This Matchweek

QPRBurnley

QPR v Burnley result

Full-time · QPR 1–1 Burnley

Championship · · MATRADE Loftus Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Burnley

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 1–1 Burnley — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.95 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR and Burnley drew 1–1 at MATRADE Loftus Road in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: QPR out-shot Burnley 20 to 4 and created the better chances, 1.80 xG to 0.17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Burnley led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Burnley: Largie Ramazani (38’, assisted by Jamie Vardy); QPR: Jonathan Varane (65’, assisted by Ilias Chair).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Largie Ramazani’s goal on 39 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — QPR: Jonathan Varane (50’); Burnley: J. Laurent (2’) and Oliver Sonne (90+3’).

What it changes

QPR move down from ninth to 11th (14 league matches played). QPR have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). QPR have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burnley stay 22nd after this result (14 league matches played). Burnley have scored 18 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Burnley have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burnley are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Largie Ramazani (Burnley) 8.5, Glen Kamara (QPR) 7.8 and Jonathan Varane (QPR) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, QPR to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.

Burnley next travel to Cardiff on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Burnley: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 1–1 Burnley · Championship
  • Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road · London
  • Referee: Tom Reeves
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): QPR 1 · draws 1 · Burnley 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 2W 1D 2L · Burnley 1W 2D 2L

QPR 1–1 Burnley (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineBurnley for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Tom Reeves.

QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Charles13901170 min372.8 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 890
36/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Edwards13901170 min131 /90191.5 /9070.5 /90423.2 /9070.5 /9020.2 /90
J. Dunne12871038 min80.7 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90524.5 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
K. Adamson1170769 min172 /90141.6 /9030.4 /90313.6 /90121.4 /9020.2 /90
J. Clarke-Salter972649 min50.7 /9060.8 /9050.7 /90182.5 /9091.2 /9040.6 /90
A. Mbengue776533 min61 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90284.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Edwards n 890
0.11/0
0.64/1
K. Walker
P. Charles n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.32/0
0.52/1
K. Walker
Glen Kamara n 882.9
1.47/2
2.26/5
J. Laurent
H. Vale n 872.9
0.52/1
0.94/2
J. Laurent
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
0.94/2
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.54/0
Glen Kamara n 882.9
1.16/2
H. Vale n 872.9
2.38/5
K. Adamson n 877.4
26/5
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burrell874595 min20.3 /9010.2 /90111.7 /9060.9 /90121.8 /9040.6 /90
R. Kone852412 min40.9 /9010.2 /90143.1 /9081.7 /9081.7 /9020.4 /90
K. Saito756394 min10.2 /9000 /9071.6 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9061.4 /90
A. Lloyd554271 min10.3 /9000 /9093 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9051.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli453211 min00 /9000 /9062.6 /9052.1 /9010.4 /9031.3 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
P. Charles n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.95/2
0.42/1
Glen Kamara n 882.9
0.53/1
00/0
H. Vale n 872.9
0.83/1
0.21/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Charles n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Dunne n 884.8
0.31/1
00/0
Glen Kamara n 882.9
00/0
00/0
H. Vale n 872.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Weiß790630 min152.1 /90162.3 /9000 /90
G. Coudert690540 min193.2 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Weiß n 890
2.36/3
G. Coudert n 690
3.25/4

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Walker1186945 min171.6 /90121.1 /9090.9 /90403.8 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
Igor887698 min91.2 /90101.3 /9081 /90263.4 /9081 /9020.3 /90
Lucas Pires875596 min243.6 /90121.8 /9010.2 /90456.8 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
Connor Roberts777540 min71.2 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90162.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
O. Sonne774518 min71.2 /9061 /9010.2 /90152.6 /9061 /9010.2 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Max Alleyne n 885.4
0.53/1
0.73/2
—
J. Laurent n 890
1.36/3
1.16/2
H. Vale
K. Walker n 884.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
J. Dunne
L. Ramazani n 876.8
1.65/4
1.36/2
—
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
00/0
0.53/0
—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Max Alleyne n 885.4
1.26/2
J. Laurent n 890
1.47/4
K. Walker n 884.4
1.76/3
L. Ramazani n 876.8
1.57/3
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
0.52/1
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni955497 min30.5 /9010.2 /90162.9 /9081.4 /9050.9 /9071.3 /90
Marcus Edwards948431 min10.2 /9000 /90102.1 /9040.8 /90102.1 /9071.5 /90
J. Vardy644263 min10.3 /9000 /9062.1 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
A. Hountondji551255 min10.4 /9000 /9062.1 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9000 /90
A. Broja438150 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Max Alleyne n 885.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Laurent n 890
15/3
0.11/0
K. Walker n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Ramazani n 876.8
1.96/3
0.63/1
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
1.24/3
0.93/2
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Max Alleyne n 885.4
00/0
00/0
J. Laurent n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Walker n 884.4
00/0
00/0
L. Ramazani n 876.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRBurnley
58%Possession42%
1.80Expected goals (xG)0.17
20Shots4
5Shots on target1
9Shots off target1
6Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box1
8Corners1
3Offsides4
5Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves4
546Passes408

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Adamson9000001506.6
P. Charles9000000006.3
J. Varane90102110Y7.6
J. Dunne9000200006.6
R. Edwards9000310007
Glen Kamara9000105207.1
Dennis Cirkin8200101106.7
P. Smyth8200210006.1
H. Vale6600413107.2
K. Saito6000102006.8
R. Kone5900000006.2
Rayan Jawad Kolli3100001006.5
I. Chair3001212006.4
K. Dembélé2400102106.9
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu800100006.5
B. Kemper800000006.3

Burnley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Walker9000000406.6
L. Ramazani9010210206.8
Lucas Pires9000000306.5
J. Laurent90001004Y6.3
Igor9000000206.8
H. Ekdal9000000206.7
G. Coudert9000000007.2
J. Vardy8801101006.7
A. Hountondji7700001306.9
R. Hatate7600000306.4
Marcus Edwards5800000006.1
A. Ramsey3200000006.2
J. Cullen1400000006.2
J. Banel1300000006.5
O. Sonne2000000Y5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BurnleyWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
QPR 1 · 1 draw · Burnley 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2025-04-26 QPR 0–5 Burnley
  • 2024-10-26 Burnley 0–0 QPR
  • 2023-04-22 Burnley 1–2 QPR
  • 2022-12-11 QPR 0–3 Burnley
League standing · 2026/27
QPR#11 pos21 pts14 pl+5 GD
Burnley#22 pos10 pts14 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.57
Burnley scored1.29
QPR conceded1.21
Burnley conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Burnley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Burnley was Home win (best price 1.95 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Burnley?
In their last 4 meetings, QPR won 1, Burnley won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Burnley?
Recent form — QPR 2W 1D 2L; Burnley 1W 2D 2L.

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