Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart prediction

UEFA Champions League · · Rams Park

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart, UEFA Champions League on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Galatasaray host VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Galatasaray’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Galatasaray have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Galatasaray have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of Galatasaray’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Galatasaray have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.71.

10 of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, VfB Stuttgart have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.44.

Galatasaray (23rd) and VfB Stuttgart (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have VfB Stuttgart the stronger side, 29 rating points above Galatasaray (VfB Stuttgart 1823, Galatasaray 1794, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Galatasaray XI (4-2-3-1): U. Çakır, D. Sánchez, R. Sallai, A. Bardakcı, I. Jakobs, A. Batrakov, L. Torreira, Y. Akgün, G. Sara, R. Leão, V. Osimhen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Victor Osimhen (6.9 per match over 10 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) and Gabriel Sara (4.3 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Galatasaray’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Galatasaray (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Victor Osimhen averages 6.3 shots per 90 over 729 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Gabriel Sara averages 3.7 key passes per 90 over 868 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted VfB Stuttgart XI (4-2-3-1): D. Seimen, R. Hendriks, M. Mittelstädt, J. Chabot, F. Jeltsch, A. Stiller, G. Prömel, B. El Khannouss, C. Führich, J. Leweling, E. Demirović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Maximilian Mittelstädt (5.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Julian Chabot (3.8 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been VfB Stuttgart’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfB Stuttgart (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Maximilian Mittelstädt averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 974 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Julian Chabot averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 929 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Rams Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Galatasaray 4W 0D 1L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L

Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 7
Corners
against 3.75 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGalatasaray for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
17.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

Galatasaray

Galatasaray Goalkeeper

Galatasaray — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
U. Çakır12901080 min312.6 /90171.4 /9000 /90
J. Yılmaz19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /90
Galatasaray — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galatasaray before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
U. Çakır n 890
2.85/3

Galatasaray Defensive

Galatasaray — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Sánchez13871130 min191.5 /90151.2 /90110.9 /90614.9 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90
R. Sallai1281972 min161.5 /90161.5 /9040.4 /90494.5 /90181.7 /9040.4 /90
I. Jakobs1176838 min151.6 /9040.4 /9000 /90333.5 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
E. Elmalı1149544 min142.3 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90213.5 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
A. Bardakcı1079791 min60.7 /9091 /9040.5 /90303.4 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
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Galatasaray — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galatasaray before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Sánchez n 887.4
0.85/1
0.64/1
—
Y. Akgün n 870.1
0.21/0
2.17/5
—
U. Çakır n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Torreira n 878.8
15/2
0.42/1
—
R. Sallai n 879.5
1.66/3
27/3
—
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Galatasaray — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galatasaray before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 887.4
1.87/3
Y. Akgün n 870.1
0.84/1
L. Torreira n 878.8
1.97/4
R. Sallai n 879.5
26/3
B. Yılmaz n 872.8
1.43/3
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Galatasaray Attacking

Galatasaray — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Osimhen980716 min101.3 /9020.3 /90506.3 /90253.1 /9070.9 /9030.4 /90
D. Gül645269 min00 /9000 /9082.7 /9031 /9041.3 /9041.3 /90
Y. Akgün1375972 min30.3 /9000 /90141.3 /9070.6 /90292.7 /90151.4 /90
L. Torreira1281974 min10.1 /9020.2 /9060.6 /9020.2 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90
B. Yılmaz1274892 min10.1 /9020.2 /90141.4 /9040.4 /90121.2 /90141.4 /90
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Galatasaray — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galatasaray before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 887.4
15/2
0.11/0
Y. Akgün n 870.1
15/1
0.53/0
U. Çakır n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Torreira n 878.8
0.74/1
0.11/0
R. Sallai n 879.5
1.14/3
0.64/0
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Galatasaray — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galatasaray before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 887.4
00/0
0.11/0
Y. Akgün n 870.1
0.32/0
00/0
U. Çakır n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Torreira n 878.8
00/0
00/0
R. Sallai n 879.5
00/0
0.11/0
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bredlow890720 min293.6 /9091.1 /9000 /90
D. Seimen490360 min102.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 890
3.66/5
D. Seimen n 490
2.54/1

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Chabot1184928 min191.8 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90868.3 /90181.7 /9020.2 /90
M. Mittelstädt1088884 min242.4 /90212.1 /9070.7 /90707.1 /90101 /9020.2 /90
Finn Jeltsch1081808 min91 /9080.9 /9040.4 /90455 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Vagnoman1078778 min80.9 /9070.8 /9070.8 /90222.5 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
R. Hendriks981729 min111.4 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90425.2 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.94/2
1.36/2
—
D. Undav n 870.6
2.46/6
0.32/0
—
J. Chabot n 884.3
1.76/5
1.37/3
—
G. Prömel n 872.9
1.26/2
0.84/1
—
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.93/1
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.73/1
D. Undav n 870.6
0.84/1
J. Chabot n 884.3
1.55/4
G. Prömel n 872.9
1.14/2
C. Führich n 864.1
1.44/2
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav1274889 min20.2 /9040.4 /90161.6 /9080.8 /90242.4 /9030.3 /90
E. Demirović1062616 min60.9 /9000 /90273.9 /90162.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Leweling1051506 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90112 /90132.3 /90
D. Pejčinović864509 min30.5 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9050.9 /9061.1 /9030.5 /90
L. Sauer33193 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /9032.9 /9000 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
0.73/1
0.32/0
D. Undav n 870.6
1.66/2
1.15/1
J. Chabot n 884.3
0.95/2
0.32/0
G. Prömel n 872.9
27/5
0.32/0
C. Führich n 864.1
1.44/2
0.73/1
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 876.3
00/0
0.42/1
D. Undav n 870.6
0.32/0
00/0
J. Chabot n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Prömel n 872.9
00/0
00/0
C. Führich n 864.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GalatasarayLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Galatasaray#23 pos3 pts3 pl-3 GD
VfB Stuttgart#6 pos7 pts3 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Galatasaray scored2
VfB Stuttgart scored2.33
Galatasaray conceded3
VfB Stuttgart conceded0.67

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Galatasaray and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — Galatasaray 4W 0D 1L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L.

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