Uruguay v Spain result

Full-time · Uruguay 0–1 Spain

World Cup · Sat, 27 Jun 2026 01:00 BST · Estadio AKRON

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Uruguay · Spain

The model’s pre-match pick

Uruguay 0–1 Spain — Spain won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Spain won 1–0 at Estadio AKRON in the World Cup on Saturday 27 June.

Spain have conceded one goal, the fewest of the 48 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Spain led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Spain: Alex Baena (42’, assisted by Marcos Llorente). A. Canobbio (90+5’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alex Baena’s goal on 42 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Uruguay 0.20, Spain 0.86, from 5 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ismail Elfath, USA showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Uruguay: J. Sanabria (54’), G. Varela (58’) and N. de la Cruz (90+3’); Spain: Alex Baena (46’).

What it changes

Uruguay have scored three goals, the 22nd-fewest (shared) of the 48 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Uruguay have conceded four goals, the 24th-most (shared) of the 48 clubs.

Spain have scored 14 goals, the 14th-most (shared) of the 48 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game).

Uruguay are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Spain are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Spain have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marcos Llorente (Spain) 6.8, M. Olivera (Uruguay) 5.1 and Lamine Yamal (Spain) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Spain, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Uruguay next travel to Argentina on 13 November 2026.

Spain next travel to Czechia on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Uruguay: Argentina v Uruguay, Friday 13 November — the preview. Next for Spain: Czechia v Spain, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Uruguay 0–1 Spain · World Cup
Venue: Estadio AKRON · Zapopan
Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Uruguay 1W 4D 0L · Spain 3W 2D 0L

Uruguay 0–1 Spain (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 3.13

Goals

against 0.75 / 0.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

8.5 / 8.33

Corners

against 4.25 / 1.17 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 4 matches

5.5 / 8.67

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 0.83 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1.25 / 0.67

Cards

against 1.75 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 4 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 June 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Uruguay for / against	Line	Spain for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	3.13 for · 0.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.5 for · 4.25 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	8.33 for · 1.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	18.5 for · 11.5 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	24 for · 3.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 3.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	8.67 for · 0.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.75 for · 9.25 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	10.83 for · 5.33 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	0.67 for · 0.5 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA.

Uruguay

Uruguay Goalkeeper

Uruguay — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Fernando Muslera	2	90180 min	42 /90	31.5 /90
S. Rochet	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90
Santiago Mele	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90

Uruguay — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fernando Muslera n 8	91.5	2.8 6/3
S. Rochet n 4	90	2.8 4/2

Uruguay Defensive

Uruguay — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Cáceres	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	184.5 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
G. Varela	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90	144.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
M. Olivera	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	31 /90	31 /90	134.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90
J. Sanabria	2	68135 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Vina	2	68135 min	21.3 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	74.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Uruguay — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Bentancur n 8	87.1	2.1 7/6	1.2 5/3	—
S. Cáceres n 4	90	1.3 3/1	1.8 3/3	Aymeric Laporte
F. Valverde n 8	89.9	0.9 6/1	0 0/0	—
M. Ugarte n 6	48.2	1.9 4/1	1.6 3/1	Rodri
G. Varela n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0.7 1/1	Marc Cucurella
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Uruguay — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Bentancur n 8	87.1	1.9 6/4
F. Valverde n 8	89.9	1.1 6/3
S. Cáceres n 4	90	0.3 1/0
M. Ugarte n 6	48.2	0.6 2/0
M. Olivera n 5	90	1.6 4/2
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Uruguay Attacking

Uruguay — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Viñas	3	58175 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
D. Núñez	3	49147 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90
B. Rodríguez	2	81161 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	73.9 /90	21.1 /90
Cristian Olivera	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	22 /90	00 /90	11 /90
F. Pellistri	1	7777 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	33.5 /90	00 /90
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Uruguay — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Valverde n 8	89.9	2.3 8/5	1 5/2
S. Cáceres n 4	90	0.8 2/1	0 0/0
R. Bentancur n 8	87.1	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
M. Ugarte n 6	48.2	1.2 3/1	0.6 2/0
G. Varela n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Uruguay — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Valverde n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Cáceres n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Bentancur n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Ugarte n 6	48.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Varela n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
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Spain

Spain Goalkeeper

Spain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Unai Simón	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Spain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 8	90.8	1.4 2/1

Spain Defensive

Spain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Aymeric Laporte	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Marc Cucurella	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
Pau Cubarsí Paredes	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Marcos Llorente	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90	55 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Pedro Porro	1	9090 min	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90	44 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Spain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Marc Cucurella n 6	91	1.5 5/3	0.5 3/0	G. Varela
Aymeric Laporte n 8	90	0.5 2/1	0.4 3/0	S. Cáceres
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 6	82.5	0.5 3/0	0 0/0	—
Unai Simón n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Rodri n 8	75.3	1 4/3	0.6 3/1	M. Ugarte
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Spain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 6	91	1 4/1
Aymeric Laporte n 8	90	1 6/2
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 6	82.5	0.9 4/1
Rodri n 8	75.3	1.3 5/3
Pedri n 8	70.5	0.8 2/2
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Spain Attacking

Spain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal	2	68135 min	21.3 /90	10.7 /90	96 /90	42.7 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
Ferran Torres	2	63126 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.9 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90
Lamine Yamal	2	3264 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	68.4 /90	22.8 /90	22.8 /90	45.6 /90
Alex Baena	1	6161 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	23 /90	00 /90
Rodri	2	89177 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90	42 /90	21 /90
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Spain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 6	91	0.7 3/1	0.5 3/0
Aymeric Laporte n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
Unai Simón n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 6	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rodri n 8	75.3	1.5 6/2	0.6 3/1
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Spain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 21 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Marc Cucurella n 6	91	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Aymeric Laporte n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Unai Simón n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 6	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rodri n 8	75.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Uruguay		Spain
33%	Possession	67%
0.20	Expected goals (xG)	0.86
5	Shots	6
1	Shots on target	1
3	Shots off target	4
1	Blocked shots	1
2	Shots inside the box	5
1	Corners	6
5	Offsides	2
14	Fouls	14
3	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
0	Saves	2
301	Passes	622
76%	Pass accuracy	89%

Uruguay Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Varela	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
S. Cáceres	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Olivera	90	0	0	0	6	0	7.5
A. Canobbio	90	0	0	0	0	R	6.5
R. Bentancur	90	1	0	0	3	0	6.9
M. Araújo	90	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
D. Núñez	90	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Sanabria	70	0	0	0	7	Y	6.9
F. Valverde	57	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
Fernando Muslera	45	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
M. Ugarte	44	0	0	1	3	0	6.6
N. de la Cruz sub	46	1	1	0	1	Y	7
S. Rochet sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
F. Viñas sub	33	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
B. Rodríguez sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Spain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Unai Simón	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Marcos Llorente	90	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
Pau Cubarsí Paredes	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.5
Aymeric Laporte	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.9
Marc Cucurella	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Rodri	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	6.9
Lamine Yamal	76	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Mikel Oyarzabal	76	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
Alex Baena	66	1	0	1	1	1	2	Y	7.5
Pedri	60	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
Mikel Merino	60	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Fabián Ruiz sub	30	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Dani Olmo sub	30	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Yeremy Pino sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Nico Williams sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Ferran Torres sub	14	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Uruguay v Spain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

UruguayDWDDD

Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

SpainWWDDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Uruguay#3 pos2 pts3 pl-1 GD

Spain#1 pos7 pts3 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Uruguay scored1

Spain scored1.67

Uruguay conceded1.33

Spain conceded0

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Uruguay v Spain?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Uruguay v Spain was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Uruguay and Spain?: Recent form — Uruguay 1W 4D 0L; Spain 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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