Türkiye v France result

Full-time · Türkiye 0–1 France

UEFA Nations League · · Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Türkiye 0–1 France — France won this UEFA Nations League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

France won 1–0 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 25 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — France: Kylian Mbappé (54’, assisted by Michael Olise). Uğurcan Çakır (87’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kylian Mbappé’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Türkiye 1.21, France 1.17, from 12 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Felix Zwayer, Germany showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Türkiye: Arda Güler (42’) and Salih Özcan (68’); France: Dayotchanculle Upamecano (72’), Esteban Lepaul (90+3’) and M. Koné (90+3’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (France) 7.8, Jules Koundé (France) 6.1 and Arda Güler (Türkiye) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Türkiye next host Belgium on 12 November 2026.

France next travel to Italy on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Türkiye: Türkiye v Belgium, Thursday 12 November — the preview. Next for France: Italy v France, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Türkiye 0–1 France · UEFA Nations League
  • Venue: Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu · Izmit
  • Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Türkiye 1 · draws 1 · France 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Türkiye 3W 0D 2L · France 3W 0D 2L

Türkiye 0–1 France (UEFA Nations League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7 / 6.38
Corners
against 4.33 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 7.38
Shots on target
against 2.83 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 0.75
Cards
against 1.33 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTürkiye for / againstLineFrance for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
3.5our book
2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 4.33 against n 7
9.5standard
6.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
18.29 for · 10 against n 7
19.5standard
17.38 for · 8.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.71 for · 2.83 against n 7
8.5standard
7.38 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.43 for · 12.67 against n 7
21.5standard
10.5 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.33 against n 7
3.5standard
0.75 for · 0.5 against n 8

Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany.

Türkiye

Türkiye Goalkeeper

Türkiye — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
U. Çakır392277 min82.6 /9051.6 /9000 /90
Türkiye — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
U. Çakır n 890.9
1.95/1

Türkiye Defensive

Türkiye — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bardakcı391273 min82.6 /9020.7 /9000 /90216.9 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Demiral294187 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90136.3 /9021 /9000 /90
F. Kadıoğlu284167 min21.1 /9010.5 /9000 /9073.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik283165 min52.7 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90105.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Müldür253106 min32.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9097.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Türkiye — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Güler n 884.3
0.94/2
2.98/6
—
U. Çakır n 890.9
00/0
00/0
—
A. Bardakcı n 890.4
16/1
0.64/1
—
K. Yıldız n 880.1
0.64/0
14/3
—
B. Yılmaz n 846.4
2.97/4
1.25/0
—
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Türkiye — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Güler n 884.3
0.96/1
A. Bardakcı n 890.4
1.55/4
K. Yıldız n 880.1
1.46/2
B. Yılmaz n 846.4
1.25/0
H. Çalhanoğlu n 884.9
2.76/5
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Türkiye Attacking

Türkiye — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Yıldız375226 min00 /9000 /9052 /9010.4 /9052 /9052 /90
B. Yılmaz360179 min10.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90
K. Aktürkoğlu265130 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9032.1 /9000 /90
D. Gül13030 min00 /9000 /9026 /9013 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Güler392277 min10.3 /9000 /9092.9 /9041.3 /9051.6 /9041.3 /90
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Türkiye — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Güler n 884.3
27/2
0.95/1
U. Çakır n 890.9
00/0
00/0
A. Bardakcı n 890.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
K. Yıldız n 880.1
27/5
0.84/2
B. Yılmaz n 846.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
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Türkiye — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Güler n 884.3
0.32/0
0.42/1
U. Çakır n 890.9
00/0
00/0
A. Bardakcı n 890.4
00/0
0.11/0
K. Yıldız n 880.1
0.42/1
00/0
B. Yılmaz n 846.4
0.21/0
0.52/0
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France

France Goalkeeper

France — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Maignan890720 min131.6 /90101.3 /9010.1 /90
France — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for France before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
1.64/3

France Defensive

France — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Upamecano883661 min172.3 /90152 /9050.7 /90344.6 /9071 /9000 /90
J. Koundé786602 min142.1 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90314.6 /9060.9 /9000 /90
William Saliba680480 min20.4 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90142.6 /9040.8 /9000 /90
L. Digne678465 min51 /9040.8 /9000 /90203.9 /9071.4 /9000 /90
T. Hernández461243 min20.7 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9093.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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France — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for France before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Kylian Mbappé n 887.3
0.85/1
16/2
—
D. Upamecano n 882.6
17/0
0.53/1
—
M. Olise n 881.3
0.74/1
2.27/5
—
O. Dembélé n 874.6
00/0
0.64/0
—
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France — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for France before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 887.3
0.11/0
D. Upamecano n 882.6
2.35/4
M. Olise n 881.3
2.17/4
O. Dembélé n 874.6
0.53/0
D. Doué n 849.8
2.37/3
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France Attacking

France — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé887698 min101.3 /9040.5 /90364.6 /90233 /90182.3 /90131.7 /90
M. Olise881650 min00 /9071 /90141.9 /9050.7 /90172.4 /90162.2 /90
O. Dembélé875597 min60.9 /9020.3 /90152.3 /90101.5 /90182.7 /9060.9 /90
D. Doué850398 min10.2 /9010.2 /90102.3 /9081.8 /90132.9 /9092 /90
A. Rabiot784585 min00 /9010.2 /9081.2 /9010.2 /9081.2 /9010.2 /90
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France — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for France before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
Kylian Mbappé n 887.3
4.68/8
37/7
D. Upamecano n 882.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Olise n 881.3
1.96/4
0.72/2
O. Dembélé n 874.6
2.37/5
1.55/4
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France — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for France before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
Kylian Mbappé n 887.3
1.36/4
0.53/1
D. Upamecano n 882.6
00/0
0.11/0
M. Olise n 881.3
00/0
14/3
O. Dembélé n 874.6
0.94/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TürkiyeFrance
36%Possession64%
1.21Expected goals (xG)1.17
12Shots12
3Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box7
5Corners3
2Offsides2
14Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
3Saves3
364Passes652
75%Pass accuracy86%

Türkiye Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Özcan90001011Y6.7
A. Güler90001131Y7.9
M. Demiral9000000007.2
Z. Çelik9000001207
A. Bardakcı9000200306.3
F. Kadıoğlu8900210206.6
İ. Yüksek8800110306.5
B. Yılmaz8800001006.2
U. Çakır87000000R5.6
O. Aydın7600101006.7
C. Uzun7500001105.6
K. Aktürkoğlu sub1500000006.3
E. Elmalı sub1400000006.6
Melih Kabasakal sub1000000106.7
A. Bayındır sub1000000007
D. Gül sub10000000–

France Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Upamecano90000001Y7.9
Adrien Truffert9000000207.2
A. Rabiot9000200306.3
M. Lacroix9000000107.2
J. Koundé9000101507.3
M. Koné90000000Y7.3
M. Maignan9000000007.7
O. Dembélé8900114006.3
M. Olise7801213307.3
R. Cherki7800002006.9
Kylian Mbappé5910210007.5
D. Doué sub3100210006.7
B. Barcola sub1200000006.3
Eduardo Camavinga sub1200000006.7
Esteban Lepaul sub8000000Y6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Türkiye v France — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TürkiyeWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
FranceWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Türkiye 1 · 1 draw · France 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2019-10-14 France 1–1 Türkiye
  • 2019-06-08 Türkiye 2–0 France
League standing · 2026/27
Türkiye#4 pos0 pts4 pl-9 GD
France#1 pos10 pts4 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Türkiye scored0.5
France scored1.75
Türkiye conceded2.75
France conceded0.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Türkiye v France?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Türkiye v France was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Türkiye and France?
In their last 2 meetings, Türkiye won 1, France won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Türkiye and France?
Recent form — Türkiye 3W 0D 2L; France 3W 0D 2L.

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