Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë result

Full-time · Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST · Cepheus Park

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.22 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë drew 1–1 at Cepheus Park in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October.

The goals

Egnatia Rrogozhinë led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Egnatia Rrogozhinë: I. Gruda (13’, assisted by D. Adjessa); Aarhus: J. Bogere (49’, assisted by Sebastian Jorgensen). Eric Kahl (3’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Bogere’s goal on 49 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Aarhus 1.03, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.79, from 9 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Culina showed five yellow cards and one red — against 1.9 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Aarhus: Kristian Arnstad (39’); Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Andrey Yago (11’), A. Kryeziu (16’), E. Bitri (72’) and Ibrahim Diabaté (90+3’).

What it changes

Aarhus have scored one goal, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Aarhus have conceded two goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored two goals, the 43rd-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Egnatia Rrogozhinë have conceded four goals, the 67th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Aarhus are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Bogere (Aarhus) 8.2, I. Gruda (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) 7.1 and Rasmus Carstensen (Aarhus) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aarhus or Egnatia Rrogozhinë (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Aarhus next host AC Horsens on 8 November 2026.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë next host Lincoln Red Imps FC on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aarhus: Aarhus v AC Horsens, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lincoln Red Imps FC, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa Conference League
Venue: Cepheus Park · Randers
Referee: A. Culina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 2D 2L

Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4 / 2.67

Corners

against 6 / 3.33 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 3 matches

3.14 / 3

Shots on target

against 5 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.43 / 1.33

Cards

against 1.57 / 0.67 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Aarhus for / against	Line	Egnatia Rrogozhinë for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	2.67 for · 3.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	11.43 for · 17.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	4 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	3.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.86 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	7.67 for · 10.33 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	1.43 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5

Referee: A. Culina.

Aarhus

Aarhus Goalkeeper

Aarhus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Hedenstad	11	87960 min	312.9 /90	232.2 /90	00 /90
J. Hansen	5	79397 min	122.7 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90

Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Hedenstad n 8	90.6	2.7 6/5
J. Hansen n 8	83.4	3.4 6/4

Aarhus Defensive

Aarhus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Kahl	13	75978 min	191.7 /90	151.4 /90	100.9 /90	504.6 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Andersen	12	58699 min	141.8 /90	91.2 /90	40.5 /90	303.9 /90	131.7 /90	10.1 /90
C. Rosler	8	82652 min	60.8 /90	40.6 /90	81.1 /90	202.8 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
Luka Callø	6	53316 min	30.9 /90	41.1 /90	00 /90	164.6 /90	61.7 /90	00 /90
F. Tingager	5	78389 min	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	317.2 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kristian Arnstad n 8	86.5	2.1 6/4	2.1 7/4	—
M. Knudsen n 8	80.9	1 4/2	1.5 5/3	—
Frederik Emmery n 8	73.9	0 0/0	1.7 6/2	—
T. Bech n 8	66.8	1 5/1	1.3 5/3	—
E. Kahl n 8	66.3	0.5 2/1	1.5 5/2	—
See more players · Pro

Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 8	86.5	1.8 7/4
M. Knudsen n 8	80.9	2.9 8/6
Frederik Emmery n 8	73.9	0.8 4/1
T. Bech n 8	66.8	0.8 2/2
E. Kahl n 8	66.3	1.9 5/2
See more players · Pro

Aarhus Attacking

Aarhus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Bech	14	69965 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90	171.6 /90	50.5 /90
J. Bogere	12	55659 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	162.2 /90	101.4 /90	50.7 /90	71 /90
J. Serra	10	51512 min	50.9 /90	00 /90	162.8 /90	71.2 /90	101.8 /90	40.7 /90
S. Jorgensen	8	73580 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	111.7 /90	50.8 /90	162.5 /90	60.9 /90
S. Tchamche	5	43217 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90
See more players · Pro

Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 8	86.5	1 5/2	0.3 2/0
M. Knudsen n 8	80.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Frederik Emmery n 8	73.9	1.4 6/3	0.5 3/0
T. Bech n 8	66.8	1.2 5/2	0.2 1/0
E. Kahl n 8	66.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aarhus before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kristian Arnstad n 8	86.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Knudsen n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Frederik Emmery n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
T. Bech n 8	66.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
E. Kahl n 8	66.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goalkeeper

Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Dajsinani	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Defensive

Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Andrey Yago	1	9090 min	66 /90	44 /90	11 /90	66 /90	22 /90	00 /90
E. Bitri	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90	11 /90	88 /90	11 /90	00 /90
E. Sota	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Guillem Jaime	1	6666 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	45.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Aleksi	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Attacking

Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Gruda	1	8181 min	11.1 /90	00 /90	22.2 /90	22.2 /90	22.2 /90	00 /90
D. Adjessa	1	7272 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90
A. Albanese	1	6666 min	00 /90	00 /90	45.5 /90	34.1 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90
J. Montenegro	1	1818 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	15 /90
A. Aleksi	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aarhus		Egnatia Rrogozhinë
34%	Possession	66%
1.03	Expected goals (xG)	0.79
9	Shots	13
2	Shots on target	7
5	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	1
4	Shots inside the box	4
5	Corners	4
0	Offsides	2
11	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	4
1	Red cards	0
6	Saves	1
286	Passes	570
73%	Pass accuracy	87%

Aarhus Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Hansen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
C. Rosler	90	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Carstensen	90	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	6.9
M. Solbakken	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Kristian Arnstad	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	Y	6.9
S. Jorgensen	83	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
J. Andersen	66	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
F. Tingager	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Serra	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
C. McCowatt	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
E. Kahl	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	R	3
Tobias Mølgaard sub	78	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
D. L. Gretarsson sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Bogere sub	45	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	7.3
Frederik Emmery sub	24	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
T. Bech sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Dajsinani	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
E. Bitri	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.2
E. Sota	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
A. Aleksi	90	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	7.5
D. Adjessa	90	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	6.6
I. Gruda	90	1	0	5	4	0	2	0	8
K. Loukili	87	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
Guillem Jaime	63	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.5
A. Albanese	63	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Andrey Yago	54	0	0	2	1	0	2	Y	6.6
A. Kryeziu	54	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.6
E. Ndreca sub	36	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Fernando Medeiros sub	36	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.7
N. Ajetovikj sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
G. Smajli sub	27	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.3
Ibrahim Diabaté sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AarhusWDWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Egnatia RrogozhinëLWDLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Aarhus#24 pos2 pts3 pl-1 GD

Egnatia Rrogozhinë#26 pos2 pts3 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Aarhus scored0.33

Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored0.67

Aarhus conceded0.67

Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?: Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.