Türkiye v France result
The model’s pre-match pick
Türkiye 0–1 France — France won this UEFA Nations League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
France won 1–0 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 25 September.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — France: Kylian Mbappé (54’, assisted by Michael Olise). Uğurcan Çakır (87’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kylian Mbappé’s goal on 54 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Türkiye 1.21, France 1.17, from 12 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Felix Zwayer, Germany showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Türkiye: Arda Güler (42’) and Salih Özcan (68’); France: Dayotchanculle Upamecano (72’), Esteban Lepaul (90+3’) and M. Koné (90+3’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (France) 7.8, Jules Koundé (France) 6.1 and Arda Güler (Türkiye) 5.2 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Türkiye next host Belgium on 12 November 2026.
France next travel to Italy on 12 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Türkiye: Türkiye v Belgium, Thursday 12 November — the preview. Next for France: Italy v France, Thursday 12 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Türkiye 0–1 France · UEFA Nations League
- Venue: Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu · Izmit
- Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Türkiye 1 · draws 1 · France 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Türkiye 3W 0D 2L · France 3W 0D 2L
Türkiye 0–1 France (UEFA Nations League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Türkiye for / against | Line | France for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7 for · 4.33 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 18.29 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.38 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.71 for · 2.83 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.38 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.43 for · 12.67 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.5 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.86 for · 1.33 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany.
Türkiye
Türkiye Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Çakır | 3 | 92277 min | 82.6 /90 | 51.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| U. Çakır n 8 | 90.9 | 1.9 |
Türkiye Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bardakcı | 3 | 91273 min | 82.6 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 216.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Demiral | 2 | 94187 min | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 136.3 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Kadıoğlu | 2 | 84167 min | 21.1 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 73.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Z. Çelik | 2 | 83165 min | 52.7 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 105.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Müldür | 2 | 53106 min | 32.5 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 97.6 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Güler n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | — |
| U. Çakır n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| A. Bardakcı n 8 | 90.4 | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| K. Yıldız n 8 | 80.1 | 0.6 | 1 | — |
| B. Yılmaz n 8 | 46.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Güler n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 |
| A. Bardakcı n 8 | 90.4 | 1.5 |
| K. Yıldız n 8 | 80.1 | 1.4 |
| B. Yılmaz n 8 | 46.4 | 1.2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu n 8 | 84.9 | 2.7 |
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Türkiye Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yıldız | 3 | 75226 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 52 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 52 /90 | 52 /90 |
| B. Yılmaz | 3 | 60179 min | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 31.5 /90 |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | 2 | 65130 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.4 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 32.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Gül | 1 | 3030 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 26 /90 | 13 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Güler | 3 | 92277 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 92.9 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 51.6 /90 | 41.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Güler n 8 | 84.3 | 2 | 0.9 |
| U. Çakır n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Bardakcı n 8 | 90.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| K. Yıldız n 8 | 80.1 | 2 | 0.8 |
| B. Yılmaz n 8 | 46.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Güler n 8 | 84.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| U. Çakır n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Bardakcı n 8 | 90.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
| K. Yıldız n 8 | 80.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| B. Yılmaz n 8 | 46.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
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France
France Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan | 8 | 90720 min | 131.6 /90 | 101.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
France Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Upamecano | 8 | 83661 min | 172.3 /90 | 152 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 344.6 /90 | 71 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Koundé | 7 | 86602 min | 142.1 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 314.6 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| William Saliba | 6 | 80480 min | 20.4 /90 | 61.1 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 142.6 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Digne | 6 | 78465 min | 51 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 203.9 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. Hernández | 4 | 61243 min | 20.7 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 93.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 87.3 | 0.8 | 1 | — |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 82.6 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| M. Olise n 8 | 81.3 | 0.7 | 2.2 | — |
| O. Dembélé n 8 | 74.6 | 0 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 87.3 | 0.1 |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 82.6 | 2.3 |
| M. Olise n 8 | 81.3 | 2.1 |
| O. Dembélé n 8 | 74.6 | 0.5 |
| D. Doué n 8 | 49.8 | 2.3 |
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France Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | 8 | 87698 min | 101.3 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 364.6 /90 | 233 /90 | 182.3 /90 | 131.7 /90 |
| M. Olise | 8 | 81650 min | 00 /90 | 71 /90 | 141.9 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 172.4 /90 | 162.2 /90 |
| O. Dembélé | 8 | 75597 min | 60.9 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 152.3 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 182.7 /90 | 60.9 /90 |
| D. Doué | 8 | 50398 min | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 102.3 /90 | 81.8 /90 | 132.9 /90 | 92 /90 |
| A. Rabiot | 7 | 84585 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 87.3 | 4.6 | 3 |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 82.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| M. Olise n 8 | 81.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| O. Dembélé n 8 | 74.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 87.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 82.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Olise n 8 | 81.3 | 0 | 1 |
| O. Dembélé n 8 | 74.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Türkiye | France | |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Possession | 64% |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.17 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 364 | Passes | 652 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Türkiye Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Özcan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| A. Güler | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | Y | 7.9 |
| M. Demiral | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Z. Çelik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Bardakcı | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Kadıoğlu | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| İ. Yüksek | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Yılmaz | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| U. Çakır | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | R | 5.6 |
| O. Aydın | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Uzun | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 |
| K. Aktürkoğlu sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Elmalı sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Melih Kabasakal sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Bayındır sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Gül sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
France Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Upamecano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.9 |
| Adrien Truffert | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Rabiot | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Lacroix | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Koundé | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Koné | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| M. Maignan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| O. Dembélé | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Olise | 78 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| R. Cherki | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 59 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| D. Doué sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Barcola sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Eduardo Camavinga sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Esteban Lepaul sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Türkiye v France — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2019-10-14 France 1–1 Türkiye
- 2019-06-08 Türkiye 2–0 France
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Türkiye v France?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Türkiye v France was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Türkiye and France?
- In their last 2 meetings, Türkiye won 1, France won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Türkiye and France?
- Recent form — Türkiye 3W 0D 2L; France 3W 0D 2L.
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