Burnley v Charlton result
Team pages: Burnley · Charlton
The model’s pre-match pick
Burnley 2–2 Charlton — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots on under 5.5.
The result
Burnley and Charlton drew 2–2 at Turf Moor in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October. Burnley have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Burnley led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Burnley: Jacob Bruun Larsen (36’, assisted by J. Laurent) and Largie Ramazani (57’, assisted by Igor); Charlton: K. Ramsay (50’, assisted by Lloyd Jones) and Ivan Mesík (90’, assisted by Harvey Knibbs).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ivan Mesík’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Charlton, from fewer shots (9 to 18), created the better chances, 2.13 xG to 1.08 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
Anthony Backhouse, England showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Burnley: Igor (66’) and Max Alleyne (90+4’); Charlton: Conor Coventry (62’).
What it changes
Burnley move up from 22nd to 20th (10 league matches played). Burnley have scored 18 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Burnley have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Charlton move down from 10th to 13th (10 league matches played). Charlton have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Charlton have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Burnley are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Charlton are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Ramsay (Charlton) 8.0, Largie Ramazani (Burnley) 6.7 and Igor (Burnley) 5.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Charlton shots on under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Burnley next travel to Cardiff on 7 November 2026.
Charlton next host Sheffield Utd on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Burnley: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Charlton: Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Burnley 2–2 Charlton · Championship
- Venue: Turf Moor · Burnley
- Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Burnley 1W 2D 2L · Charlton 0W 3D 2L
Burnley 2–2 Charlton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Burnley for / against | Line | Charlton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.43 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.57 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.38 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.43 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.1 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Burnley
Burnley Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Weiß | 7 | 90630 min | 152.1 /90 | 162.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Coudert | 2 | 90180 min | 94.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Weiß n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Burnley Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Alleyne | 9 | 83747 min | 111.3 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 232.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Walker | 7 | 90630 min | 81.1 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 71 /90 | 243.4 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Connor Roberts | 6 | 83495 min | 61.1 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 152.7 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| O. Sonne | 6 | 81487 min | 71.3 /90 | 61.1 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 142.6 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| A. Ahmedhodžić | 5 | 81405 min | 71.6 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 92 /90 | 153.3 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Alleyne n 8 | 82.1 | 0 | 0.1 | Conor Coventry |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 58 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| J. Laurent n 8 | 77.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | K. Ahearne-Grant |
| K. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 | L. Jones |
| M. Weiß n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Max Alleyne n 8 | 82.1 | 1.5 |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 58 | 0.8 |
| J. Laurent n 8 | 77.1 | 0.9 |
| K. Walker n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| J. Bruun Larsen n 8 | 62.8 | 0.5 |
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Burnley Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeki Amdouni | 9 | 55497 min | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 162.9 /90 | 81.4 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 71.3 /90 |
| D. Satpaev | 4 | 55220 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 41.6 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 41.6 /90 | 62.5 /90 |
| Z. Flemming | 2 | 84168 min | 21.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 126.4 /90 | 42.1 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| A. Broja | 2 | 51102 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.8 /90 |
| J. Laurent | 8 | 77617 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.2 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 40.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Alleyne n 8 | 82.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 58 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| J. Laurent n 8 | 77.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| K. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| M. Weiß n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Alleyne n 8 | 82.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 58 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| J. Laurent n 8 | 77.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Walker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Weiß n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Charlton
Charlton Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Okonkwo | 8 | 90720 min | 273.4 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| W. Mannion | 2 | 93185 min | 41.9 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. Brooks | 1 | 9090 min | 66 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Okonkwo n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| W. Mannion n 8 | 90.6 | 3.4 |
Charlton Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones | 11 | 89980 min | 60.6 /90 | 181.7 /90 | 141.3 /90 | 605.5 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| D. McNamara | 10 | 79787 min | 131.5 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 445 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 40.5 /90 |
| I. Mesík | 9 | 70632 min | 182.6 /90 | 91.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 385.4 /90 | 91.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| A. Bell | 8 | 83663 min | 172.3 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 405.4 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Tyler Bindon | 5 | 81405 min | 61.3 /90 | 102.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 214.7 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones n 8 | 88.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | K. Walker |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 69.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 81.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | Max Alleyne |
| K. Ahearne-Grant n 8 | 81.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | J. Laurent |
| D. McNamara n 8 | 79 | 1 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Jones n 8 | 88.1 | 0.5 |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 69.9 | 1.3 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 81.8 | 2.1 |
| K. Ahearne-Grant n 8 | 81.5 | 0.7 |
| D. McNamara n 8 | 79 | 1.6 |
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Charlton Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Leaburn | 11 | 62685 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 40.5 /90 |
| Micah Mbick | 5 | 41206 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 52.2 /90 |
| M. Godden | 2 | 65129 min | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 42.8 /90 | 21.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. Kelman | 1 | 2020 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 14.5 /90 | 14.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Conor Coventry | 10 | 84839 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones n 8 | 88.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 69.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 81.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| K. Ahearne-Grant n 8 | 81.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| D. McNamara n 8 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones n 8 | 88.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| M. Leaburn n 8 | 69.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Conor Coventry n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Ahearne-Grant n 8 | 81.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| D. McNamara n 8 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Burnley | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 1.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.13 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 11 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 376 | Passes | 432 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Burnley Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Coudert | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 |
| Max Alleyne | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| R. Hatate | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Igor | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| J. Laurent | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Lucas Pires | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Walker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| A. Ahmedhodžić | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Ramazani | 80 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| J. Bruun Larsen | 71 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| J. Vardy | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Marcus Edwards sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Broja sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Hountondji sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. Ekdal sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
Charlton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ramsay | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Billy Dawson Koumetio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Jones | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Conor Coventry | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| A. Okonkwo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| T. Campbell | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Skipp | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Bell | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. McNamara | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Leaburn | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Micah Mbick sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. Knibbs sub | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Kelman sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| I. Mesík sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| M. Alli sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Burnley v Charlton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Burnley v Charlton?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Charlton was Away shots on under 5.5.
- What is the recent form of Burnley and Charlton?
- Recent form — Burnley 1W 2D 2L; Charlton 0W 3D 2L.
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