Birmingham v Cardiff prediction

Championship · Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Cardiff · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Cardiff, Championship on Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Birmingham host Cardiff in the Championship on Tuesday 29 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Birmingham have conceded 13 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Form and the table

11 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Birmingham have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.63. Birmingham have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

10 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Cardiff have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 2.00. Cardiff have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Cardiff have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham (third) and Cardiff (18th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 238 rating points above Cardiff (Birmingham 1685, Cardiff 1447, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 October 2026, finished Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham.

Team news

Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, A. Cochrane, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, J. Solis, L. Millar, P. Roberts, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (3.9 per match over 16 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1234 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1371 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, J. Bagan, P. Ng, W. Fish, C. Scanlon, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, J. Moylan, J. Colwill, C. Willock, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.5 per match over 16 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) and Ollie Tanner (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1622 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Ollie Tanner averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1196 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship
Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 1 · draws 0 · Cardiff 5 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Birmingham 4W 0D 1L · Cardiff 2W 2D 1L

Birmingham v Cardiff (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.88

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.5

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.38 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Birmingham for / against	Line	Cardiff for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.38 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	14	871221 min	362.7 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
R. Allsop	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	62.4 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	84.4	2.8 6/5
R. Allsop n 8	84.4	2.5 6/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Klarer	16	901446 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	110.7 /90	1388.6 /90	221.4 /90	30.2 /90
P. Neumann	16	861371 min	231.5 /90	291.9 /90	130.9 /90	936.1 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
A. Cochrane	16	801272 min	211.5 /90	80.6 /90	60.4 /90	533.8 /90	141 /90	40.3 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	16	761212 min	302.2 /90	80.6 /90	20.1 /90	755.6 /90	141 /90	50.4 /90
E. Laird	6	44262 min	62.1 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	165.5 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1 4/1	—
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.9 7/0	—
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	2.1 6/4	0.3 2/0	—
A. Cochrane n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.3 6/3	—
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	1.3 5/3	1.4 4/3	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.9 7/4
P. Neumann n 8	90	1.8 6/6
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	1.4 5/2
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.8 5/1
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	1.8 5/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Priske	13	76982 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Gray	12	28335 min	41.1 /90	00 /90	92.4 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	82.1 /90
L. Vázquez	5	47237 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ducksch	3	2266 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90
J. Stansfield	16	801286 min	20.1 /90	10.1 /90	261.8 /90	171.2 /90	110.8 /90	90.6 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	1.9 6/4	1.4 6/3
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Trott	16	901440 min	543.4 /90	211.3 /90	00 /90

Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Trott n 8	90	4 7/5

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joel Bagan	16	891419 min	362.3 /90	110.7 /90	110.7 /90	694.4 /90	130.8 /90	40.3 /90
P. Ng	15	891332 min	292 /90	161.1 /90	60.4 /90	885.9 /90	171.1 /90	50.3 /90
G. Osho	11	89975 min	111 /90	70.6 /90	151.4 /90	363.3 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
C. Scanlon	8	57454 min	40.8 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90	244.8 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
K. Bielik	7	83583 min	71.1 /90	101.5 /90	40.6 /90	456.9 /90	60.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Trott n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	1.3 5/4	0.4 3/0	—
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	0.5 3/1	1.5 6/4	—
J. Moylan n 8	86	1.2 5/2	2.5 8/6	—
C. Willock n 8	54.6	0.4 2/0	0.6 3/0	—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	2.6 7/5
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	1 4/2
J. Moylan n 8	86	1.2 5/2
C. Willock n 8	54.6	1.4 4/2
P. Ng n 8	87.8	2.3 8/5
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Salech	13	831083 min	60.5 /90	20.2 /90	332.7 /90	211.7 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90
I. Davies	4	41163 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
C. Robinson	3	51154 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
A. Robertson	16	881410 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	80.5 /90	40.3 /90	261.7 /90	70.4 /90
J. Moylan	16	771235 min	100.7 /90	30.2 /90	352.6 /90	201.5 /90	181.3 /90	171.2 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Trott n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
J. Moylan n 8	86	2.6 7/4	1.8 6/4
C. Willock n 8	54.6	1 4/1	0.8 4/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Trott n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joel Bagan n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Robertson n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Moylan n 8	86	1 4/3	0.4 3/0
C. Willock n 8	54.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BirminghamWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

CardiffWDWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Birmingham 1 · 0 draws · Cardiff 5 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-10-24 Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham
2024-04-10 Birmingham 0–1 Cardiff
2023-12-13 Cardiff 0–1 Birmingham
2023-08-29 Birmingham 1–3 Cardiff
2023-02-14 Birmingham 0–2 Cardiff
2022-08-13 Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham

League standing · 2026/27

Birmingham#3 pos26 pts14 pl+13 GD

Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Birmingham scored1.86

Cardiff scored1.57

Birmingham conceded0.93

Cardiff conceded1.64

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Cardiff?: In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 1, Cardiff won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Cardiff?: Recent form — Birmingham 4W 0D 1L; Cardiff 2W 2D 1L.

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