Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg prediction

The match

Sturm Graz host Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga – Austria on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Red Bull Salzburg have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Sturm Graz have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Sturm Graz have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.00. Sturm Graz have scored 19 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Sturm Graz have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

10 of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Red Bull Salzburg have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.75. Red Bull Salzburg have scored 29 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Sturm Graz are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sturm Graz (fourth) and Red Bull Salzburg (second) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Red Bull Salzburg the stronger side, 182 rating points above Sturm Graz (Red Bull Salzburg 1903, Sturm Graz 1721, after at least 303 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sturm Graz. The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz.

Team news

Predicted Sturm Graz XI (3-4-2-1): A. Helac, J. Quarshie, P. Koller, A. Malic, J. Stankovic, L. Weinhandl, J. Hödl, L. Balbo, J. Heil, O. Diakité, S. Seidl — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Emran Soglo (5.1 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Oumar Diakité (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, 10 goals) have been Sturm Graz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sturm Graz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Emran Soglo averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Oumar Diakité averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 590 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Red Bull Salzburg XI (4-2-3-1): C. Zawieschitzky, V. Zabransky, T. Drexler, L. Morgalla, K. Boma, A. Barry, B. Mazurek, E. Baidoo, J. Lindstrøm, Y. Vertessen, H. Tabaković — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jesper Lindstrøm (5.1 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Bartosz Mazurek (4.4 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Red Bull Salzburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Red Bull Salzburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jesper Lindstrøm averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 408 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Bartosz Mazurek averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1016 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.