This Matchweek

CardiffCharlton

Cardiff v Charlton result

Full-time · Cardiff 3–1 Charlton

Championship · · Cardiff City Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 3–1 Charlton — Cardiff won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.24 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff beat Charlton 3–1 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 19 September. Charlton are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cardiff led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Jack Moylan (8’, assisted by Yousef Salech; 61’, assisted by Ollie Tanner) and Yousef Salech (24’, assisted by Jack Moylan); Charlton: Tyreece Campbell (29’, assisted by Tyler Bindon).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Moylan’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cardiff 2.60, Charlton 1.26, from 27 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Elliot Bell, England showed eight yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: Alexander Robertson (27’), Ollie Tanner (33’), Joel Bagan (45+5’), Cian Ashford (90+4’) and Joel Colwill (90+6’); Charlton: Danny McNamara (35’), Oliver Skipp (51’) and Ivan Mesík (90+4’).

What it changes

Cardiff move up from 21st to 19th (eight league matches played). Cardiff have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Cardiff have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Charlton move down from fourth to eighth (eight league matches played). Charlton have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Charlton have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 8, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Moylan (Cardiff) 15.1, Yousef Salech (Cardiff) 8.7 and Tyreece Campbell (Charlton) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cardiff or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1327 of 1736).

Next up

Cardiff next host Burnley on 7 November 2026.

Charlton next host Sheffield Utd on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Charlton: Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 3–1 Charlton · Championship
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Caerdydd
  • Referee: Elliot Bell, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Cardiff 0 · draws 2 · Charlton 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 0W 2D 3L · Charlton 1W 3D 1L

Cardiff 3–1 Charlton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
7.75 / 5
Corners
against 4.5 / 7 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.38 yellows
Referee · Elliot Bell, England
21.25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineCharlton for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 7 against n 8
Shots
16.88 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
9.63 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Elliot Bell, England — 4.38 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott990810 min262.9 /90151.7 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.27/5

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Ng990810 min171.9 /9080.9 /9050.6 /90475.2 /90101.1 /9040.4 /90
Joel Bagan990809 min171.9 /9030.3 /9080.9 /90364 /9030.3 /9000 /90
G. Osho790630 min81.1 /9050.7 /9071 /90284 /9040.6 /9000 /90
K. Bielik581403 min40.9 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90316.9 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
R. Kpakio390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90175.7 /9062 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ng n 890
1.15/3
1.97/5
L. Jones
N. Trott n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
Joel Bagan n 889.9
0.42/1
0.54/0
L. Jones
A. Robertson n 888.5
0.96/1
15/3
Conor Coventry
Y. Salech n 879.1
1.77/3
0.75/0
M. Leaburn
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
1.98/4
Joel Bagan n 889.9
1.88/5
A. Robertson n 888.5
1.57/4
Y. Salech n 879.1
0.11/0
J. Moylan n 877.4
1.37/2
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech980723 min40.5 /9010.1 /90232.9 /90151.9 /9070.9 /9020.2 /90
C. Robinson24283 min00 /9000 /9022.2 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
A. Robertson989798 min00 /9000 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90141.6 /9050.6 /90
J. Moylan971637 min20.3 /9000 /90162.3 /9071 /9060.8 /9060.8 /90
C. Willock955498 min00 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90173.1 /90101.8 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.94/2
0.42/1
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 889.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Robertson n 888.5
0.86/0
0.43/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
2.87/5
1.76/3
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 889.9
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 888.5
00/0
00/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
0.32/0
00/0
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Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo690540 min203.3 /9050.8 /9000 /90
W. Mannion293185 min41.9 /9021 /9000 /90
T. Brooks19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 690
3.35/3
W. Mannion n 890.6
3.45/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Jones989800 min40.5 /90121.4 /90121.4 /90475.3 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
D. McNamara877614 min81.2 /9040.6 /9050.7 /90324.7 /9030.4 /9030.4 /90
A. Bell788618 min152.2 /90101.5 /9040.6 /90365.2 /9020.3 /9000 /90
I. Mesík772505 min173 /9081.4 /9020.4 /90335.9 /9071.2 /9000 /90
Tyler Bindon490360 min61.5 /9092.3 /9010.3 /90194.8 /9061.5 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jones n 888.1
0.42/1
0.95/2
Joel Bagan
M. Leaburn n 862.5
3.17/4
2.35/3
Y. Salech
Conor Coventry n 884.9
1.78/4
0.54/0
A. Robertson
Tyreece Campbell n 882.3
1.14/3
15/2
—
K. Ahearne-Grant n 879.5
0.64/0
0.85/1
—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 888.1
0.43/0
M. Leaburn n 862.5
1.85/4
Conor Coventry n 884.9
28/5
Tyreece Campbell n 882.3
0.84/2
K. Ahearne-Grant n 879.5
0.63/1
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Leaburn958525 min00 /9000 /9081.4 /9020.3 /9010.2 /9030.5 /90
M. Alli745313 min00 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
Micah Mbick438153 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.8 /90
M. Godden265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Conor Coventry885679 min00 /9010.1 /9010.1 /9000 /9050.7 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 888.1
0.94/2
0.64/1
M. Leaburn n 862.5
1.45/3
0.42/0
Conor Coventry n 884.9
0.11/0
00/0
Tyreece Campbell n 882.3
1.25/2
0.84/2
K. Ahearne-Grant n 879.5
1.35/3
0.75/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 888.1
0.43/0
00/0
M. Leaburn n 862.5
00/0
00/0
Conor Coventry n 884.9
00/0
0.11/0
Tyreece Campbell n 882.3
0.54/0
00/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffCharlton
62%Possession38%
2.60Expected goals (xG)1.26
27Shots6
8Shots on target3
11Shots off target1
8Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box4
6Corners1
0Offsides4
10Fouls15
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
503Passes309
82%Pass accuracy67%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000006.6
P. Ng9000102106.9
K. Bielik9000001106.6
Joel Bagan90001030Y7.9
A. Robertson90000041Y7.6
J. Colwill90003101Y7.2
Y. Salech9011321007.3
G. Osho8200000207.2
J. Moylan82215341010
O. Tanner70014130Y7.3
C. Willock6200112006.3
D. Turnbull sub2800100006.3
Cian Ashford sub20000010Y6.6
C. Scanlon sub800000006.6
D. Lawlor sub800000006.6

Charlton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Okonkwo9000000006.7
L. Jones9000001206.6
I. Mesík90000001Y6.2
O. Skipp90000006Y6.9
K. Ahearne-Grant9000101006.3
T. Campbell9010221106.8
Tyreece Campbell9010221107.3
D. McNamara83000003Y6.2
M. Leaburn8300001106.9
Conor Coventry7000000106.3
Tyler Bindon4501001006.2
M. Alli4500000106.2
A. Bell sub4500000207.3
T. Ouma sub4500000006.5
C. Kelman sub2000110006.2
S. Carey sub1300000006.7
J. Edwards sub1300000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Charlton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CharltonWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Cardiff 0 · 2 draws · Charlton 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2020-06-30 Cardiff 0–0 Charlton
  • 2019-11-23 Charlton 2–2 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD
Charlton#21 pos14 pts14 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.57
Charlton scored0.79
Cardiff conceded1.64
Charlton conceded1.57

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Charlton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Charlton was Home or Draw (best price 1.24 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Charlton?
In their last 2 meetings, Cardiff won 0, Charlton won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Charlton?
Recent form — Cardiff 0W 2D 3L; Charlton 1W 3D 1L.

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