Pafos v Heart of Midlothian prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 17 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT · Alphamega Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Pafos v Heart of Midlothian, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 17 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Pafos host Heart of Midlothian in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 17 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).

The key numbers

Pafos have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Pafos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Pafos’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Pafos have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.29.

10 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Heart of Midlothian have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.89.

Pafos are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Heart of Midlothian are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Pafos (30th) and Heart of Midlothian (32nd) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Pafos the stronger side, 209 rating points above Heart of Midlothian (Pafos 1623, Heart of Midlothian 1414, after at least 21 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Pafos XI (4-3-3): R. Majecki, N. Ioannou, B. Felipe, D. Luiz, S. Mmaee, V. Dragomir, I. Sunjic, A. Brito, Lele, Biel, A. Silva — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bruno Felipe (4.4 per match over four appearances) and N. Ioannou (3.7 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Pafos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pafos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bruno Felipe averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 345 minutes. N. Ioannou averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 390 minutes.

Predicted Heart of Midlothian XI (4-4-2): B. Reus, J. McCart, M. Fagan-Walcott, S. Kingsley, R. Mato, J. Mcpake, L. Mendy, J. Altena, S. Kerjota, C. Braga, J. wilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Mcpake (5.2 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and five assists) and Cláudio Braga (4.2 per match over 18 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Heart of Midlothian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heart of Midlothian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Mcpake averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1132 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Cláudio Braga averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1500 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 17 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa Conference League · Alphamega Stadium
Recent form: Pafos 1W 2D 2L · Heart of Midlothian 1W 1D 3L

Pafos v Heart of Midlothian (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.8 / 4.29

Corners

against 7.6 / 5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3.6 / 4.86

Shots on target

against 6 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.2 / 2.43

Cards

against 1.4 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Pafos for / against	Line	Heart of Midlothian for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.8 for · 7.6 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	6.2 for · 13 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	16.43 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.6 for · 6 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	4.86 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.4 for · 13.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	11.86 for · 17.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.2 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	2.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5

Pafos

Pafos Goalkeeper

Pafos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Majecki	3	90270 min	175.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90

Pafos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Majecki n 3	90	5.7 3/2

Pafos Defensive

Pafos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Ioannou	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
S. Mmaee	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	113.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Bruno Felipe	3	75225 min	52 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	124.8 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90
David Luiz	3	72217 min	41.7 /90	41.7 /90	52.1 /90	125 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
V. Dragomir	3	87261 min	51.7 /90	62.1 /90	00 /90	103.4 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Pafos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Mmaee n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0 0/0	—
N. Ioannou n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0.7 2/0	—
R. Majecki n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. Dragomir n 8	85.9	0.5 4/0	1.4 7/4	—
Bruno Felipe n 8	84.4	2.4 7/5	0.7 3/2	—
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Pafos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Ioannou n 3	90	1.7 3/1
S. Mmaee n 3	90	1.3 2/1
V. Dragomir n 8	85.9	1.3 6/3
Bruno Felipe n 8	84.4	2.8 7/5
I. Sunjic n 8	84.4	1.1 7/1
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Pafos Attacking

Pafos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lele	3	53158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	74 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
Anderson Silva	3	36107 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	54.2 /90	32.5 /90	21.7 /90	32.5 /90
Biel	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
V. Dragomir	3	87261 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
I. Sunjic	3	75225 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
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Pafos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Mmaee n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Ioannou n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Majecki n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Dragomir n 8	85.9	1 6/2	0.9 5/2
Bruno Felipe n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Pafos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Mmaee n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Ioannou n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Majecki n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Dragomir n 8	85.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Bruno Felipe n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian Goalkeeper

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Beau Reus	15	901350 min	372.5 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90
A. Schwolow	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Beau Reus n 8	90	3 6/5
A. Schwolow n 8	90	2.1 5/1

Heart of Midlothian Defensive

Heart of Midlothian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. McCart	15	851272 min	171.2 /90	251.8 /90	141 /90	805.7 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90
J. Altena	14	871213 min	282.1 /90	191.4 /90	30.2 /90	936.9 /90	131 /90	20.1 /90
O. McEntee	11	76835 min	192 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90	535.7 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
M. Fagan-Walcott	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	455 /90	141.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Findlay	9	78698 min	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	476.1 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.4	1.6 5/3	2.2 6/3	—
Beau Reus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. McCart n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.9 4/2	—
C. Miller n 8	65	1.6 6/2	1 4/2	—
J. Altena n 8	86.3	0.8 5/1	3.4 8/7	—
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Heart of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.4	1.3 5/2
J. McCart n 8	90	1 5/2
C. Miller n 8	65	1.6 4/2
J. Altena n 8	86.3	2 8/5
Josh Mcpake n 8	68.9	1.6 6/2
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Heart of Midlothian Attacking

Heart of Midlothian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cláudio Braga	17	831411 min	50.3 /90	30.2 /90	422.7 /90	171.1 /90	201.3 /90	130.8 /90
Sabah Kerjota	14	49680 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	111.5 /90	30.4 /90	162.1 /90	111.5 /90
James wilson	10	68676 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	121.6 /90	60.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
S. Guendouz	8	47376 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.9 /90	20.5 /90	71.7 /90	41 /90
R. Mato	7	43301 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.4	2.3 7/4	1.2 5/2
Beau Reus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McCart n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
C. Miller n 8	65	1.9 7/2	1.6 7/2
J. Altena n 8	86.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Heart of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Beau Reus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McCart n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Miller n 8	65	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
J. Altena n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Pafos v Heart of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PafosDWLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Heart of MidlothianLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Pafos#30 pos1 pts3 pl-4 GD

Heart of Midlothian#32 pos1 pts3 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Pafos scored1

Heart of Midlothian scored0.67

Pafos conceded2.33

Heart of Midlothian conceded2

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