BirminghamBlackburn

Birmingham v Blackburn result

Full-time · Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn

Championship · · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Blackburn · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn — Blackburn won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Blackburn won 1–0 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Friday 3 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackburn: Todd Cantwell (69’, assisted by Ryoya Morishita).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Todd Cantwell’s goal on 69 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Birmingham 1.06, Blackburn 1.52, from 12 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Busby showed one yellow card — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackburn: Adam Forshaw (21’).

What it changes

Birmingham have scored 57 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Birmingham have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackburn have scored 42 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Blackburn have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Blackburn are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Todd Cantwell (Blackburn) 7.2, Paik Seung-Ho (Birmingham) 6.6 and Balázs Tóth (Blackburn) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Birmingham or Blackburn (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Birmingham next host Swansea on 7 November 2026.

Blackburn next host West Ham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn · Championship
  • Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: J. Busby
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 1 · Blackburn 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham 1W 1D 3L · Blackburn 1W 2D 2L

Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.43 / 4.13
Corners
against 3.57 / 6 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.43 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2
Cards
against 1.57 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.1 yellows
Referee · J. Busby
21.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBirmingham for / againstLineBlackburn for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
10.57 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.43 against n 7
8.5standard
3.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.14 for · 10 against n 7
21.5standard
10.75 for · 8.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: J. Busby — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Beadle31902790 min802.6 /90381.2 /9010 /90
R. Allsop1190990 min191.7 /90151.4 /9000 /90
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890
2.54/2
R. Allsop n 890
2.15/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Iwata40873479 min651.7 /90371 /90100.3 /901544 /90501.3 /9080.2 /90
C. Klarer38903420 min401.1 /90491.3 /90200.5 /902787.3 /90360.9 /9090.2 /90
P. Neumann27882367 min291.1 /90200.8 /90210.8 /901114.2 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
A. Cochrane21791665 min271.5 /90191 /9020.1 /90804.3 /90110.6 /9030.2 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel18641145 min110.9 /90120.9 /9010.1 /90635 /90191.5 /9050.4 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Iwata n 882.8
1.45/3
0.73/1
S. McLoughlin
J. Stansfield n 861.5
1.65/3
0.42/0
Y. Ohashi
C. Klarer n 890
15/3
15/1
S. McLoughlin
Paik Seung-Ho n 871.6
0.84/1
0.63/1
R. Alebiosu
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Iwata n 882.8
1.54/2
J. Stansfield n 861.5
0.73/1
C. Klarer n 890
1.15/3
Paik Seung-Ho n 871.6
0.94/1
P. Roberts n 860.5
0.93/2
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ducksch29681971 min110.5 /9010 /90492.2 /90281.3 /90271.2 /9030.1 /90
K. Furuhashi24461108 min30.2 /9000 /90342.8 /90110.9 /9060.5 /9040.3 /90
L. Dykes1334445 min10.2 /9000 /9061.2 /9010.2 /9051 /9030.6 /90
Carlos Vicente948436 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9051 /9030.6 /90
A. Priske938345 min00 /9010.3 /9082.1 /9041 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Iwata n 882.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Stansfield n 861.5
1.35/2
0.42/0
C. Klarer n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 871.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
00/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Iwata n 882.8
00/0
00/0
J. Stansfield n 861.5
00/0
0.21/0
C. Klarer n 890
00/0
00/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 871.6
00/0
00/0
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
00/0
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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Tóth27902429 min722.7 /90361.3 /9000 /90
A. Pears12901080 min211.8 /90131.1 /9000 /90
Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
2.97/5
A. Pears n 890
1.64/2

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. McLoughlin37893281 min531.5 /90711.9 /90340.9 /902607.1 /90220.6 /9080.2 /90
L. Miller28792223 min562.3 /90431.7 /90220.9 /901837.4 /90261.1 /9030.1 /90
D. De Neve22461015 min282.5 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90474.2 /9030.3 /9000 /90
E. Cashin13901170 min503.8 /90181.4 /9080.6 /9014811.4 /90151.2 /9060.5 /90
George Christopher John Pratt1081810 min111.2 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90293.2 /9040.4 /9000 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Ohashi n 852.1
1.95/2
1.74/3
J. Stansfield
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.85/1
0.85/1
C. Klarer
R. Alebiosu n 890
1.38/2
0.11/0
Paik Seung-Ho
S. Tronstad n 884.4
0.42/1
0.73/2
—
R. Morishita n 889.9
0.95/2
1.46/4
—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 852.1
0.61/1
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.95/2
R. Alebiosu n 890
28/5
S. Tronstad n 884.4
2.86/5
R. Morishita n 889.9
1.55/3
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Ohashi39732847 min80.3 /9010 /90571.8 /90300.9 /90220.7 /90270.9 /90
R. Morishita29722084 min20.1 /9070.3 /90231 /90110.5 /90361.6 /90241 /90
A. Guðjohnsen24641539 min70.4 /9000 /90271.6 /90130.8 /90160.9 /9050.3 /90
M. Jørgensen1371919 min50.5 /9000 /90101 /9070.7 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
M. Gueye731220 min00 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9052 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 852.1
2.26/3
0.92/2
S. McLoughlin n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Alebiosu n 890
0.52/2
0.11/0
S. Tronstad n 884.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
R. Morishita n 889.9
15/3
0.64/1
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 852.1
0.42/0
00/0
S. McLoughlin n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Alebiosu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
S. Tronstad n 884.4
00/0
0.31/1
R. Morishita n 889.9
0.11/0
0.54/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BirminghamBlackburn
65%Possession35%
1.06Expected goals (xG)1.52
12Shots16
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target5
1Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box11
9Corners10
1Offsides1
14Fouls7
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
539Passes274
83%Pass accuracy68%

Birmingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Beadle9000000007.3
C. Klarer9000000107.2
J. Robinson9000000007.3
E. Laird9000100007
T. Doyle9000112107
Paik Seung-Ho9000110607.2
T. Iwata8800310107
P. Roberts7800002207.2
J. Stansfield7800211006.5
M. Ducksch6500210106.9
I. Osman6500101206.5
K. Fujimoto sub2500001106.5
D. Gray sub2500001006.3
Carlos Vicente sub1200000006.5
A. Priske sub1200001007
B. Osayi-Samuel sub1000000006.7

Blackburn Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Tóth9000000008.2
Tom Atcheson9000201207.2
S. McLoughlin9000100006.9
R. Alebiosu9000000006.6
A. Forshaw90000012Y6.6
H. Pickering9000111307.3
Y. Ohashi9000111106.5
M. Baradji8900101307.2
S. Wharton8300100007.5
T. Cantwell8310225107.9
R. Morishita7701001006.3
Yuri Ribeiro sub1500000006.9
M. Jørgensen sub1500000106.6
Kristi Montgomery sub1300000006.5
Sidnei Tavares sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BirminghamLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BlackburnLDLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Birmingham 3 · 1 draw · Blackburn 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-08-16 Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham
  • 2024-02-13 Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn
  • 2023-11-29 Blackburn 4–2 Birmingham
  • 2023-04-01 Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn
  • 2023-01-31 Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn
  • 2023-01-28 Blackburn 2–2 Birmingham
League standing · 2025/26
Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD
Blackburn#20 pos52 pts46 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Birmingham scored1.24
Blackburn scored0.91
Birmingham conceded1.22
Blackburn conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Blackburn?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Blackburn was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Blackburn?
In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Blackburn won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Blackburn?
Recent form — Birmingham 1W 1D 3L; Blackburn 1W 2D 2L.

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