This Matchweek

Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart result

Full-time · Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga · · Allianz Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 268 landed (95% range 72.6–82.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 171 of 259 times (66%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 4.08 to 1.27 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 25th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1 at Allianz Arena in the Bundesliga on Friday 28 August. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bayern München: Dayotchanculle Upamecano (21’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich), Michael Olise (55’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich), Aleksandar Pavlović (82’, assisted by I. Saibari) and L. Díaz (90’, assisted by I. Saibari); VfB Stuttgart: Josha Vagnoman (52’) and an own goal by Josha Vagnoman (57’).

Discipline

Sören Storks, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bayern München: Kim Min-Jae (81’); VfB Stuttgart: Julian Chabot (62’), Finn Jeltsch (68’) and Grischa Prömel (90+3’).

What it changes

Bayern München are first after this result (one league match played). Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

VfB Stuttgart are 18th after this result (one league match played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across nine matches. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dayotchanculle Upamecano (Bayern München) 10.2, Joshua Kimmich (Bayern München) 9.6 and Aleksandar Pavlović (Bayern München) 6.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with VfB Stuttgart, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bayern München next travel to Atletico Madrid on 3 November 2026.

VfB Stuttgart next travel to Galatasaray on 3 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: Atletico Madrid v Bayern München, Tuesday 3 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart, Tuesday 3 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Allianz Arena · Munich
  • Referee: Sören Storks, Germany
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayern München 6 · draws 0 · VfB Stuttgart 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayern München 4W 1D 0L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 2D 1L

Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 2
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 4.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.57
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.88 / 6.14
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 6.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.25 / 1.43
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.91 yellows
Referee · Sören Storks, Germany
20.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBayern München for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
4.5our book
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.57 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
15.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.29 for · 14.43 against n 7
Shots on target
6.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.14 for · 6.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
7.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 9.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: Sören Storks, Germany — 4.91 yellow cards a game, 0.45 red cards, 20.36 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer18181 min22.2 /9011.1 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
35/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah18181 min11.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /90
K. Laimer18181 min11.1 /9000 /9000 /9022.2 /9033.3 /9000 /90
Kim Min-Jae18181 min00 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Stanišić16868 min22.6 /9000 /9000 /9034 /9011.3 /9000 /90
A. Pavlović18181 min11.1 /9044.4 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Laimer n 871.9
2.36/4
0.63/1
J. Chabot
L. Díaz n 870.1
1.34/2
2.27/5
D. Undav
A. Pavlović n 875.3
1.26/1
0.96/0
M. Mittelstädt
J. Tah n 884.5
0.73/2
00/0
—
H. Kane n 877.6
0.64/0
14/2
—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Laimer n 871.9
2.37/4
A. Pavlović n 875.3
1.86/2
J. Kimmich n 883.3
1.15/3
Kim Min-Jae n 874.4
1.15/2
L. Díaz n 870.1
14/1
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane18181 min00 /9000 /9044.4 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9033.3 /90
A. Pavlović18181 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
J. Kimmich18181 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
L. Díaz18181 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9033.3 /9033.3 /90
M. Olise18181 min11.1 /9011.1 /9033.3 /9022.2 /9033.3 /9044.4 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 877.6
2.87/5
1.97/3
M. Olise n 869.9
2.36/5
1.46/3
L. Díaz n 870.1
1.86/4
1.36/2
J. Kimmich n 883.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
K. Laimer n 871.9
0.64/0
00/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 877.6
1.35/2
0.11/0
M. Olise n 869.9
0.85/0
0.32/0
K. Laimer n 871.9
00/0
0.52/1
L. Díaz n 870.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
J. Kimmich n 883.3
00/0
0.42/1
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bredlow19090 min66 /9000 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 890
37/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Finn Jeltsch19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Chabot19090 min33 /9033 /9000 /9099 /9011 /9000 /90
M. Mittelstädt19090 min22 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Vagnoman18181 min33.3 /9000 /9011.1 /9033.3 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Undav19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Finn Jeltsch n 864.5
1.42/2
0.94/1
—
J. Chabot n 885.6
1.25/3
0.94/3
K. Laimer
D. Undav n 887
0.84/2
1.26/2
L. Díaz
M. Mittelstädt n 871.4
0.32/0
1.36/2
A. Pavlović
F. Bredlow n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mittelstädt n 871.4
3.27/5
J. Chabot n 885.6
2.17/4
Finn Jeltsch n 864.5
1.45/1
D. Undav n 887
0.64/1
Tiago Tomás n 849.8
2.36/2
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Pejčinović18686 min33.1 /9000 /9044.2 /9033.1 /9011 /9011 /90
D. Undav19090 min00 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9011 /90
G. Prömel19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
A. Stiller18686 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.1 /9011 /90
Tiago Tomás18686 min11 /9011 /9033.1 /9022.1 /9011 /9022.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Undav n 887
1.98/3
0.83/2
M. Mittelstädt n 871.4
1.45/3
1.15/1
J. Chabot n 885.6
0.73/1
0.42/1
Finn Jeltsch n 864.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
F. Bredlow n 890
00/0
00/0
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Undav n 887
0.11/0
0.42/1
M. Mittelstädt n 871.4
0.32/0
00/0
F. Bredlow n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Chabot n 885.6
00/0
00/0
Finn Jeltsch n 864.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
59%Possession41%
4.06Expected goals (xG)0.79
21Shots11
9Shots on target4
6Shots off target3
6Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box7
9Corners3
3Offsides1
10Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves5
548Passes370
82%Pass accuracy76%

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Neuer9000001007.5
K. Laimer9000112206.5
D. Upamecano9010111308.3
J. Kimmich9002002108.5
M. Olise9010522008
L. Díaz9010421007.7
Kim Min-Jae84000010Y7.2
A. Pavlović8410221008.3
H. Kane8400002007.2
A. Davies7400004007.2
N. Brown6100110006.2
I. Saibari sub2902103008.5
J. Stanišić sub1600000006.6
J. Tah sub1200000006.9
L. Karl sub1200000006.5
T. Bischof sub1200000006.9

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bredlow9000000007.9
Finn Jeltsch90000004Y6.3
R. Hendriks9000001106
J. Vagnoman9010110107.3
G. Prömel90001120Y6
M. Mittelstädt9000001307.5
A. Stiller8800002206.3
J. Chabot74001103Y6.2
D. Undav7400001106
D. Pejčinović6300100006.3
Tiago Tomás6200210206.7
J. Leweling sub2800001006.7
E. Demirović sub2700100006.3
L. Stergiou sub1600000006
B. El Khannouss sub1600000206.3
José María Andrés Baixauli sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayern MünchenDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayern München 6 · 0 draws · VfB Stuttgart 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2026-04-19 Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern München
  • 2025-08-16 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Bayern München
  • 2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Bayern München
  • 2024-10-19 Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2026/27
Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD
VfB Stuttgart#10 pos9 pts8 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Bayern München scored3.38
VfB Stuttgart scored1.75
Bayern München conceded1
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.88

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bayern München 4.08 xG from 21 shots, VfB Stuttgart 1.27 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tiago Tomás 11' · 0.63 xGMichael Olise 45' · 0.52 xGLuis Díaz 25' · 0.39 xGLuis Díaz 84' · 0.30 xGJulian Chabot 51' · 0.25 xGNathaniel Brown 37' · 0.13 xGKonrad Laimer 41' · 0.13 xGMichael Olise 46' · 0.10 xGAleksandar Pavlovic 76' · 0.09 xGAleksandar Pavlovic 76' · 0.08 xGErmedin Demirovic 78' · 0.08 xGGrischa Prömel 11' · 0.07 xGHarry Kane 26' · 0.07 xGMichael Olise 16' · 0.07 xGLuis Díaz 77' · 0.06 xGLuis Díaz 76' · 0.05 xGLuis Díaz 42' · 0.05 xGMichael Olise 27' · 0.04 xGIsmael Saibari 78' · 0.04 xGGrischa Prömel 64' · 0.04 xGErmedin Demirovic 71' · 0.04 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 30' · 0.03 xGHarry Kane 53' · 0.03 xGMaximilian Mittelstädt 59' · 0.03 xGTiago Tomás 59' · 0.02 xGMaximilian Mittelstädt 11' · 0.02 xGMichael Olise 73' · 0.02 xGJoshua Vagnoman 56' · 0.00 xGAleksandar Pavlovic 81' · 0.56 xG · goalDayotchanculle Upamecano 20' · 0.51 xG · goalLuis Díaz 91' · 0.45 xG · goalMichael Olise 54' · 0.39 xG · goalJoshua Vagnoman 51' · 0.07 xG · goal
Bayern München (attacking right)VfB Stuttgart (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bayern München2144.08
VfB Stuttgart1211.27

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 1.91 to 0.75. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 4.08 to 1.27. The widest gap was 2.81 xG to Bayern München, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.12.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Bayern München 20 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 51 minGoal - Bayern München 54 minGoal - Bayern München 81 minGoal - Bayern München 91 min
Bayern München 4.08 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.27 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart was Home win (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayern München won 6, VfB Stuttgart won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — Bayern München 4W 1D 0L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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