1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld result

Full-time · 1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga · · Max-Morlock-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld — 1. FC Nürnberg won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

1. FC Nürnberg beat Arminia Bielefeld 4–1 at Max-Morlock-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

1. FC Nürnberg led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Nürnberg: M. Zoma (11’), T. Janisch (22’, assisted by F. Becker) and A. Marhiev (38’, assisted by E. Porstner; 67’); Arminia Bielefeld: M. Wörl (76’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Zoma’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: 1. FC Nürnberg 0.94, Arminia Bielefeld 1.19, from 13 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Patrick Schwengers, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — 1. FC Nürnberg: Kristian Mandic (45+1’) and M. Zoma (60’).

What it changes

1. FC Nürnberg stay first after this result (three league matches played). 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Arminia Bielefeld move down from fifth to eighth (three league matches played). Arminia Bielefeld have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Nürnberg have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Arminia Bielefeld have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Marhiev (1. FC Nürnberg) 14.4, T. Janisch (1. FC Nürnberg) 7.2 and M. Wörl (Arminia Bielefeld) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Arminia Bielefeld.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (389 of 581).

Next up

1. FC Nürnberg next travel to FC St. Pauli on 1 November 2026.

Arminia Bielefeld next host Eintracht Braunschweig on 30 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Arminia Bielefeld: Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig, Friday 30 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Max-Morlock-Stadion · Nuremberg
  • Referee: Patrick Schwengers, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Nürnberg 2 · draws 3 · Arminia Bielefeld 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L · Arminia Bielefeld 2W 1D 2L

1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.29 / 5.57
Corners
against 4.86 / 4.71 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6 / 5.14
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 3.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.14
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Nürnberg for / againstLineArminia Bielefeld for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5.57 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
15 for · 13 against n 7
19.5standard
15 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
6 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.14 for · 3.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.43 for · 10 against n 7
21.5standard
11.14 for · 14.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.14 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: Patrick Schwengers, Germany.

1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg Goalkeeper

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Reichert290180 min52.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 890
2.84/4

1. FC Nürnberg Defensive

1. FC Nürnberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Kalogeropoulos290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9042 /9000 /90
F. Otto290180 min10.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Porstner278156 min31.7 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9052.9 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
T. Janisch264127 min00 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /90
G. Masouras22753 min46.8 /9000 /9000 /90813.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marhiev n 889.9
1.57/4
1.37/2
J. Rochelt
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
M. Zoma n 879.6
0.43/0
1.45/3
J. Grodowski
P. Scobel n 866.4
0.84/1
0.31/1
—
J. Fernandez n 876.4
2.18/3
0.74/1
J. Rochelt
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1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 889.9
2.88/5
M. Zoma n 879.6
13/1
P. Scobel n 866.4
0.53/0
J. Fernandez n 876.4
1.96/3
F. Becker n 875.1
0.74/1
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1. FC Nürnberg Attacking

1. FC Nürnberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Scobel287173 min21 /9010.5 /9063.1 /9042.1 /9042.1 /9000 /90
A. Marhiev290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /90
M. Zoma288175 min31.5 /9000 /9084.1 /9063.1 /9010.5 /9063.1 /90
J. Fernandez284167 min00 /9000 /9042.2 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9042.2 /90
F. Becker283165 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9042.2 /9021.1 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 889.9
0.64/1
0.11/0
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Zoma n 879.6
2.88/6
1.75/4
P. Scobel n 866.4
2.26/4
0.71/1
J. Fernandez n 876.4
1.35/4
0.74/1
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1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Zoma n 879.6
14/2
0.11/0
P. Scobel n 866.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
J. Fernandez n 876.4
00/0
0.11/0
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Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld Goalkeeper

Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Kersken290180 min52.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Kersken n 890
2.56/3

Arminia Bielefeld Defensive

Arminia Bielefeld — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Koudossou290180 min42 /9031.5 /9000 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Bauer290180 min42 /9021 /9010.5 /90136.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
M. Großer290180 min00 /9021 /9042 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Sicker254108 min21.7 /9032.5 /9021.7 /9043.3 /9010.8 /9000 /90
T. Handwerker16464 min00 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Arminia Bielefeld — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Grodowski n 869.1
1.14/2
1.34/2
M. Zoma
M. Bauer n 890
15/3
1.36/3
—
M. Großer n 886.5
0.74/1
0.84/1
—
J. Kersken n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
J. Rochelt n 870.9
0.84/1
1.35/3
J. Fernandez
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Arminia Bielefeld — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Bauer n 890
15/3
M. Großer n 886.5
0.73/2
J. Grodowski n 869.1
0.74/0
J. Rochelt n 870.9
0.83/2
S. Russo n 886.1
2.28/5
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Arminia Bielefeld Attacking

Arminia Bielefeld — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Grodowski290180 min31.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Benjamin Bediako Boakye23876 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.4 /90
I. Young12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /9028.6 /90
J. Rochelt286172 min00 /9000 /9021 /9000 /9052.6 /9031.6 /90
S. Russo283165 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Arminia Bielefeld — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Grodowski n 869.1
1.55/3
1.55/3
M. Großer n 886.5
15/2
0.53/1
M. Bauer n 890
0.52/2
0.11/0
J. Kersken n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Rochelt n 870.9
0.83/2
0.21/0
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Arminia Bielefeld — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Grodowski n 869.1
13/2
00/0
M. Bauer n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kersken n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Großer n 886.5
00/0
00/0
J. Rochelt n 870.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
53%Possession47%
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.19
13Shots21
6Shots on target5
2Shots off target9
5Blocked shots7
10Shots inside the box12
3Corners8
1Offsides0
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves2
455Passes371
86%Pass accuracy80%

1. FC Nürnberg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Reichert9000000007.2
E. Porstner9001001206.7
Kristian Mandic90000010Y7.5
A. Kalogeropoulos9000002007.5
A. Marhiev90202223010
J. Fernandez9000002006.5
F. Becker8301111007
M. Zoma83102110Y7.9
P. Scobel7000100106.5
T. Janisch7010111208.2
J. Justvan6300000106.7
Rafael Lubach sub2700000106.9
G. Masouras sub2000000006.2
S. Haugen sub2000110006.7
Marko Soldic sub1000000006.3
R. Ghrieb sub1000000006.5

Arminia Bielefeld Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Russo9000111006.9
H. Koudossou9000102005.9
T. Handwerker9000001205.9
M. Großer9000000406.3
M. Bauer9000100106.2
J. Kersken9000000005.2
M. Momuluh8300211206.3
J. Rochelt7100002105.9
M. Mehlem7100101106.6
J. Grodowski5700201006.3
S. Schreck4500211106.9
M. Wörl sub4510220107.5
Benjamin Bediako Boakye sub3300200306.7
Roberts Uldriķis sub1900001006.3
T. Wegener sub1900001106.3
I. Young sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC NürnbergWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Arminia BielefeldLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Nürnberg 2 · 3 draws · Arminia Bielefeld 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 2025-11-23 1. FC Nürnberg 2–0 Arminia Bielefeld
  • 2023-03-17 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 FC Nurnberg
  • 2022-09-09 FC Nurnberg 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld
  • 2020-06-06 Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 FC Nurnberg
  • 2019-11-10 FC Nurnberg 1–5 Arminia Bielefeld
League standing · 2026/27
1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts9 pl+9 GD
Arminia Bielefeld#9 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Nürnberg scored2.33
Arminia Bielefeld scored1.44
1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.33
Arminia Bielefeld conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2, Arminia Bielefeld won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld?
Recent form — 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L; Arminia Bielefeld 2W 1D 2L.

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