FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth result

Full-time · FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 09 Aug 2026 12:30 BST · Millerntor-Stadion

Updated 23 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC St. Pauli · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.65 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth drew 1–1 at Millerntor-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 9 August. FC St. Pauli are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — FC St. Pauli: M. Mathisen (46’, assisted by B. Hrgota); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: F. Klaus (51’, assisted by J. Dehm).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Klaus’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FC St. Pauli 1.72, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.78, from 18 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Osmers showed one yellow card — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — FC St. Pauli: A. Pyrka (61’).

What it changes

FC St. Pauli are ninth (shared) after this result (one league match played). FC St. Pauli have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC St. Pauli have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth are ninth (shared) after this result (one league match played). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Mathisen (FC St. Pauli) 8.3, B. Hrgota (FC St. Pauli) 7.6 and F. Klaus (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 7.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SpVgg Greuther Fürth, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC St. Pauli next host 1. FC Nürnberg on 1 November 2026.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next host Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC St. Pauli: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
Referee: H. Osmers
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC St. Pauli 3 · draws 2 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: FC St. Pauli 0W 1D 4L · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 1D 2L

FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.25 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.25 / 6.88

Corners

against 5.38 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC St. Pauli for / against	Line	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.13 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.88 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: H. Osmers.

The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC St. Pauli		SpVgg Greuther Fürth
58%	Possession	42%
1.72	Expected goals (xG)	1.78
18	Shots	15
6	Shots on target	7
4	Shots off target	5
8	Blocked shots	3
11	Shots inside the box	8
9	Corners	2
7	Offsides	2
4	Fouls	5
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	5
520	Passes	393
86%	Pass accuracy	83%

FC St. Pauli Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Voll	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
D. Nemeth	90	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.6
M. Mathisen	90	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	8.9
T. Ando	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
J. Fujita	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.2
B. Hrgota	90	0	1	1	1	4	3	0	8.2
M. Kaars	90	0	0	3	2	1	0	0	6.2
M. Rasmussen	85	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.2
L. Oppie	85	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7
A. Pyrka	79	0	0	0	0	3	3	Y	7.6
T. Hara	73	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
R. Jones sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
E. Smith sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
E. Ahlstrand sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
R. Jansson sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Florian Hellstern	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
J. Heuer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
K. Keresztes	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.9
G. Itter	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
P. Will	90	0	0	0	0	3	2	7
D. Srbeny	90	0	0	2	1	2	0	6
J. Dehm	87	0	1	2	0	1	0	6.6
S. Appelkamp	87	0	0	0	0	3	2	7.2
S. Banse	76	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.3
F. Klaus	76	1	0	6	4	2	1	7.9
Ole Pohlmann	70	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Keller sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Arifi sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
O. Sillah sub	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Lukas Reich sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Wallentowitz sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	2	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC St. PauliDLLLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

SpVgg Greuther FürthDLWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC St. Pauli 3 · 2 draws · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 3 goals/game

2024-02-03 FC St. Pauli 3–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2023-08-19 SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–0 FC St. Pauli
2023-03-11 FC St. Pauli 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2022-09-03 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–2 FC St. Pauli
2021-04-25 FC St. Pauli 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2021-01-03 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 FC St. Pauli

League standing · 2026/27

FC St. Pauli#7 pos12 pts9 pl+2 GD

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#12 pos9 pts9 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

FC St. Pauli scored1.22

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.33

FC St. Pauli conceded1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded1.78

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: In their last 6 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 3, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: Recent form — FC St. Pauli 0W 1D 4L; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 23 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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