Ipswich v Birmingham result

Full-time · Ipswich 2–1 Birmingham

Championship · Mon, 06 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ipswich · Birmingham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ipswich 2–1 Birmingham — Ipswich won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Ipswich beat Birmingham 2–1 in the Championship on Monday 6 April. Ipswich have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ipswich led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: Carlos Vicente (32’); Ipswich: Ben Johnson (41’, assisted by Darnell Furlong) and Kasey McAteer (45’, assisted by George Hirst).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kasey McAteer’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ipswich 1.89, Birmingham 0.46, from 11 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Herczeg showed two yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ipswich: J. Taylor (76’); Birmingham: Demarai Gray (38’).

What it changes

Ipswich move up from third to second (39 league matches played). Ipswich have scored 80 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Ipswich have conceded 47 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham move down from 11th to 14th (41 league matches played). Birmingham have scored 57 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Birmingham have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Ipswich are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Birmingham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kasey McAteer (Ipswich) 8.2, Ben Johnson (Ipswich) 6.3 and Jacob Greaves (Ipswich) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ipswich are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Birmingham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ipswich or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Ipswich 2–1 Birmingham · Championship
Referee: A. Herczeg
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Ipswich 1 · draws 4 · Birmingham 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Ipswich 2W 3D 0L · Birmingham 1W 1D 3L

Ipswich 2–1 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 5.88

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.13

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.18 yellows

Referee · A. Herczeg

21.64 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Ipswich for / against	Line	Birmingham for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Herczeg — 3.18 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Christian Walton	29	892586 min	712.5 /90	291 /90	10 /90
Alex Palmer	12	851014 min	232 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90

Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 8	90	2.4 7/3
Alex Palmer n 8	81.8	2.6 7/3

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dara O'Shea	39	893465 min	200.5 /90	340.9 /90	391 /90	1925 /90	150.4 /90	00 /90
Leif Davis	33	852812 min	260.8 /90	270.9 /90	30.1 /90	1364.4 /90	180.6 /90	30.1 /90
Darnell Furlong	32	892837 min	331 /90	401.3 /90	70.2 /90	1384.4 /90	391.2 /90	90.3 /90
Cédric Kipré	29	872531 min	311.1 /90	311.1 /90	140.5 /90	1244.4 /90	170.6 /90	90.3 /90
Jacob Greaves	17	881497 min	181.1 /90	211.3 /90	90.5 /90	1187.1 /90	161 /90	20.1 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.9 5/2	C. Klarer
Azor Matusiwa n 8	87.5	1.3 6/4	0.8 5/1	Paik Seung-Ho
Jack Clarke n 8	73.9	1.2 5/2	3.4 7/6	J. Stansfield
Leif Davis n 8	75.9	0.1 1/0	0.9 4/2	—
Darnell Furlong n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1 4/3	C. Klarer
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0.6 5/0
Azor Matusiwa n 8	87.5	1.2 6/2
Jack Clarke n 8	73.9	1.7 6/3
Leif Davis n 8	75.9	1.5 6/3
Darnell Furlong n 8	90	0.4 3/0
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
George Hirst	32	571817 min	90.4 /90	10 /90	432.1 /90	231.1 /90	150.7 /90	80.4 /90
Ivan Azón	29	491422 min	50.3 /90	20.1 /90	412.6 /90	211.3 /90	100.6 /90	70.4 /90
Chuba Akpom	19	47901 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	141.4 /90	60.6 /90	131.3 /90	60.6 /90
S. Szmodics	13	51665 min	00 /90	00 /90	111.5 /90	70.9 /90	50.7 /90	60.8 /90
Azor Matusiwa	38	883330 min	10 /90	20.1 /90	50.1 /90	20.1 /90	270.7 /90	140.4 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0.9 3/2	0.3 2/0
Azor Matusiwa n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Jack Clarke n 8	73.9	0.9 4/2	0.8 4/1
Leif Davis n 8	75.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Darnell Furlong n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Azor Matusiwa n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Jack Clarke n 8	73.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Leif Davis n 8	75.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Darnell Furlong n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	32	902880 min	832.6 /90	391.2 /90	10 /90
R. Allsop	11	90990 min	191.7 /90	151.4 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	90	2.8 5/3
R. Allsop n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Iwata	41	873567 min	661.7 /90	381 /90	110.3 /90	1604 /90	521.3 /90	80.2 /90
C. Klarer	39	903510 min	411.1 /90	511.3 /90	210.5 /90	2847.3 /90	370.9 /90	90.2 /90
P. Neumann	27	882367 min	291.1 /90	200.8 /90	210.8 /90	1114.2 /90	281.1 /90	50.2 /90
A. Cochrane	21	791665 min	271.5 /90	191 /90	20.1 /90	804.3 /90	110.6 /90	30.2 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	18	641145 min	110.9 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90	635 /90	191.5 /90	50.4 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Iwata n 8	89.8	1.5 6/4	0.6 3/1	—
J. Stansfield n 8	64	2.3 6/4	0.4 2/0	Jack Clarke
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.5 4/0	Darnell Furlong
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	71.6	0.8 4/1	0.8 4/1	Azor Matusiwa
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	89.8	1.4 4/2
J. Stansfield n 8	64	0.7 3/1
C. Klarer n 8	90	1 5/2
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	71.6	1.7 4/2
P. Roberts n 8	59.1	1 3/2
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Ducksch	30	682036 min	110.5 /90	10 /90	512.3 /90	291.3 /90	271.2 /90	30.1 /90
K. Furuhashi	24	461108 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	342.8 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90
L. Dykes	13	34445 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90
Carlos Vicente	9	48436 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90
A. Priske	9	38345 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	82.1 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	89.8	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0
J. Stansfield n 8	64	1.2 5/2	0.5 3/0
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	71.6	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Iwata n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	64	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 8	71.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Beadle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Ipswich		Birmingham
54%	Possession	46%
1.89	Expected goals (xG)	0.46
11	Shots	9
5	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	1
2	Blocked shots	4
9	Shots inside the box	7
6	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	19
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
401	Passes	331
72%	Pass accuracy	66%

Ipswich Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Christian Walton	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Darnell Furlong	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Dara O'Shea	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.2
Jacob Greaves	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.9
Ben Johnson	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.7
Dan Neil	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
Kasey McAteer	86	1	0	4	2	1	4	0	7.9
Marcelino Núñez	75	0	0	1	0	3	3	0	7.2
Jack Clarke	75	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
George Hirst	75	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	6.6
Azor Matusiwa	39	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Anis Mehmeti sub	51	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Jaden Philogene-Bidace sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
Chuba Akpom sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Taylor sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
Cédric Kipré sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Birmingham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Beadle	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
B. Osayi-Samuel	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
P. Neumann	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
C. Klarer	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Solis	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.3
A. Priske	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6
Carlos Vicente	81	1	1	1	0	0	0	7
J. Stansfield	81	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.3
J. Panzo	56	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
D. Gray	56	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.6
Paik Seung-Ho	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
T. Iwata sub	45	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
E. Laird sub	34	0	1	0	3	0	0	6.9
I. Osman sub	34	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.9
M. Ducksch sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
P. Roberts sub	9	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

IpswichWDDWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

BirminghamLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Ipswich 1 · 4 draws · Birmingham 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2025-08-08 Birmingham 1–1 Ipswich
2024-02-24 Ipswich 3–1 Birmingham
2023-11-04 Birmingham 2–2 Ipswich
2019-04-13 Ipswich 1–1 Birmingham
2018-09-29 Birmingham 2–2 Ipswich
2018-03-31 Birmingham 1–0 Ipswich

League standing · 2025/26

Ipswich#2 pos84 pts46 pl+33 GD

Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Ipswich scored1.74

Birmingham scored1.24

Ipswich conceded1.02

Birmingham conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ipswich v Birmingham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v Birmingham was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Birmingham?: In their last 6 meetings, Ipswich won 1, Birmingham won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Birmingham?: Recent form — Ipswich 2W 3D 0L; Birmingham 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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