CardiffWest Ham

Cardiff v West Ham result

Full-time · Cardiff 3–3 West Ham

Championship · · Cardiff City Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 3–3 West Ham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff and West Ham drew 3–3 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Wednesday 4 November. West Ham have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cardiff led 3–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Cardiff: Jack Moylan (11’, assisted by Alexander Robertson; 37’ pen; 39’, assisted by Joel Bagan); West Ham: Divine Mukasa (58’, assisted by Jarrod Bowen), Arne Engels (65’, assisted by Joël Piroe) and Maximilian Kilman (82’, assisted by Jarrod Bowen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Arne Engels’s goal on 67 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: West Ham out-shot Cardiff 18 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.81 xG to 1.19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — West Ham: Maximilian Kilman (23’), Soungoutou Magassa (25’) and Joël Veltman (84’).

What it changes

Cardiff stay 17th after this result (14 league matches played). Cardiff have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Cardiff have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Ham move down from seventh to eighth (14 league matches played). West Ham have scored 36 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). West Ham have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 14, across 12 matches. West Ham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Moylan (Cardiff) 14.6, Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) 10.6 and Arne Engels (West Ham) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Cardiff next host Burnley on 7 November 2026.

West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 3–3 West Ham · Championship
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Caerdydd
  • Referee: Edward Duckworth
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Cardiff 1 · draws 0 · West Ham 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 2W 1D 2L · West Ham 2W 1D 2L

Cardiff 3–3 West Ham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 7
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineWest Ham for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.75our book
2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
17.38 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 14.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Edward Duckworth.

Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott15901350 min473.1 /90211.4 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.57/5

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan15891329 min342.3 /90110.7 /90110.7 /90664.5 /90130.9 /9040.3 /90
P. Ng14901260 min282 /90151.1 /9060.4 /90866.1 /90171.2 /9050.4 /90
G. Osho1189975 min111 /9070.6 /90151.4 /90363.3 /9050.5 /9000 /90
K. Bielik783583 min71.1 /90101.5 /9040.6 /90456.9 /9060.9 /9010.2 /90
C. Scanlon755382 min40.9 /9081.9 /9000 /90204.7 /9030.7 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Trott n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Joel Bagan n 887.4
1.35/4
0.43/0
M. Kilman
A. Robertson n 887.6
0.53/1
1.56/4
M. Solomon
J. Moylan n 886
0.95/1
2.48/6
—
C. Willock n 857.9
0.42/0
14/1
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 887.4
2.67/5
A. Robertson n 887.6
1.25/2
J. Moylan n 886
1.46/3
C. Willock n 857.9
1.23/2
P. Ng n 890
2.38/5
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech1283993 min60.5 /9020.2 /90322.9 /90201.8 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
I. Davies441163 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Robinson351154 min10.6 /9000 /9031.8 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
A. Robertson15881320 min00 /9000 /9080.5 /9040.3 /90241.6 /9070.5 /90
J. Moylan15761145 min70.6 /9030.2 /90322.5 /90171.3 /90171.3 /90171.3 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 887.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Robertson n 887.6
0.54/0
0.43/0
J. Moylan n 886
2.67/4
1.66/3
C. Willock n 857.9
14/1
0.84/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 887.4
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 887.6
00/0
00/0
J. Moylan n 886
0.73/2
0.43/0
C. Willock n 857.9
00/0
0.21/0
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West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Hermansen14911269 min292.1 /90161.1 /9000 /90
F. Herrick290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 890
1.84/3

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Kilman16911449 min191.2 /9070.4 /90110.7 /90835.2 /90120.7 /9030.2 /90
K. Mavropanos13871127 min171.4 /90151.2 /9050.4 /90745.9 /90110.9 /9030.2 /90
K. Walker-Peters1368887 min171.7 /9070.7 /9060.6 /90404.1 /90141.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Veltman1056562 min152.4 /9081.3 /9040.6 /90355.6 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
Morato875600 min182.7 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90304.5 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kilman n 890
1.17/2
0.64/1
Joel Bagan
J. Bowen n 882.5
0.43/0
1.56/4
—
M. Solomon n 865.3
1.24/3
14/2
A. Robertson
V. Castellanos n 858.1
1.24/1
0.42/0
—
M. Hermansen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Kilman n 890
16/1
J. Bowen n 882.5
0.32/0
M. Solomon n 865.3
0.74/0
V. Castellanos n 858.1
0.41/1
A. Engels n 885.9
1.37/2
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Castellanos1563952 min40.4 /9030.3 /90312.9 /90151.4 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90
J. Piroe1251615 min30.4 /9010.1 /90182.6 /9091.3 /9071 /9020.3 /90
Pablo1161671 min20.3 /9020.3 /90141.9 /9070.9 /9081.1 /9050.7 /90
Edvin Austbø742297 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.8 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9051.5 /90
J. Ajala255110 min21.6 /9000 /9032.5 /9021.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kilman n 890
14/3
0.32/0
J. Bowen n 882.5
2.98/6
1.67/4
M. Solomon n 865.3
14/1
0.31/1
V. Castellanos n 858.1
3.17/4
1.75/4
M. Hermansen n 890
00/0
00/0
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Kilman n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bowen n 882.5
0.54/0
0.42/1
M. Solomon n 865.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
V. Castellanos n 858.1
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Hermansen n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffWest Ham
44%Possession56%
1.19Expected goals (xG)2.81
7Shots18
4Shots on target10
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box9
4Corners6
1Offsides1
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
7Saves1
387Passes482

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000006.7
W. Fish9000100106.2
Joel Bagan9001001206.5
A. Robertson9001002007.1
J. Moylan9030331008.2
O. Tanner9000101206.6
Y. Salech9000110006.4
P. Ng7200100106.2
C. Scanlon7200000006.4
C. Willock5600000106
R. Colwill5500000005.8
J. Colwill3500001005.9
Cian Ashford3400000106.5
D. Turnbull1800000105.9
R. Kpakio1800000005.8

West Ham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bowen9002215208.6
A. Engels9010112408
M. Kilman90101111Y6.7
K. Mavropanos9000201206.8
D. Mukasa9010113008
M. Hermansen9000000006.3
J. Veltman88000013Y6.2
M. Solomon6900200006.4
V. Castellanos4500220006.8
S. Magassa45000010Y5.6
Morato4500000206
M. Kanté4500111006
Ezra Mayers4500100106.6
J. Piroe4501211007
Edvin Austbø2100210107.2
T. Souček200110005.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v West Ham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
West HamDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Cardiff 1 · 0 draws · West Ham 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2019-03-09 Cardiff 2–0 West Ham
  • 2018-12-04 West Ham 3–1 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD
West Ham#8 pos23 pts14 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.57
West Ham scored2.57
Cardiff conceded1.64
West Ham conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v West Ham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v West Ham was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and West Ham?
In their last 2 meetings, Cardiff won 1, West Ham won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and West Ham?
Recent form — Cardiff 2W 1D 2L; West Ham 2W 1D 2L.

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