3	0.9 2/0

Levski Sofia Attacking

Levski Sofia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists
Reinaldo	1	7575 min	22.4 /90	00 /90
J. Perea	1	2121 min	14.3 /90	00 /90
A. Oko-Flex	1	6868 min	11.3 /90	00 /90
Álex Centelles	1	6969 min	00 /90	11.3 /90

Levski Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Vutsov n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Trdin n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dimitrov n 5	91.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maicon n 3	90.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Aldair n 3	67.3	0 0/0	0 0/0

Levski Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Assists 1+2+
Maicon n 3	90.3	0.3 1/0
S. Vutsov n 3	92.3	0 0/0
G. Trdin n 3	92.3	0 0/0
K. Dimitrov n 5	91.4	0 0/0
Aldair n 3	67.3	0 0/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kairat Almaty		Levski Sofia
56%	Possession	44%
20	Shots	9
6	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	5
7	Blocked shots	2
13	Shots inside the box	7
9	Corners	4
3	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	14
3	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	6
496	Passes	416
85%	Pass accuracy	82%

Kairat Almaty Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Anarbekov	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Shirobokov	90	1	1	1	1	0	7
Lucas Africo	90	3	1	2	2	0	7.2
Luís Mata	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
J. Oksanen	90	1	1	3	1	0	7.3
A. Mrynskiy	90	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
Gustavo Mendonça	90	0	0	1	4	Y	6.2
O. Jukkola	90	2	2	1	2	0	7.3
Marc Gual	84	3	0	2	3	0	7.2
Damir Kasabulat	64	0	0	1	1	Y	6.9
O. Baybek	45	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
Ismail Bekbolat sub	45	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Edmilson sub	26	0	0	3	0	0	6.3
M. Birkurmanov sub	12	2	1	0	0	0	6.3

Levski Sofia Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Vutsov	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	8.9
K. Dimitrov	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
N. Serafimov	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.3
Álex Centelles	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
E. El Moubarik	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
G. Trdin	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.5
Serginho	89	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.6
Reinaldo	83	1	0	4	1	2	0	0	7.3
Aldair	79	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	7.3
A. Oko-Flex	79	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Everton Bala	79	0	1	2	1	1	1	Y	6.9
J. Perea sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Hevertton Santos sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Maicon sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Soula sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Mitkov sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Kairat AlmatyWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Levski SofiaDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Kairat Almaty 0 · 0 draws · Levski Sofia 1 · 1 goals/game

2026-08-04 Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty

Goals per game

Kairat Almaty scored1

Levski Sofia scored1.8

Kairat Almaty conceded0.6

Levski Sofia conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia?: In their last 1 meetings, Kairat Almaty won 0, Levski Sofia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia?: Recent form — Kairat Almaty 3W 0D 2L; Levski Sofia 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 25 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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