This Matchweek

BlackburnCardiff

Blackburn v Cardiff result

Full-time · Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff

Championship · · Ewood Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Blackburn · Cardiff · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff — Blackburn won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.40 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Blackburn beat Cardiff 2–1 at Ewood Park in the Championship on Saturday 10 October. Blackburn have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Blackburn led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackburn: Andri Guðjohnsen (28’) and Todd Cantwell (38’, assisted by Ryoya Morishita); Cardiff: Callum Robinson (53’, assisted by Jack Moylan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Andri Guðjohnsen’s goal on 28 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Blackburn 2.42, Cardiff 1.05, from 17 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tom Nield, England showed one yellow card — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackburn: Todd Cantwell (90+6’).

What it changes

Blackburn move up from 15th to 12th (nine league matches played). Blackburn have scored 20 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Blackburn have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff move down from 19th to 21st (nine league matches played). Cardiff have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Cardiff have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackburn are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joel Bagan (Cardiff) 8.0, Todd Cantwell (Blackburn) 7.7 and Jack Moylan (Cardiff) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Cardiff, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Blackburn next host West Ham on 7 November 2026.

Cardiff next host Burnley on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff · Championship
  • Venue: Ewood Park · Blackburn, Lancashire
  • Referee: Tom Nield, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Blackburn 4 · draws 1 · Cardiff 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Blackburn 1W 2D 2L · Cardiff 1W 1D 3L

Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.13 / 7.38
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.54 yellows
Referee · Tom Nield, England
21.38 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBlackburn for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
7.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
18.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Tom Nield, England — 2.54 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.38 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Tóth690540 min183 /9091.5 /9000 /90
A. Pears490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
3.66/5
A. Pears n 890
1.43/1

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. McLoughlin1090900 min111.1 /90131.3 /90141.4 /90505 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
R. Alebiosu985764 min101.2 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90273.2 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Tom Atcheson885678 min111.5 /9050.7 /90111.5 /90385 /9070.9 /9030.4 /90
H. Pickering680479 min71.3 /9030.6 /9061.1 /90244.5 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
Yuri Ribeiro573367 min61.5 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90153.7 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.94/3
0.95/2
Joel Bagan
R. Morishita n 886.4
0.53/1
1.27/2
—
T. Cantwell n 877.1
1.25/2
1.87/3
—
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
15/2
0.64/0
A. Robertson
O. Afolayan n 872.6
2.26/3
1.76/3
—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.94/3
R. Morishita n 886.4
0.94/1
T. Cantwell n 877.1
26/3
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
2.47/5
O. Afolayan n 872.6
1.25/2
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðjohnsen861487 min40.7 /9010.2 /9081.5 /9061.1 /9071.3 /9000 /90
J. Fevrier839310 min10.3 /9010.3 /90123.5 /9041.2 /9092.6 /9072 /90
Y. Ohashi335105 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
R. Morishita1086860 min20.2 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9060.6 /90111.2 /90151.6 /90
T. Cantwell1078775 min10.1 /9010.1 /90192.2 /90101.2 /90192.2 /9091 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.32/0
00/0
R. Morishita n 886.4
0.85/1
0.54/0
T. Cantwell n 877.1
2.28/2
1.28/0
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
O. Afolayan n 872.6
2.26/4
1.45/4
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Morishita n 886.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Cantwell n 877.1
0.11/0
00/0
Kristi Montgomery n 880.4
0.11/0
00/0
O. Afolayan n 872.6
0.63/1
0.21/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott1090900 min282.8 /90161.6 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
2.67/4

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Ng1090900 min181.8 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90535.3 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90
Joel Bagan1090899 min171.7 /9050.5 /9080.8 /90393.9 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
G. Osho889712 min101.3 /9050.6 /9081 /90344.3 /9040.5 /9000 /90
K. Bielik682493 min50.9 /9081.5 /9020.4 /90386.9 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90
R. Kpakio390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90175.7 /9062 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ng n 890
1.15/3
1.97/5
—
N. Trott n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Joel Bagan n 889.9
0.42/1
0.54/0
S. McLoughlin
A. Robertson n 889.8
17/1
15/3
Kristi Montgomery
Y. Salech n 879.1
1.46/2
0.64/0
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
1.98/4
Joel Bagan n 889.9
1.57/4
A. Robertson n 889.8
1.47/3
Y. Salech n 879.1
00/0
J. Moylan n 876.4
1.37/2
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech1081813 min50.6 /9020.2 /90262.9 /90171.9 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
C. Robinson24283 min00 /9000 /9022.2 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
A. Robertson1089888 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90181.8 /9050.5 /90
J. Moylan1072719 min40.5 /9010.1 /90212.6 /90101.3 /90101.3 /9081 /90
C. Willock1056560 min00 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90193.1 /90111.8 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
15/2
0.42/1
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 889.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Robertson n 889.8
0.86/0
0.43/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
3.38/6
27/4
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 889.9
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 889.8
00/0
00/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BlackburnCardiff
41%Possession59%
2.42Expected goals (xG)1.05
17Shots10
8Shots on target1
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots5
13Shots inside the box8
11Corners6
4Offsides1
9Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Saves5
329Passes462
73%Pass accuracy83%

Blackburn Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Tóth9000000006.2
Sam Morsy9000001407
S. McLoughlin9000200106.9
H. Carter9000100107.9
T. Cantwell90102262Y8.3
R. Alebiosu9000001206.6
H. Pickering9000001306.7
Kristi Montgomery8300002407.3
O. Afolayan7400212307.7
R. Morishita6401001106.9
A. Guðjohnsen6410110007.3
J. Fevrier sub2600110006.6
M. Baradji sub2600320006.9
A. Kargbo sub1600110006.3
J. Garrett sub1400000006.6

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Tanner9000102206.5
A. Robertson9000001407.2
G. Osho9000000106.6
P. Ng9000000106.3
J. Moylan9001102107.2
N. Trott9000000006.2
D. Lawlor7800000106.3
Joel Bagan7800001508.2
C. Robinson7110110007.2
J. Colwill7100100206.3
Cian Ashford6000000106.2
C. Willock sub3000002106.9
I. Davies sub1900100006.6
D. Turnbull sub1900000006.9
R. Kpakio sub1200000207.3
C. Scanlon sub1200000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Blackburn v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BlackburnDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CardiffLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Blackburn 4 · 1 draw · Cardiff 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-15 Blackburn 1–2 Cardiff
  • 2024-11-09 Cardiff 1–3 Blackburn
  • 2024-02-20 Cardiff 0–0 Blackburn
  • 2023-10-21 Blackburn 1–0 Cardiff
  • 2023-09-27 Blackburn 5–2 Cardiff
  • 2023-01-01 Blackburn 1–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Blackburn#14 pos18 pts14 pl-2 GD
Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Blackburn scored1.43
Cardiff scored1.57
Blackburn conceded1.57
Cardiff conceded1.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackburn v Cardiff?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackburn v Cardiff was Draw or Away (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Cardiff?
In their last 6 meetings, Blackburn won 4, Cardiff won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackburn and Cardiff?
Recent form — Blackburn 1W 2D 2L; Cardiff 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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