SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg result

Full-time · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga · · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg — 1. FC Nürnberg won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

1. FC Nürnberg won 4–2 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 15 August. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: F. Klaus (22’ pen; 41’, assisted by D. Srbeny); 1. FC Nürnberg: P. Scobel (26’, assisted by J. Justvan; 74’) and J. Justvan (45’, assisted by P. Scobel; 54’, assisted by F. Otto).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Justvan’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: SpVgg Greuther Fürth, from fewer shots (14 to 15), created the better chances, 2.75 xG to 1.48 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

T. Bauer showed five yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: A. Keller (89’); 1. FC Nürnberg: J. Fernandez (28’), J. Justvan (45+6’), E. Porstner (61’) and R. Ghrieb (77’).

What it changes

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move down from ninth to 13th (two league matches played). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Nürnberg move up from second to first (two league matches played). 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across nine matches. 1. FC Nürnberg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg) 13.1, F. Klaus (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 10.3 and J. Justvan (1. FC Nürnberg) 10.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SpVgg Greuther Fürth, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SpVgg Greuther Fürth or 1. FC Nürnberg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next host Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026.

1. FC Nürnberg next travel to FC St. Pauli on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer · Fürth
  • Referee: T. Bauer
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · draws 3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 1D 2L · 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · T. Bauer
23.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSpVgg Greuther Fürth for / againstLine1. FC Nürnberg for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: T. Bauer — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goalkeeper

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Florian Hellstern19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /90

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Itter19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Heuer19090 min00 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
K. Keresztes19090 min11 /9022 /9022 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Dehm18787 min00 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
P. Will19090 min22 /9022 /9011 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Srbeny n 859.3
2.15/4
1.36/1
F. Becker
P. Will n 886
15/3
0.32/0
J. Fernandez
G. Itter n 883.4
0.74/1
00/0
—
J. Dehm n 879.5
16/1
0.84/1
—
F. Klaus n 888.3
0.53/1
27/5
F. Becker
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Itter n 883.4
3.16/4
P. Will n 886
2.48/6
D. Srbeny n 859.3
1.13/1
J. Dehm n 879.5
1.34/3
S. Banse n 368.3
2.23/2
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Srbeny19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
F. Klaus17676 min11.2 /9000 /9067.1 /9044.7 /9022.4 /9011.2 /90
P. Will19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9011 /90
S. Appelkamp18787 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033.1 /9011 /90
S. Banse17676 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Srbeny n 859.3
1.96/3
0.84/0
G. Itter n 883.4
0.42/1
00/0
P. Will n 886
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Dehm n 879.5
0.73/2
00/0
F. Klaus n 888.3
2.97/5
1.46/3
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Itter n 883.4
00/0
0.11/0
P. Will n 886
00/0
00/0
D. Srbeny n 859.3
00/0
00/0
J. Dehm n 879.5
00/0
0.11/0
F. Klaus n 888.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
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1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg Goalkeeper

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Reichert19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 890
2.54/3

1. FC Nürnberg Defensive

1. FC Nürnberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Kalogeropoulos19090 min00 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Otto19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Janisch17272 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
E. Porstner16666 min22.7 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9034.1 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Masouras11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9015 /9000 /9000 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Fernandez n 776.3
2.27/3
0.84/1
P. Will
A. Marhiev n 889.9
1.57/4
1.67/3
—
F. Becker n 867.6
0.84/1
0.52/1
F. Klaus
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
P. Scobel n 859.9
0.94/1
0.41/1
—
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1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 889.9
2.88/5
J. Fernandez n 776.3
25/3
F. Becker n 867.6
15/1
M. Zoma n 879.6
1.14/1
P. Scobel n 859.9
0.63/0
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1. FC Nürnberg Attacking

1. FC Nürnberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Scobel18585 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
A. Marhiev19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9022 /90
F. Becker19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9022 /90
J. Fernandez19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9011 /9022 /90
M. Zoma18585 min33.2 /9000 /9055.3 /9044.2 /9011.1 /9033.2 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Fernandez n 776.3
1.24/3
0.73/1
F. Becker n 867.6
1.26/1
0.32/0
A. Marhiev n 889.9
0.95/2
0.32/0
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Zoma n 879.6
2.78/6
1.65/3
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1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Becker n 867.6
00/0
0.32/0
A. Marhiev n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Fernandez n 776.3
00/0
0.21/0
J. Reichert n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Zoma n 879.6
1.15/2
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
44%Possession56%
2.75Expected goals (xG)1.48
14Shots15
6Shots on target9
4Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box10
5Corners3
4Offsides1
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
5Saves4
339Passes442
81%Pass accuracy86%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Florian Hellstern9000000006.6
J. Heuer9000000306.2
K. Keresztes9000000005.9
G. Itter9000002406.3
S. Appelkamp9000101007.3
P. Will9000001206.3
F. Klaus9020660007.7
J. Dehm7700100206
S. Banse7700100306.2
Ole Pohlmann7700000205.6
D. Srbeny6701002107
A. Keller sub23000001Y6.2
Lukas Reich sub1300100006.9
M. Wallentowitz sub1300000106.6
O. Sillah sub1300000106.3

1. FC Nürnberg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Reichert9000000007.9
A. Kalogeropoulos9000000106.3
F. Otto9001001107.2
E. Porstner90000011Y5.5
A. Marhiev9000002507.9
M. Zoma9000320006.7
J. Justvan88213210Y9.7
P. Scobel8821443008.5
J. Fernandez77002101Y6.9
F. Becker7500100005.9
T. Janisch5500001005.9
G. Masouras sub3500001407.5
R. Ghrieb sub15000000Y5.9
Rafael Lubach sub1300000106.7
M. Kornwachs Barjuan sub1000000006.6
A. Grimaldi sub1000001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SpVgg Greuther FürthLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
1. FC NürnbergWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 3 draws · 1. FC Nürnberg 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 2025-12-07 1. FC Nürnberg 2–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • 2025-03-16 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • 2024-10-20 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–4 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 2024-02-25 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 FC Nurnberg
  • 2023-09-15 FC Nurnberg 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
League standing · 2026/27
SpVgg Greuther Fürth#12 pos9 pts9 pl-4 GD
1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts9 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.33
1. FC Nürnberg scored2.33
SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded1.78
1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg?
In their last 6 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg?
Recent form — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 1D 2L; 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L.

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