This Matchweek

BirminghamWolves

Birmingham v Wolves result

Full-time · Birmingham 2–2 Wolves

Championship · · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 2–2 Wolves — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.42 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham and Wolves drew 2–2 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Sunday 6 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wolves, from fewer shots (10 to 15), created the better chances, 2.47 xG to 1.39 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Wolves: Fer López (3’, assisted by Rodrigo Gomes), Ladislav Krejčí (31’, assisted by André) and an own goal by Jackson Tchatchoua (36’); Birmingham: Jay Stansfield (22’, assisted by Patrick Roberts).

Discipline

Adam Herczeg, England showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Birmingham: Christoph Klarer (53’) and Phil Neumann (67’); Wolves: Marshall Munetsi (51’).

What it changes

Birmingham have scored seven goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games). Birmingham have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Wolves have scored 13 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games). Wolves have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Birmingham have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Wolves have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ladislav Krejčí (Wolves) 9.0, André (Wolves) 8.4 and Fer López (Wolves) 8.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Wolves, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Birmingham next host Swansea on 7 November 2026.

Wolves next host Charlton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Wolves: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Birmingham 2–2 Wolves · Championship
  • Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Birmingham 0 · draws 0 · Wolves 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham 1W 3D 1L · Wolves 3W 1D 1L

Birmingham 2–2 Wolves (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Adam Herczeg, England
22.45 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBirmingham for / againstLineWolves for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Adam Herczeg, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 22.45 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Beadle591456 min132.6 /9040.8 /9000 /90
R. Allsop19090 min22 /9066 /9000 /90
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890.8
2.45/4
R. Allsop n 890
2.46/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Klarer691546 min91.5 /90142.3 /9040.7 /90457.4 /9050.8 /9000 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel683500 min122.2 /9040.7 /9000 /90285 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90
P. Neumann679471 min61.1 /90183.4 /9020.4 /90356.7 /9061.1 /9000 /90
A. Cochrane672434 min112.3 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90234.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
E. Laird23569 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9033.9 /9033.9 /9000 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Solis n 882.5
1.26/3
13/2
—
C. Klarer n 890.8
1.16/2
13/2
—
Carlos Vicente n 886.1
1.36/3
2.16/6
—
B. Osayi-Samuel n 882.5
0.85/1
1.67/4
—
P. Neumann n 881.4
0.84/1
1.45/2
—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Solis n 882.5
1.57/3
C. Klarer n 890.8
1.26/4
Carlos Vicente n 886.1
1.36/2
B. Osayi-Samuel n 882.5
2.76/6
P. Neumann n 881.4
1.46/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Priske673435 min20.4 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
D. Gray636215 min20.8 /9000 /9052.1 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9041.7 /90
J. Solis691546 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9000 /9050.8 /9091.5 /90
Carlos Vicente685509 min00 /9010.2 /9050.9 /9000 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90
J. Stansfield670420 min00 /9000 /9071.5 /9030.6 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Solis n 882.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
C. Klarer n 890.8
0.22/0
00/0
Carlos Vicente n 886.1
16/2
0.32/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 882.5
0.32/0
00/0
P. Neumann n 881.4
0.63/1
0.63/1
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Solis n 882.5
0.11/0
00/0
C. Klarer n 890.8
00/0
00/0
Carlos Vicente n 886.1
00/0
0.11/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 882.5
00/0
00/0
P. Neumann n 881.4
0.42/1
00/0
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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá490360 min71.8 /9061.5 /9000 /90
D. Bentley290180 min63 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
2.86/4
D. Bentley n 890
2.66/5

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Toti Gomes586431 min00 /9010.2 /9000 /90163.3 /9020.4 /9000 /90
N. Djiga576379 min30.7 /9051.2 /9030.7 /90102.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Hugo Bueno575373 min71.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90163.9 /9030.7 /9000 /90
J. Tchatchoua473293 min41.2 /9041.2 /9000 /90144.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Y. Mosquera287174 min42.1 /9042.1 /9010.5 /90147.2 /9052.6 /9000 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mane n 876.1
0.95/1
2.28/5
—
Rodrigo Gomes n 870.9
14/2
0.64/0
—
M. Munetsi n 859.9
1.96/3
0.94/1
—
A. Armstrong n 860.8
0.73/1
0.21/0
—
R. Jiménez n 859.3
1.53/3
1.55/3
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mane n 876.1
1.34/2
Rodrigo Gomes n 870.9
1.35/2
M. Munetsi n 859.9
2.17/3
A. Armstrong n 860.8
0.42/0
R. Jiménez n 859.3
1.34/2
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong657340 min20.5 /9000 /9061.6 /9030.8 /9041.1 /9020.5 /90
R. Jiménez649294 min20.6 /9010.3 /90113.4 /9041.2 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
M. Mane672429 min00 /9000 /90112.3 /9040.8 /90132.7 /9091.9 /90
Rodrigo Gomes667400 min20.5 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9030.7 /9040.9 /9071.6 /90
M. Munetsi666393 min20.5 /9000 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mane n 876.1
2.46/6
14/2
Rodrigo Gomes n 870.9
1.78/2
0.52/1
M. Munetsi n 859.9
1.76/1
0.83/1
A. Armstrong n 860.8
1.56/2
0.74/0
R. Jiménez n 859.3
2.57/5
1.14/2
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mane n 876.1
0.11/0
00/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 870.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
M. Munetsi n 859.9
0.42/0
00/0
A. Armstrong n 860.8
0.63/0
00/0
R. Jiménez n 859.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BirminghamWolves
53%Possession47%
1.39Expected goals (xG)2.47
15Shots10
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box6
8Corners4
2Offsides2
17Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves4
340Passes316
76%Pass accuracy75%

Birmingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Cochrane9000001305.9
Paik Seung-Ho9000003207
B. Osayi-Samuel9000001306.9
P. Neumann90000021Y6.6
C. Klarer90003011Y6.3
T. Iwata9000211107
J. Beadle9000000007.9
P. Roberts8101102107
A. Priske8100000007.3
J. Stansfield8110220107.2
L. Millar6900110006.9
D. Gray sub2000000206.6
Carlos Vicente sub900000007
L. Vázquez sub900000006.2
M. Ducksch sub900110006.3
E. Laird sub10000000–

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Tchatchoua9000000005.2
Fer López9010323208
L. Krejčí9010110108.3
N. Djiga9000000007.3
Hugo Bueno9000002006.3
José Sá9000000008.2
A. Armstrong8700100005.9
André8701101707.3
R. Jiménez7600101106.9
M. Munetsi68000001Y6.5
Rodrigo Gomes6801212007.9
J. James sub2200000006.7
M. Mane sub2200000006.7
T. Doyle sub1400000006.9
S. Neave sub800000006.5
B. Traoré sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Wolves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BirminghamDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
WolvesDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Birmingham 0 · 0 draws · Wolves 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2018-04-15 Wolves 2–0 Birmingham
  • 2017-12-04 Birmingham 0–1 Wolves
League standing · 2026/27
Birmingham#3 pos26 pts14 pl+13 GD
Wolves#2 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Birmingham scored1.86
Wolves scored1.79
Birmingham conceded0.93
Wolves conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Wolves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Wolves was Draw or Away (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Wolves?
In their last 2 meetings, Birmingham won 0, Wolves won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Wolves?
Recent form — Birmingham 1W 3D 1L; Wolves 3W 1D 1L.

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