QPR v Swansea result
Team pages: QPR · Swansea · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
QPR 1–2 Swansea — Swansea won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Swansea won 2–1 at QPR in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April. Swansea have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Swansea led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Swansea: Ronald (2’) and Žan Vipotnik (80’ pen); QPR: Rhys Norrington-Davies (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ronald’s goal on 2 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 1.55, Swansea 2.61, from 12 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
L. Doughty showed four yellow cards — against 6.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: Kieran Morgan (23’), Kealey Adamson (55’) and Rhys Norrington-Davies (60’); Swansea: Ronald (90+2’).
What it changes
QPR move down from 11th to 12th (44 league matches played).
Swansea move up from 14th to 10th (44 league matches played).
QPR are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ronald (Swansea) 9.0, Rhys Norrington-Davies (QPR) 6.7 and Žan Vipotnik (Swansea) 5.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, QPR or Swansea (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.
Swansea next travel to Birmingham on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Swansea: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: QPR 1–2 Swansea · Championship
- Referee: L. Doughty
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 2 · draws 2 · Swansea 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: QPR 2W 2D 1L · Swansea 1W 2D 2L
QPR 1–2 Swansea (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | QPR for / against | Line | Swansea for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: L. Doughty — 6.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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QPR
QPR Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh | 21 | 901890 min | 562.7 /90 | 371.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Nardi | 17 | 891511 min | 442.6 /90 | 251.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| B. Hamer | 7 | 80559 min | 111.8 /90 | 61 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
| P. Nardi n 8 | 87.6 | 2.4 |
QPR Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dunne | 39 | 893482 min | 491.3 /90 | 330.9 /90 | 270.7 /90 | 2586.7 /90 | 340.9 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| A. Mbengue | 38 | 792984 min | 652 /90 | 300.9 /90 | 210.6 /90 | 1755.3 /90 | 501.5 /90 | 130.4 /90 |
| R. Norrington-Davies | 35 | 772707 min | 642.1 /90 | 240.8 /90 | 100.3 /90 | 1715.7 /90 | 311 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| S. Cook | 26 | 792064 min | 150.7 /90 | 231 /90 | 200.9 /90 | 1175.1 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| R. Edwards | 14 | 901260 min | 161.1 /90 | 221.6 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 483.4 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 80.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 74.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 81.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | J. Tymon |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0.6 |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 80.1 | 2 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 74.4 | 1.8 |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 81.3 | 1.7 |
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QPR Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone | 41 | 793235 min | 90.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 581.6 /90 | 310.9 /90 | 351 /90 | 230.6 /90 |
| R. Burrell | 29 | 671956 min | 100.5 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 341.6 /90 | 221 /90 | 211 /90 | 150.7 /90 |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli | 20 | 521047 min | 60.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 201.7 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| D. Bennie | 12 | 46556 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.6 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 61 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| M. Frey | 7 | 39273 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 1 | 0.9 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 80.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 74.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 81.3 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 80.1 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 74.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 81.3 | 0 | 0 |
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Swansea
Swansea Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux | 43 | 903870 min | 1333.1 /90 | 561.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
Swansea Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burgess | 46 | 904140 min | 410.9 /90 | 591.3 /90 | 521.1 /90 | 2415.2 /90 | 140.3 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
| J. Tymon | 45 | 873906 min | 521.2 /90 | 491.1 /90 | 60.1 /90 | 1192.7 /90 | 200.5 /90 | 90.2 /90 |
| B. Cabango | 42 | 903765 min | 731.7 /90 | 481.1 /90 | 320.8 /90 | 2425.8 /90 | 240.6 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
| E. Galbraith | 42 | 803378 min | 651.7 /90 | 471.3 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 1854.9 /90 | 320.9 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| J. Key | 27 | 772090 min | 361.6 /90 | 200.9 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 813.5 /90 | 231 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burgess n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Tymon n 8 | 87.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | R. Norrington-Davies |
| Gonçalo Franco n 8 | 69.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | — |
| Ronald n 8 | 59.6 | 1.5 | 2.6 | — |
| L. Vigouroux n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Burgess n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| J. Tymon n 8 | 87.3 | 1.4 |
| Gonçalo Franco n 8 | 69.4 | 3.2 |
| Ronald n 8 | 59.6 | 2.3 |
| B. Cabango n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
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Swansea Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Vipotnik | 42 | 692880 min | 210.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 601.9 /90 | 321 /90 | 280.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| L. Cullen | 31 | 511575 min | 40.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 251.4 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Z. Inoussa | 26 | 461197 min | 00 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 171.3 /90 | 302.3 /90 |
| A. Idah | 18 | 45801 min | 30.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 131.5 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| Gustavo Gomes | 12 | 47559 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 121.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burgess n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Tymon n 8 | 87.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Gonçalo Franco n 8 | 69.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Ronald n 8 | 59.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Vigouroux n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burgess n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Tymon n 8 | 87.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Gonçalo Franco n 8 | 69.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronald n 8 | 59.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
| L. Vigouroux n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| QPR | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Possession | 51% |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.61 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 8 | Saves | 4 |
| 523 | Passes | 560 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
QPR Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| K. Adamson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 5.9 |
| R. Edwards | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| R. Norrington-Davies | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7.7 |
| H. Vale | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Kieran Morgan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| R. Burrell | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Cook | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| I. Hayden | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Poku | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| P. Smyth sub | 61 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| I. Chair sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Smith sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Madsen sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Kone sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Swansea Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| B. Cabango | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Burgess | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Tymon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Fulton | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ronald | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Y | 8.2 |
| M. Widell | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Sam Parker | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| L. Walta | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Gonçalo Franco | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Idah | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Eom Ji-Sung sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Z. Vipotnik sub | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Yalcouyé sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Ward sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Cullen sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind QPR v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-22 Swansea 0–1 QPR
- 2025-04-21 QPR 1–2 Swansea
- 2024-12-26 Swansea 3–0 QPR
- 2024-04-01 Swansea 0–1 QPR
- 2023-09-19 QPR 1–1 Swansea
- 2023-01-21 QPR 1–1 Swansea
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for QPR v Swansea?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Swansea was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Swansea?
- In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 2, Swansea won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of QPR and Swansea?
- Recent form — QPR 2W 2D 1L; Swansea 1W 2D 2L.
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