Crystal PalaceLech Poznan

Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznan

UEFA Europa League · · Selhurst Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Lech Poznan

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznan — Crystal Palace won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Crystal Palace beat Lech Poznan 4–0 at Selhurst Park in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 17 September. Crystal Palace have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Crystal Palace led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Yeremy Pino (10’), Christopher Richards (27’, assisted by Adam Wharton), Jørgen Strand Larsen (34’ pen) and Edward Nketiah (89’, assisted by Dwight McNeil). Radosław Murawski (87’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yeremy Pino’s goal on 10 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Lech Poznan: Radosław Murawski (76’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Crystal Palace have conceded six goals, the 32nd-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.

Lech Poznan have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Lech Poznan have conceded 14 goals, the 30th-most (shared) of the 76 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yeremy Pino (Crystal Palace) 10.2, Adam Wharton (Crystal Palace) 7.9 and Christopher Richards (Crystal Palace) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.2% of the time in the last 90 days (369 of 549).

Next up

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Lech Poznan next host Zaglebie Lubin on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lech Poznan: Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Selhurst Park · London
  • Referee: Michal Ocenas
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 2W 0D 3L · Lech Poznan 3W 1D 1L

Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznan (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 3
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
2.63 / 6.13
Corners
against 5 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineLech Poznan for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
3 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Michal Ocenas.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson390270 min124 /9062 /9000 /90
W. Benítez290180 min73.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
3.15/5
W. Benítez n 790
24/3

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Richards490360 min61.5 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90123 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
T. Tomiyasu459235 min41.5 /9062.3 /9010.4 /90114.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
A. Disasi453213 min52.1 /9073 /9041.7 /90104.2 /9031.3 /9000 /90
J. Canvot390270 min72.3 /9031 /9031 /90134.3 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Ahanor290180 min42 /9021 /9000 /90147 /9021 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Kamada n 876.1
0.62/1
1.67/3
—
A. Wharton n 871.9
0.32/0
1.98/4
Pablo Rodríguez
Yeremy Pino n 859
14/1
1.75/3
—
J. Strand Larsen n 857.5
1.64/2
1.25/1
—
C. Richards n 882.4
0.75/0
0.11/0
M. Gurgul
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Kamada n 876.1
2.77/4
A. Wharton n 871.9
1.97/3
Yeremy Pino n 859
1.96/3
J. Strand Larsen n 857.5
0.42/0
C. Richards n 882.4
1.87/4
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Yeremy Pino560302 min00 /9000 /9061.8 /9020.6 /9051.5 /9020.6 /90
J. Strand Larsen558292 min30.9 /9010.3 /9072.2 /9051.5 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
E. Nketiah356168 min00 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9042.1 /9021.1 /90
D. McNeil334102 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Guessand22754 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Kamada n 876.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Wharton n 871.9
0.83/1
0.52/1
Yeremy Pino n 859
1.56/2
0.41/1
J. Strand Larsen n 857.5
2.27/3
1.24/2
C. Richards n 882.4
0.74/1
0.43/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Kamada n 876.1
0.11/0
0.42/1
A. Wharton n 871.9
0.21/0
00/0
Yeremy Pino n 859
00/0
0.21/0
J. Strand Larsen n 857.5
0.62/1
0.21/0
C. Richards n 882.4
00/0
00/0
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Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan Goalkeeper

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Lis890720 min162 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Lis n 890
24/2

Lech Poznan Defensive

Lech Poznan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Mońka890720 min20.3 /9081 /9060.8 /90182.3 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
M. Gurgul884675 min60.8 /90131.7 /9050.7 /90162.1 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
Joel Pereira881645 min172.4 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90415.7 /90111.5 /9010.1 /90
M. Skrzypczak581405 min00 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9051.1 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
T. Yegbe479315 min30.9 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90133.7 /9020.6 /9000 /90
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Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Mońka n 890
0.43/0
0.43/0
—
M. Lis n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
M. Gurgul n 884.4
0.75/0
0.53/1
C. Richards
Joel Pereira n 880.6
1.57/3
1.34/3
—
Pablo Rodríguez n 874.8
1.55/3
3.28/7
A. Wharton
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Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Mońka n 890
0.31/1
M. Gurgul n 884.4
0.83/2
Joel Pereira n 880.6
2.47/5
Pablo Rodríguez n 874.8
2.78/5
P. Wålemark n 870
0.62/2
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Lech Poznan Attacking

Lech Poznan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Agnero844355 min10.3 /9000 /90143.5 /9051.3 /9030.8 /9061.5 /90
M. Ishak652311 min20.6 /9000 /90102.9 /9061.7 /9041.2 /9000 /90
Pablo Rodríguez875598 min10.2 /9030.5 /90101.5 /9040.6 /90192.9 /9050.8 /90
P. Wålemark870560 min20.3 /9020.3 /9091.4 /9081.3 /90121.9 /9050.8 /90
R. Murawski867534 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
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Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lis n 890
00/0
00/0
W. Mońka n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Gurgul n 884.4
0.73/2
0.11/0
Joel Pereira n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 874.8
1.56/2
0.62/2
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Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Mońka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Lis n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Gurgul n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Joel Pereira n 880.6
00/0
0.32/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 874.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceLech Poznan
53%Possession47%
16Shots17
6Shots on target6
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box9
6Corners5
3Offsides0
11Fouls7
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
6Saves2
545Passes489

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Ahanor9000000006.8
A. Disasi9000000106.9
T. Mitchell9000000306.6
Yeremy Pino9010413008.2
A. Wharton9001103307.7
W. Benítez9000000008.9
D. Kamada7400001106.3
J. Strand Larsen7410520007.2
C. Richards7410111408
A. Khalaili6200000206.4
Q. Timber6200211206.9
D. McNeil2801003207.3
Óscar Mingueza2800000006.7
J. Canvot1600100207.2
E. Nketiah1610210007.3
I. Sarr1600001006.6

Lech Poznan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Yegbe9000200006.2
M. Lis9000000005.5
M. Gurgul9000210205.8
W. Mońka9000001306.4
L. Palma9000530006.3
R. Murawski87001030R5.9
Pablo Rodríguez8100100005.9
Joel Pereira7000001206.1
P. Wålemark7000112106.2
M. Ishak6100310106.4
Allahyar Sayyad6100103106.3
Y. Agnero2900100006.6
F. Jagiełło2900000005.4
L. Bengtsson2000001106
R. Gumny2000000005.7
D. Håkans900000005.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Lech PoznanDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Crystal Palace#21 pos5 pts4 pl+3 GD
Lech Poznan#35 pos1 pts4 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored2.25
Lech Poznan scored0.5
Crystal Palace conceded1.5
Lech Poznan conceded3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 2W 0D 3L; Lech Poznan 3W 1D 1L.

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