1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart result

Full-time · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga · · PreZero Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart — this Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1899 Hoffenheim: 2.72 to 2.05 in expected goals, from 22 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart drew 3–3 at PreZero Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 2 May.

The goals

1899 Hoffenheim led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — 1899 Hoffenheim: Andrej Kramarić (7’, assisted by Fisnik Asllani; 49’, assisted by Bazoumana Touré) and Bazoumana Touré (23’); VfB Stuttgart: Chris Führich (20’, assisted by Ramon Hendriks), Ermedin Demirović (64’, assisted by Jamie Leweling) and Tiago Tomás (90’). Atakan Karazor (69’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tiago Tomás’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Sascha Stegemann, Germany showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Andrej Kramarić (49’), Bernardo (68’) and Ozan Kabak (83’); VfB Stuttgart: Bilal El Khannouss (58’).

What it changes

1899 Hoffenheim move down from fourth to fifth (32 league matches played).

VfB Stuttgart stay fourth after this result (32 league matches played).

1899 Hoffenheim are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. VfB Stuttgart are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. 1899 Hoffenheim have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. VfB Stuttgart have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrej Kramarić (1899 Hoffenheim) 8.1, Bazoumana Touré (1899 Hoffenheim) 7.9 and Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart) 6.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

1899 Hoffenheim are unbeaten in the last three meetings with VfB Stuttgart.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

1899 Hoffenheim next host FC Schalke 04 on 8 November 2026.

VfB Stuttgart next host Werder Bremen on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: 1899 Hoffenheim v FC Schalke 04, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
  • Venue: PreZero Arena · Sinsheim
  • Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · draws 4 · VfB Stuttgart 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 1D 2L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L

1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7 / 7.29
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.63 / 6.14
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · Sascha Stegemann, Germany
20.18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
15.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.14 for · 11.86 against n 7
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.14 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.43 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 20.18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim Goalkeeper

1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Baumann32902880 min942.9 /90451.4 /9000 /90
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.56/4

1899 Hoffenheim Defensive

1899 Hoffenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Coufal32892837 min521.6 /90351.1 /90150.5 /901534.9 /90341.1 /9040.1 /90
R. Hranáč28822306 min261 /90180.7 /90180.7 /901224.8 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
A. Hajdari27812195 min552.3 /90351.4 /90180.7 /901315.4 /90401.6 /9090.4 /90
Bernardo27802171 min692.9 /90361.5 /90160.7 /901847.6 /90391.6 /9070.3 /90
O. Kabak19771461 min191.2 /90221.4 /90100.6 /901378.4 /90191.2 /9030.2 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Baumann n 890
0.11/0
00/0
—
V. Coufal n 886.3
1.66/4
1.34/4
—
A. Kramarić n 869.1
0.32/0
0.52/1
C. Führich
L. Avdullahu n 881
0.85/1
0.42/1
A. Stiller
F. Asllani n 873.6
1.45/2
0.53/0
J. Leweling
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1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Coufal n 886.3
1.77/5
A. Kramarić n 869.1
0.32/0
L. Avdullahu n 881
2.15/5
F. Asllani n 873.6
0.95/1
G. Prömel n 858.8
0.84/0
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking

1899 Hoffenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Kramarić32652068 min120.5 /9060.3 /90441.9 /90291.3 /90351.5 /90170.7 /90
F. Asllani31712198 min110.5 /9070.3 /90532.2 /90271.1 /90341.4 /90130.5 /90
T. Lemperle26701814 min70.3 /9020.1 /90391.9 /90201 /90251.2 /90140.7 /90
Max Moerstedt1030302 min30.9 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
I. Bebou42182 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 886.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
A. Kramarić n 869.1
1.54/3
0.83/1
L. Avdullahu n 881
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Asllani n 873.6
2.37/5
1.45/3
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1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 886.3
00/0
0.32/0
A. Kramarić n 869.1
0.31/1
0.21/0
L. Avdullahu n 881
00/0
00/0
F. Asllani n 873.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Nübel43903876 min1222.8 /90561.3 /9010 /90
F. Bredlow490360 min82 /9041 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
3.27/5
F. Bredlow n 890
37/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mittelstädt41773176 min982.8 /90541.5 /90140.4 /902095.9 /90190.5 /9060.2 /90
J. Chabot36853077 min471.4 /90471.4 /90260.8 /902607.6 /90491.4 /9080.2 /90
R. Hendriks36772777 min461.5 /90341.1 /90150.5 /901364.4 /90220.7 /9030.1 /90
Finn Jeltsch30772302 min301.2 /90281.1 /90220.9 /901024 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
L. Assignon25771924 min321.5 /90170.8 /9040.2 /90924.3 /90381.8 /9050.2 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 885.3
0.53/1
1.75/4
L. Avdullahu
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
0.73/1
1.16/1
—
J. Leweling n 875.4
0.93/1
1.35/4
F. Asllani
C. Führich n 859.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Kramarić
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 885.3
2.48/7
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
2.36/4
J. Leweling n 875.4
0.93/2
C. Führich n 859.1
0.83/1
D. Undav n 886.9
0.64/1
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav39803102 min230.7 /90140.4 /901163.4 /90601.7 /90732.1 /90100.3 /90
Tiago Tomás29491431 min50.3 /9020.1 /90322 /90120.8 /90120.8 /90231.4 /90
E. Demirović26701820 min90.4 /9030.1 /90381.9 /90180.9 /90201 /9090.4 /90
A. Stiller45823669 min20 /9060.1 /90140.3 /9070.2 /90802 /90190.5 /90
J. Leweling41732977 min110.3 /9090.3 /90531.6 /90300.9 /90511.5 /90441.3 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 885.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
1.15/1
0.83/1
J. Leweling n 875.4
15/2
0.63/1
C. Führich n 859.1
3.27/6
1.96/3
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 885.3
0.11/0
00/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 868.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Leweling n 875.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
C. Führich n 859.1
0.42/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart
46%Possession54%
2.47Expected goals (xG)1.57
22Shots14
9Shots on target5
10Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box10
4Corners5
2Offsides3
18Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
2Saves6
357Passes416
77%Pass accuracy80%

1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Baumann9000000005.3
V. Coufal9000111306.5
O. Kabak90001000Y5.9
A. Hajdari9000100106.3
Bernardo90001011Y6.5
L. Avdullahu9000103307.3
B. Touré9011323008.7
W. Burger8900213007.3
A. Kramarić89204310Y8.3
F. Asllani8901202006.3
T. Lemperle8100211006.7
Max Moerstedt sub900110006.5
K. Akpoguma sub10000010–
A. Prass sub10000000–
M. Damar sub10000000–

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Nübel9000000008
L. Jaquez9000000206.5
R. Hendriks9001001106.7
A. Stiller9000211006.7
C. Führich9010322007.6
D. Undav9000102106.9
J. Leweling8601002006.7
B. El Khannouss76001010Y6.3
A. Karazor69000000R6.2
J. Vagnoman5500000005.7
J. Chabot5500000106.3
M. Mittelstädt sub3500001206.9
E. Demirović sub3510111007.7
L. Assignon sub1400001006.6
Tiago Tomás sub1110210006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1899 Hoffenheim 1 · 4 draws · VfB Stuttgart 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 0–0 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-02-23 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-10-06 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2024-03-16 1899 Hoffenheim 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-05-27 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
League standing · 2025/26
1899 Hoffenheim#5 pos61 pts34 pl+13 GD
VfB Stuttgart#4 pos62 pts34 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.91
VfB Stuttgart scored2.09
1899 Hoffenheim conceded1.53
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1899 Hoffenheim 2.72 xG from 22 shots, VfB Stuttgart 2.05 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Wouter Burger 74' · 0.54 xGAngelo Stiller 94' · 0.46 xGTim Lemperle 53' · 0.32 xGTiago Tomás 93' · 0.22 xGBazoumana Touré 87' · 0.14 xGTim Lemperle 74' · 0.10 xGFisnik Asllani 44' · 0.09 xGOzan Kabak 32' · 0.08 xGAlbian Hajdari 71' · 0.08 xGTim Lemperle 41' · 0.07 xGChris Führich 51' · 0.07 xGVladimir Coufal 60' · 0.07 xGDeniz Undav 91' · 0.06 xGAndrej Kramaric 78' · 0.06 xGMax Moerstedt 92' · 0.06 xGFisnik Asllani 6' · 0.06 xGBilal El Khannouss 43' · 0.05 xGBazoumana Touré 22' · 0.05 xGChris Führich 8' · 0.05 xGWouter Burger 41' · 0.05 xGBazoumana Touré 61' · 0.05 xGJamie Leweling 76' · 0.04 xGJamie Leweling 56' · 0.04 xGDeniz Undav 24' · 0.03 xGBilal El Khannouss 57' · 0.02 xGAndrej Kramaric 14' · 0.02 xGBazoumana Touré 38' · 0.02 xGBernardo 38' · 0.02 xGLeon Avdullahu 61' · 0.01 xGAngelo Stiller 77' · 0.01 xGTiago Tomás 94' · 0.64 xG · goalAndrej Kramaric 48' · 0.42 xG · goalAndrej Kramaric 7' · 0.38 xG · goalErmedin Demirovic 63' · 0.30 xG · goalChris Führich 19' · 0.06 xG · goalBazoumana Touré 22' · 0.05 xG · goal
1899 Hoffenheim (attacking right)VfB Stuttgart (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1899 Hoffenheim2232.72
VfB Stuttgart1432.05

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1899 Hoffenheim led on xG, 0.87 to 0.19. At full time, 1899 Hoffenheim led on xG, 2.72 to 2.05. The widest gap was 1.99 xG to 1899 Hoffenheim, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.71.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 7 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 19 minGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 22 minGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 48 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 63 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 94 min
1899 Hoffenheim 2.72 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.05 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 1D 2L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L.

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