1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart result

Full-time · 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga · Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:30 BST · Prezero Arena

Updated 26 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1899 Hoffenheim · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart — 1899 Hoffenheim won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.32 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 589 of 919 times (64.1%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.96, VfB Stuttgart 2.67 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1899 Hoffenheim beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1 at Prezero Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September. It is 1899 Hoffenheim’s first win over VfB Stuttgart since 28 October 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

1899 Hoffenheim led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — 1899 Hoffenheim: Adam Hložek (13’, assisted by Bambasé Conté; 67’, assisted by Adam Daghim); VfB Stuttgart: Maximilian Mittelstädt (48’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adam Hložek’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

Sven Jablonski, Germany showed one yellow card — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Wouter Burger (63’).

What it changes

1899 Hoffenheim move up from 14th to 10th (three league matches played).

VfB Stuttgart move down from seventh to 12th (three league matches played).

VfB Stuttgart have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) 10.9, Adam Hložek (1899 Hoffenheim) 8.3 and Adam Daghim (1899 Hoffenheim) 6.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

1899 Hoffenheim are unbeaten in the last four meetings with VfB Stuttgart.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

1899 Hoffenheim next travel to Eintracht Frankfurt on 21 November 2026.

VfB Stuttgart next travel to FC Schalke 04 on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt v 1899 Hoffenheim, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
Venue: Prezero Arena · Sinsheim
Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · draws 4 · VfB Stuttgart 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 3L · VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L

1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

8.25 / 5.75

Corners

against 3.5 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.6 yellows

Referee · Sven Jablonski, Germany

21.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	1899 Hoffenheim for / against	Line	VfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	2.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim Goalkeeper

1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Baumann	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 8	90	2.5 8/3

1899 Hoffenheim Defensive

1899 Hoffenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Hajdari	3	89267 min	31 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90	113.7 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
O. Kabak	3	86259 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	31 /90	227.6 /90	72.4 /90	20.7 /90
V. Coufal	3	86257 min	31.1 /90	51.8 /90	00 /90	103.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
M. Rots	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	94.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Bernardo	1	5353 min	35.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	35.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Avdullahu n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1	M. Mittelstädt
A. Hajdari n 8	86.5	1.4 6/4	0.4 2/1	J. Chabot
O. Kabak n 8	88.6	2 6/4	0.1 1/0	J. Chabot
W. Burger n 8	84.8	1.9 6/5	0.5 2/1	G. Prömel
V. Coufal n 8	88.4	0.6 4/1	1.5 5/4	J. Chabot
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1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Avdullahu n 8	90	1.5 5/4
A. Hajdari n 8	86.5	1.2 6/3
W. Burger n 8	84.8	1.9 5/3
O. Kabak n 8	88.6	0.8 5/1
V. Coufal n 8	88.4	1.9 8/4
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking

1899 Hoffenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Hložek	3	62187 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.4 /90
T. Lemperle	2	73145 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	31.9 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90
Max Moerstedt	2	3366 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	79.5 /90	56.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Avdullahu	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90	62 /90	00 /90
W. Burger	3	86259 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Avdullahu n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
A. Hajdari n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
O. Kabak n 8	88.6	1.5 8/3	0.4 3/0
W. Burger n 8	84.8	1.1 4/3	0.3 2/0
V. Coufal n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Avdullahu n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Hajdari n 8	86.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Kabak n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
W. Burger n 8	84.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
V. Coufal n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Bredlow	4	90360 min	164 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 8	90	3 7/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Chabot	4	86344 min	82.1 /90	92.4 /90	20.5 /90	369.4 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
M. Mittelstädt	4	86344 min	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	164.2 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Finn Jeltsch	4	85341 min	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	205.3 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
J. Vagnoman	4	72289 min	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	51.6 /90	72.2 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
R. Hendriks	2	55109 min	10.8 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90	65 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Prömel n 4	90	1.3 4/1	1.3 4/1	W. Burger
F. Bredlow n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Stiller n 8	89.1	1.8 7/4	1.1 6/3	—
J. Chabot n 8	83.6	1.6 5/4	0.9 4/3	V. Coufal
M. Mittelstädt n 8	77.5	0.6 4/0	1 5/2	L. Avdullahu
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Prömel n 4	90	0.8 2/1
A. Stiller n 8	89.1	1.6 6/5
M. Mittelstädt n 8	77.5	2.6 7/4
J. Chabot n 8	83.6	2 7/4
Finn Jeltsch n 8	74	1.7 7/2
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Pejčinović	4	67267 min	31 /90	00 /90	103.4 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
J. Leweling	3	37110 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	32.5 /90
E. Demirović	3	36109 min	43.3 /90	00 /90	65 /90	43.3 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
Tiago Tomás	2	74148 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	53 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90
L. Sauer	1	1919 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.7 /90	00 /90	29.5 /90	00 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prömel n 4	90	0.8 3/0	0.5 2/0
F. Bredlow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Stiller n 8	89.1	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. Chabot n 8	83.6	1.2 5/3	0.7 4/1
M. Mittelstädt n 8	77.5	0.7 3/2	0.4 3/0
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Prömel n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
F. Bredlow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Stiller n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Mittelstädt n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Chabot n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1899 Hoffenheim		VfB Stuttgart
43%	Possession	57%
2.76	Expected goals (xG)	2.16
20	Shots	16
8	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	7
5	Blocked shots	4
12	Shots inside the box	13
5	Corners	7
2	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	6
381	Passes	510
73%	Pass accuracy	77%

1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Kabak	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.5
A. Hajdari	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
L. Avdullahu	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
W. Burger	90	0	0	2	1	0	1	Y	7
A. Daghim	90	0	1	0	0	4	3	0	7
O. Baumann	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
T. Lemperle	82	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	6.2
A. Hložek	82	2	0	5	3	0	0	0	8.5
V. Coufal	69	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
M. Rots	69	0	0	2	0	3	1	0	7.2
B. Conté	55	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7
P. Wimmer sub	35	0	0	3	1	2	1	0	7.2
V. Gendrey sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
K. Machida sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
F. Asllani sub	8	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.9
A. Kramarić sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Finn Jeltsch	90	0	4	0	2	0	6.7
M. Mittelstädt	90	1	1	1	6	4	8.6
D. Pejčinović	90	0	1	1	1	0	6.7
G. Prömel	90	0	2	1	0	0	6.2
J. Chabot	90	0	1	0	0	2	6.7
F. Bredlow	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.9
R. Hendriks	81	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
J. Vagnoman	81	0	0	0	1	1	7.2
E. Demirović	65	0	3	2	0	0	6
C. Führich	65	0	0	0	2	1	6.9
A. Stiller	35	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Y. Spalt sub	55	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
B. El Khannouss sub	25	0	0	0	1	1	7
D. Undav sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	6
J. Leweling sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. Sauer sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1899 HoffenheimWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

VfB StuttgartLWLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

1899 Hoffenheim 1 · 4 draws · VfB Stuttgart 1 · 3 goals/game

2026-05-02 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart
2025-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 0–0 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-02-23 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB Stuttgart
2024-10-06 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-03-16 1899 Hoffenheim 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 1899 Hoffenheim

League standing · 2026/27

1899 Hoffenheim#14 pos9 pts8 pl-2 GD

VfB Stuttgart#8 pos12 pts9 pl0 GD

Goals per game

1899 Hoffenheim scored1.75

VfB Stuttgart scored1.67

1899 Hoffenheim conceded2

VfB Stuttgart conceded1.67

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1899 Hoffenheim 2.96 xG from 20 shots, VfB Stuttgart 2.67 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

1899 Hoffenheim (attacking right)VfB Stuttgart (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
1899 Hoffenheim	20	2	2.96
VfB Stuttgart	16	1	2.67

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.08, VfB Stuttgart 0.97. At full time, xG was level: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.96, VfB Stuttgart 2.67. The widest gap was 0.67 xG to VfB Stuttgart, in the 61st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

1899 Hoffenheim 2.96 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.67 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart?: In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart?: Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 3L; VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 26 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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