VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund result

Full-time · VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga · Sat, 19 Sep 2026 17:30 BST · MHPArena

Updated 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Borussia Dortmund · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund — Borussia Dortmund won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.42 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Borussia Dortmund: 2.11 to 0.67 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0 at MHPArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September. Borussia Dortmund have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Borussia Dortmund: Maximilian Beier (70’, assisted by Jobe Bellingham).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maximilian Beier’s goal on 70 minutes.

Discipline

T. Stieler showed seven yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — VfB Stuttgart: Ermedin Demirović (13’) and Angelo Stiller (17’); Borussia Dortmund: Nico Schlotterbeck (32’), Joey Veerman (46’), Kouakou Joane Gadou (57’), Jobe Bellingham (81’) and Julian Ryerson (82’).

What it changes

VfB Stuttgart move down from 12th to 14th (four league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Dortmund stay first after this result (four league matches played). Borussia Dortmund have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Borussia Dortmund have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Dortmund have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Maximilian Beier (Borussia Dortmund) 6.9, Felix Nmecha (Borussia Dortmund) 6.5 and Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

VfB Stuttgart next host Werder Bremen on 7 November 2026.

Borussia Dortmund next host SV Elversberg on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
Venue: MHPArena · Stuttgart
Referee: T. Stieler
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 4 · draws 1 · Borussia Dortmund 1 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L · Borussia Dortmund 5W 0D 0L

VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 2.75

Goals

against 1.88 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

6 / 7

Corners

against 5.38 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 6.88

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.25

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	VfB Stuttgart for / against	Line	Borussia Dortmund for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: T. Stieler.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Bredlow	5	90450 min	224.4 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Bredlow n 8	90	3.6 8/5

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Chabot	5	87434 min	102.1 /90	112.3 /90	20.4 /90	408.3 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
M. Mittelstädt	5	87434 min	102.1 /90	71.5 /90	40.8 /90	214.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
Finn Jeltsch	5	86431 min	71.5 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90	275.6 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
R. Hendriks	3	63190 min	31.4 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	146.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Y. Spalt	1	5555 min	23.3 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	58.2 /90	34.9 /90	00 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Prömel n 5	90	1 4/1	1.2 5/1	D. Svensson
F. Bredlow n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Chabot n 8	88	1.5 5/4	0.6 3/2	W. Anton
M. Mittelstädt n 8	84.4	0.7 5/0	0.7 4/1	W. Anton
Finn Jeltsch n 8	74	1.1 3/2	1.2 6/2	W. Anton
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Prömel n 5	90	0.6 2/1
M. Mittelstädt n 8	84.4	2.7 7/4
J. Chabot n 8	88	2 7/5
Finn Jeltsch n 8	74	1.5 6/2
A. Stiller n 8	82.3	1.8 6/5
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Pejčinović	5	71357 min	30.8 /90	00 /90	112.8 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
D. Undav	5	70349 min	00 /90	41 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	112.8 /90	10.3 /90
C. Führich	4	73293 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	134 /90	00 /90
E. Demirović	4	44174 min	42.1 /90	00 /90	94.7 /90	63.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
J. Leweling	3	37110 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	32.5 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prömel n 5	90	1 4/1	0.6 3/0
F. Bredlow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Chabot n 8	88	1.3 6/3	0.6 4/1
M. Mittelstädt n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	0.5 4/0
Finn Jeltsch n 8	74	0.9 2/2	0.2 1/0
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Prömel n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
F. Bredlow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Mittelstädt n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. Chabot n 8	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
Finn Jeltsch n 8	74	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Goalkeeper

Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Kobel	5	88441 min	163.3 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90
A. Meyer	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 8	88.9	3 7/6
A. Meyer n 8	90	2.6 4/4

Borussia Dortmund Defensive

Borussia Dortmund — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Anton	6	85508 min	91.6 /90	244.3 /90	30.5 /90	254.4 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
Kouakou Joane Gadou	5	83414 min	92 /90	30.7 /90	20.4 /90	132.8 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
F. Mané	3	46138 min	32 /90	32 /90	00 /90	53.3 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
L. Reggiani	2	2550 min	11.8 /90	00 /90	23.6 /90	23.6 /90	23.6 /90	11.8 /90
R. Bensebaïni	1	8181 min	55.6 /90	33.3 /90	22.2 /90	77.8 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Anton n 8	86	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0	Finn Jeltsch
D. Svensson n 8	77.3	1 5/2	1.9 8/4	G. Prömel
J. Ryerson n 8	78.4	1.1 4/3	1.1 5/2	—
F. Nmecha n 8	54.1	1.2 6/0	0.4 2/0	—
Joey Veerman n 6	54	1.1 3/1	0.6 2/0	—
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Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Anton n 8	86	1.7 7/3
D. Svensson n 8	77.3	2.5 6/5
J. Ryerson n 8	78.4	1.1 4/2
F. Nmecha n 8	54.1	1.7 5/3
Joey Veerman n 6	54	2.8 4/4
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Borussia Dortmund Attacking

Borussia Dortmund — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Guirassy	5	84420 min	40.9 /90	20.4 /90	132.8 /90	102.1 /90	81.7 /90	10.2 /90
M. Beier	5	64320 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.3 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
Fábio Silva	5	43216 min	41.7 /90	10.4 /90	104.2 /90	83.3 /90	41.7 /90	52.1 /90
Konstantinos Karetsas	4	56225 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	62.4 /90	41.6 /90	41.6 /90	72.8 /90
S. Inacio	2	61122 min	21.5 /90	00 /90	53.7 /90	21.5 /90	43 /90	10.7 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Anton n 8	86	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
D. Svensson n 8	77.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. Ryerson n 8	78.4	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
F. Nmecha n 8	54.1	1.5 5/2	0.8 3/1
Joey Veerman n 6	54	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
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Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Anton n 8	86	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Svensson n 8	77.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Ryerson n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0.6 3/1
F. Nmecha n 8	54.1	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
Joey Veerman n 6	54	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfB Stuttgart		Borussia Dortmund
56%	Possession	44%
0.87	Expected goals (xG)	1.34
12	Shots	13
5	Shots on target	2
6	Shots off target	6
1	Blocked shots	5
8	Shots inside the box	10
6	Corners	2
4	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	14
2	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
544	Passes	432
87%	Pass accuracy	78%

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Chabot	90	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
F. Bredlow	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
A. Stiller	90	0	0	1	0	Y	7.3
M. Mittelstädt	90	2	0	3	0	0	7.9
Finn Jeltsch	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
E. Demirović	90	1	1	0	1	Y	6
J. Vagnoman	90	2	1	2	0	0	6.9
G. Prömel	84	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
B. El Khannouss	84	3	1	1	1	0	6.9
D. Undav	64	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
C. Führich	64	0	0	0	3	0	7
D. Pejčinović sub	26	0	0	2	0	0	6.2
J. Leweling sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
L. Sauer sub	10	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
N. Nartey sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Borussia Dortmund Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Svensson	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
N. Schlotterbeck	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	Y	7.5
F. Nmecha	90	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	7.9
Kouakou Joane Gadou	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.6
W. Anton	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
G. Kobel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
J. Ryerson	82	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	6.7
M. Beier	82	1	0	2	1	0	3	0	7.2
S. Guirassy	74	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6
Joey Veerman	62	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	7.3
E. Nwaneri	62	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
J. Bellingham sub	28	0	1	0	0	1	1	Y	7.3
Konstantinos Karetsas sub	28	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	6.7
Fábio Silva sub	16	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Bensebaïni sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Sabitzer sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

VfB StuttgartWLWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Borussia DortmundWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

VfB Stuttgart 4 · 1 draw · Borussia Dortmund 1 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-04-04 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
2025-11-22 Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart
2025-02-08 Borussia Dortmund 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
2024-09-22 VfB Stuttgart 5–1 Borussia Dortmund
2024-04-06 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
2023-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Borussia Dortmund

League standing · 2026/27

VfB Stuttgart#11 pos9 pts8 pl-1 GD

Borussia Dortmund#2 pos18 pts8 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

VfB Stuttgart scored1.75

Borussia Dortmund scored1.75

VfB Stuttgart conceded1.88

Borussia Dortmund conceded0.75

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 0.67 xG from 12 shots, Borussia Dortmund 2.11 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

VfB Stuttgart (attacking right)Borussia Dortmund (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
VfB Stuttgart	12	0	0.67
Borussia Dortmund	13	1	2.11

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Borussia Dortmund led on xG, 1.13 to 0.22. At full time, Borussia Dortmund led on xG, 2.11 to 0.67. The widest gap was 1.77 xG to Borussia Dortmund, in the 72nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

VfB Stuttgart 0.67 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.11 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund?: TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund?: In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 4, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund?: Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L; Borussia Dortmund 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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