QPRCardiff

QPR v Cardiff result

Full-time · QPR 2–1 Cardiff

Championship · · Loftus Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Cardiff · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 2–1 Cardiff — QPR won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR beat Cardiff 2–1 at Loftus Road in the Championship on Wednesday 2 September. Cardiff have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

QPR led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — QPR: Rumarn Burrell (36’; 53’, assisted by Ronnie Edwards); Cardiff: Perry Ng (75’, assisted by Ollie Tanner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rumarn Burrell’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 2.09, Cardiff 0.60, from 20 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Robinson showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cardiff: Ollie Tanner (47’) and Perry Ng (77’).

What it changes

QPR move up from third to second (four league matches played).

Cardiff move down from 14th to 19th (four league matches played).

QPR are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Cardiff are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rumarn Burrell (QPR) 9.5, Perry Ng (Cardiff) 8.8 and Gabriel Osho (Cardiff) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.

Cardiff next host Burnley on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 2–1 Cardiff · Championship
  • Venue: Loftus Road · London
  • Referee: T. Robinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 3 · draws 2 · Cardiff 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 2W 2D 1L · Cardiff 1W 3D 1L

QPR 2–1 Cardiff (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.86 / 7.13
Corners
against 4.57 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.29 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 4.71 / 5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.71 / 2 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
7.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
14.86 for · 12.14 against n 7
19.5standard
17.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.29 for · 4.71 against n 7
8.5standard
6.13 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 8.29 against n 7
21.5standard
9.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: T. Robinson.

QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Charles390270 min62 /9020.7 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 390
21/1

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Clarke-Salter390270 min20.7 /9031 /9031 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
J. Dunne390270 min31 /9051.7 /9000 /90165.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
A. Mbengue372216 min10.4 /9041.7 /9000 /90114.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90
K. Adamson266132 min21.4 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9064.1 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Dennis Cirkin23773 min56.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /901012.3 /9011.2 /9000 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Dunne n 890
1.17/1
0.54/0
Joel Bagan
R. Edwards n 890
0.94/1
0.11/0
Joel Bagan
I. Chair n 857.3
0.83/1
0.83/1
—
J. Clarke-Salter n 876.1
0.64/0
0.31/1
—
P. Charles n 390
00/0
0.71/1
—
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Chair n 857.3
1.44/1
R. Edwards n 890
1.35/3
J. Clarke-Salter n 876.1
1.25/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
A. Mbengue n 871.4
1.35/2
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burrell364192 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9073.3 /9020.9 /90
R. Kone260119 min00 /9000 /9043 /9043 /9043 /9000 /90
A. Lloyd22549 min00 /9000 /9047.3 /9011.8 /9000 /9011.8 /90
I. Chair390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9051.7 /9082.7 /9000 /90
R. Edwards390270 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Chair n 857.3
25/2
12/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
R. Edwards n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
J. Clarke-Salter n 876.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Charles n 390
00/0
00/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Chair n 857.3
0.41/1
0.21/0
J. Dunne n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Edwards n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Charles n 390
00/0
00/0
J. Clarke-Salter n 876.1
00/0
00/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott590450 min142.8 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.46/4

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan590450 min102 /9010.2 /9051 /90224.4 /9020.4 /9000 /90
P. Ng590450 min71.4 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90224.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
G. Osho390270 min31 /9000 /9031 /90103.3 /9031 /9000 /90
R. Kpakio390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90175.7 /9062 /9000 /90
C. Scanlon285170 min10.5 /9031.6 /9000 /9073.7 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ng n 890
1.36/3
1.15/3
—
Joel Bagan n 878.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
R. Edwards
N. Trott n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Robertson n 871.3
0.64/0
1.96/5
—
Y. Salech n 874.1
1.76/3
0.32/0
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.1
2.28/6
P. Ng n 890
1.88/4
A. Robertson n 871.3
1.77/3
Y. Salech n 874.1
0.53/0
Cian Ashford n 875.8
0.95/1
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech576378 min41 /9010.2 /90133.1 /9071.7 /9041 /9010.2 /90
C. Robinson16868 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9011.3 /90
A. Robertson588440 min00 /9000 /9030.6 /9000 /9061.2 /9030.6 /90
Cian Ashford567336 min20.5 /9020.5 /9071.9 /9041.1 /9071.9 /9051.3 /90
J. Moylan557287 min20.6 /9000 /9092.8 /9041.3 /9030.9 /9041.3 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
Joel Bagan n 878.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 871.3
0.64/0
0.21/0
Y. Salech n 874.1
2.77/5
1.45/2
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ng n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
Joel Bagan n 878.1
00/0
00/0
A. Robertson n 871.3
00/0
00/0
Y. Salech n 874.1
0.84/1
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRCardiff
37%Possession63%
2.09Expected goals (xG)0.60
20Shots9
4Shots on target3
9Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
17Shots inside the box5
3Corners4
2Offsides0
10Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
342Passes583
79%Pass accuracy88%

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Charles9000000007
J. Dunne9000100107
R. Edwards9001001006.9
H. Vale9000303307
K. Saito9000104106.9
R. Burrell9020423008.9
A. Lloyd8100210007.3
A. Mbengue7200000006.9
T. Lamptey7200111307.3
Glen Kamara7200002107
N. Madsen7100001107.2
J. Varane sub1900000106.9
J. Clarke-Salter sub1800000006.5
Dennis Cirkin sub1800000106.7
K. Adamson sub1800000106.3
I. Chair sub900100006.3

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000006.6
P. Ng90103213Y7.9
G. Osho9000000307.9
Joel Bagan9000000107.2
R. Colwill9000001006.3
Y. Salech9000110006.2
A. Robertson8900001206.6
O. Tanner89010041Y6.2
J. Moylan8000100107
C. Scanlon4500000106.7
Cian Ashford4500100006.2
K. Bielik sub4500000006.5
C. Willock sub4500001006.6
J. Colwill sub1000100006.5
I. Davies sub10000000–
C. Robinson sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRLDWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
CardiffWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 3 · 2 draws · Cardiff 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-04-05 QPR 0–0 Cardiff
  • 2024-11-27 Cardiff 0–2 QPR
  • 2024-01-01 QPR 1–2 Cardiff
  • 2023-08-12 Cardiff 1–2 QPR
  • 2022-12-26 Cardiff 0–0 QPR
  • 2022-10-19 QPR 3–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
QPR#11 pos21 pts14 pl+5 GD
Cardiff#18 pos15 pts14 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.57
Cardiff scored1.57
QPR conceded1.21
Cardiff conceded1.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Cardiff?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Cardiff was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Cardiff?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 3, Cardiff won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Cardiff?
Recent form — QPR 2W 2D 1L; Cardiff 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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