Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan result

Full-time · Red Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan

UEFA Europa League · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Red Bull Salzburg · AC Milan

The model’s pre-match pick

Red Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan — AC Milan won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AC Milan won 4–0 at Red Bull Arena in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October.

The goals

AC Milan led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — AC Milan: Alphadjo Cissè (15’, assisted by O. Hutchinson; 32’, assisted by Davide Bartesaghi; 49’, assisted by A. Rabiot) and Gonçalo Ramos (72’). Filippo Terracciano (83’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alphadjo Cissè’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Red Bull Salzburg 0.89, AC Milan 3.45, from 14 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Red Bull Salzburg: Valentin Zabransky (40’); AC Milan: O. Hutchinson (21’).

What it changes

AC Milan are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alphadjo Cissè (AC Milan) 13.3, Davide Bartesaghi (AC Milan) 10.2 and A. Rabiot (AC Milan) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Red Bull Salzburg or AC Milan (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Red Bull Salzburg next travel to Celje on 22 October 2026.

AC Milan next travel to Bournemouth on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Red Bull Salzburg: Celje v Red Bull Salzburg, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for AC Milan: Bournemouth v AC Milan, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Red Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena · Wals-Siezenheim
  • Referee: Horatiu Fesnic
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Red Bull Salzburg 0 · draws 1 · AC Milan 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Red Bull Salzburg 3W 2D 0L · AC Milan 1W 3D 1L

Red Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRed Bull Salzburg for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.38 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Horatiu Fesnic.

Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Lindstrøm n 833.4
23/2
1.75/0
—
U. Tohumcu n 859.1
1.75/2
2.56/4
—
H. Tabaković n 871.8
1.65/3
1.14/2
—
K. Konaté n 848.8
1.65/2
1.64/2
—
A. Barry n 878.6
1.35/3
0.95/1
—
Red Bull Salzburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Konaté n 848.8
4.66/5
2.15/2
Aboubacar Camara n 639.2
3.85/3
2.33/3
Y. Vertessen n 854.5
3.37/5
1.76/1
Gaoussou Diakite n 863.5
2.15/4
1.25/2
J. Lindstrøm n 833.4
24/2
0.72/0
Red Bull Salzburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Konaté n 848.8
0.94/0
00/0
Aboubacar Camara n 639.2
0.41/0
0.41/0
B. Mazurek n 871.4
0.21/0
0.52/1
S. Kitano n 862.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
U. Tohumcu n 859.1
0.21/0
0.42/0
Red Bull Salzburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Mazurek n 871.4
3.56/5
A. Barry n 878.6
3.17/5
John Mellberg n 840.8
2.55/3
N. Veratschnig n 882.8
2.26/4
S. Lainer n 884.4
2.17/3
Red Bull Salzburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Früchtl n 890
3.57/6
Christian Zawieschitzky n 890
1.54/2
AC Milan
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Pavlović n 879.3
2.18/3
1.68/2
—
K. De Winter n 879.1
1.88/3
0.63/1
—
P. Estupiñán n 854.9
1.86/2
0.82/1
—
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
1.83/2
3.34/3
—
F. Tomori n 867.1
1.55/3
00/0
—
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Giménez n 828.8
3.56/2
23/2
A. Cissè n 851
2.47/2
0.73/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 878.8
2.37/5
1.15/3
C. Nkunku n 865.5
1.94/3
1.44/3
Diego Moreira n 857.3
1.66/1
0.83/1
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 865.5
0.72/1
0.32/0
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 878.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
C. Pulišić n 857.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
Diego Moreira n 857.3
0.62/1
00/0
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
3.65/2
S. Giménez n 828.8
2.34/1
Y. Fofana n 866.8
2.26/4
S. Pavlović n 879.3
2.18/4
D. Bartesaghi n 868.5
1.85/4
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.87/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Red Bull SalzburgAC Milan
52%Possession48%
0.89Expected goals (xG)3.45
14Shots15
2Shots on target10
8Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box13
3Corners2
1Offsides2
13Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
5Saves2
525Passes478

Red Bull Salzburg player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Christian Zawieschitzky9000000006.9
Valentin Zabransky90000000Y5.8
D. Schmid9000101006.1
B. Mazurek9000211406.2
K. Boma9000000106.5
A. Barry9000102206.9
L. Morgalla8100000305.9
H. Tabaković7300001006.4
J. Lindstrøm7300301406.1
E. Baidoo6000102006
S. Kitano6000001106.4
Y. Vertessen3000300106.5
Gaoussou Diakite3000310106.5
D. Redzic1700002006.6
Aboubacar Camara1700000005.8
T. Drexler900000005.7

AC Milan player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Loftus-Cheek9000110706.4
A. Jashari9000102107.2
O. Hutchinson90013220Y7.7
K. De Winter9000000206.9
D. Bartesaghi9001113407.3
M. Maignan9000000107
S. Pavlović8100000307.2
F. Tomori6700000206.9
A. Rabiot6101213107.7
A. Cissè6030440109.7
F. Camarda6000000006.4
C. Pulišić3000101106.8
Gonçalo Ramos3010210007.4
L. Modrić2900001106.7
F. Terracciano16000001R5.5
S. Bocoum900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Red Bull SalzburgWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
AC MilanDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Red Bull Salzburg 0 · 1 draw · AC Milan 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2022-11-02 AC Milan 4–0 Red Bull Salzburg
  • 2022-09-06 Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 AC Milan
League standing · 2026/27
Red Bull Salzburg#21 pos3 pts2 pl-3 GD
AC Milan#16 pos3 pts2 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Red Bull Salzburg scored0.5
AC Milan scored2
Red Bull Salzburg conceded2
AC Milan conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan?
In their last 2 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 0, AC Milan won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan?
Recent form — Red Bull Salzburg 3W 2D 0L; AC Milan 1W 3D 1L.

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