Burnley v Birmingham prediction

Championship · Wed, 25 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Turf Moor

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Birmingham, Championship on Wed, 25 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Burnley host Birmingham in the Championship on Wednesday 25 November (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Birmingham have conceded 13 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Burnley are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). At home, Burnley have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43. Burnley have scored 18 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Burnley have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

11 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Birmingham have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. Birmingham have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Burnley (22nd) and Birmingham (third) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 301 rating points above Burnley (Birmingham 1685, Burnley 1385, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 December 2022, finished Burnley 3–0 Birmingham.

Team news

Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, Igor, L. Pires, K. Walker, H. Ekdal, J. Laurent, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, M. Alleyne, M. Edwards, J. Vardy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four assists) and Largie Ramazani (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 802 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Largie Ramazani averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 819 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, A. Cochrane, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, J. Solis, L. Millar, P. Roberts, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (3.9 per match over 16 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1234 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1371 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 25 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · Turf Moor
Head-to-head (last 2): Burnley 1 · draws 1 · Birmingham 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Burnley 0W 3D 2L · Birmingham 4W 0D 1L

Burnley v Birmingham (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.63 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.5

Corners

against 5 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Burnley for / against	Line	Birmingham for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.25 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.63 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Coudert	7	90630 min	233.3 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
M. Weiß	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	162.3 /90	00 /90

Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 7	90	3.3 6/5
M. Weiß n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Walker	12	861035 min	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	90.8 /90	453.9 /90	60.5 /90	20.2 /90
Igor	9	88788 min	111.3 /90	101.1 /90	80.9 /90	293.3 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Pires	9	76686 min	273.5 /90	162.1 /90	10.1 /90	537 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90
Connor Roberts	7	77540 min	71.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	162.7 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
O. Sonne	7	74518 min	71.2 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90	152.6 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Laurent n 8	90	1.3 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0	—
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.5 3/1	0.7 3/2	—
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	1.5 5/3	1.2 5/2	—
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	0.3 1/0	1.2 4/0	—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	1.8 7/5
K. Walker n 8	84.4	2.3 7/4
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	1.2 6/2
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	1.6 7/4
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	1.2 2/1
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni	9	55497 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	162.9 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90
J. Vardy	7	50351 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Broja	4	38150 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90
Z. Flemming	2	84168 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	126.4 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
J. Banel	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	1 5/3	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	2.1 6/4	0.7 4/1
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	2.9 4/3	1.2 3/1
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ramazani n 8	76.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Marcus Edwards n 8	38.6	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	14	871221 min	362.7 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
R. Allsop	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	62.4 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	84.4	2.8 6/5
R. Allsop n 8	84.4	2.5 6/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Klarer	16	901446 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	110.7 /90	1388.6 /90	221.4 /90	30.2 /90
P. Neumann	16	861371 min	231.5 /90	291.9 /90	130.9 /90	936.1 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
A. Cochrane	16	801272 min	211.5 /90	80.6 /90	60.4 /90	533.8 /90	141 /90	40.3 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	16	761212 min	302.2 /90	80.6 /90	20.1 /90	755.6 /90	141 /90	50.4 /90
E. Laird	6	44262 min	62.1 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	165.5 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1 4/1	—
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.9 7/0	—
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	2.1 6/4	0.3 2/0	—
A. Cochrane n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.3 6/3	—
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	1.3 5/3	1.4 4/3	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.9 7/4
P. Neumann n 8	90	1.8 6/6
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	1.4 5/2
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.8 5/1
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	1.8 5/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Priske	13	76982 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Gray	12	28335 min	41.1 /90	00 /90	92.4 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	82.1 /90
L. Vázquez	5	47237 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ducksch	3	2266 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90
J. Stansfield	16	801286 min	20.1 /90	10.1 /90	261.8 /90	171.2 /90	110.8 /90	90.6 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	1.9 6/4	1.4 6/3
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burnley v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BurnleyDLLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

BirminghamWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Burnley 1 · 1 draw · Birmingham 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2022-12-27 Burnley 3–0 Birmingham
2022-10-19 Birmingham 1–1 Burnley

League standing · 2026/27

Burnley#22 pos10 pts14 pl-8 GD

Birmingham#3 pos26 pts14 pl+13 GD

Goals per game

Burnley scored1.29

Birmingham scored1.86

Burnley conceded1.86

Birmingham conceded0.93

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Birmingham?: In their last 2 meetings, Burnley won 1, Birmingham won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burnley and Birmingham?: Recent form — Burnley 0W 3D 2L; Birmingham 4W 0D 1L.

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