QPRSwansea

QPR v Swansea result

Full-time · QPR 1–2 Swansea

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 1–2 Swansea — Swansea won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swansea won 2–1 at QPR in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April. Swansea have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Swansea led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Swansea: Ronald (2’) and Žan Vipotnik (80’ pen); QPR: Rhys Norrington-Davies (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ronald’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 1.55, Swansea 2.61, from 12 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Doughty showed four yellow cards — against 6.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: Kieran Morgan (23’), Kealey Adamson (55’) and Rhys Norrington-Davies (60’); Swansea: Ronald (90+2’).

What it changes

QPR move down from 11th to 12th (44 league matches played).

Swansea move up from 14th to 10th (44 league matches played).

QPR are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ronald (Swansea) 9.0, Rhys Norrington-Davies (QPR) 6.7 and Žan Vipotnik (Swansea) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, QPR or Swansea (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.

Swansea next travel to Birmingham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Swansea: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 1–2 Swansea · Championship
  • Referee: L. Doughty
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 2 · draws 2 · Swansea 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 2W 2D 1L · Swansea 1W 2D 2L

QPR 1–2 Swansea (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.88 / 7.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.29 yellows
Referee · L. Doughty
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineSwansea for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: L. Doughty — 6.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Walsh21901890 min562.7 /90371.8 /9000 /90
P. Nardi17891511 min442.6 /90251.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Hamer780559 min111.8 /9061 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Walsh n 890
3.26/3
P. Nardi n 887.6
2.45/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dunne39893482 min491.3 /90330.9 /90270.7 /902586.7 /90340.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Mbengue38792984 min652 /90300.9 /90210.6 /901755.3 /90501.5 /90130.4 /90
R. Norrington-Davies35772707 min642.1 /90240.8 /90100.3 /901715.7 /90311 /9080.3 /90
S. Cook26792064 min150.7 /90231 /90200.9 /901175.1 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
R. Edwards14901260 min161.1 /90221.6 /9090.6 /90483.4 /90100.7 /9020.1 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kone n 887.4
2.17/6
0.85/1
—
J. Dunne n 890
16/1
0.54/0
—
A. Mbengue n 880.1
1.86/5
0.74/1
—
N. Madsen n 874.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
—
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.3
1.16/2
0.84/2
J. Tymon
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Kone n 887.4
0.63/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
A. Mbengue n 880.1
26/5
N. Madsen n 874.4
1.86/4
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.3
1.75/4
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kone41793235 min90.3 /9020.1 /90581.6 /90310.9 /90351 /90230.6 /90
R. Burrell29671956 min100.5 /9030.1 /90341.6 /90221 /90211 /90150.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli20521047 min60.5 /9000 /90201.7 /90100.9 /9030.3 /9050.4 /90
D. Bennie1246556 min10.2 /9000 /90101.6 /9071.1 /9061 /9010.2 /90
M. Frey739273 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kone n 887.4
15/2
0.94/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Mbengue n 880.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
N. Madsen n 874.4
1.15/2
0.84/1
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.3
00/0
00/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kone n 887.4
0.31/1
00/0
J. Dunne n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Mbengue n 880.1
00/0
00/0
N. Madsen n 874.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
R. Norrington-Davies n 881.3
00/0
00/0
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Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Vigouroux43903870 min1333.1 /90561.3 /9000 /90
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 890
2.85/5

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Burgess46904140 min410.9 /90591.3 /90521.1 /902415.2 /90140.3 /9080.2 /90
J. Tymon45873906 min521.2 /90491.1 /9060.1 /901192.7 /90200.5 /9090.2 /90
B. Cabango42903765 min731.7 /90481.1 /90320.8 /902425.8 /90240.6 /9080.2 /90
E. Galbraith42803378 min651.7 /90471.3 /9070.2 /901854.9 /90320.9 /9070.2 /90
J. Key27772090 min361.6 /90200.9 /9070.3 /90813.5 /90231 /9040.2 /90
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Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Burgess n 890
0.11/0
0.64/1
—
J. Tymon n 887.3
0.53/1
0.42/1
R. Norrington-Davies
Gonçalo Franco n 869.4
1.36/1
2.37/4
—
Ronald n 859.6
1.54/2
2.66/5
—
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Burgess n 890
0.84/1
J. Tymon n 887.3
1.45/4
Gonçalo Franco n 869.4
3.27/6
Ronald n 859.6
2.37/4
B. Cabango n 890
1.35/3
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Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Z. Vipotnik42692880 min210.7 /9030.1 /90601.9 /90321 /90280.9 /9050.2 /90
L. Cullen31511575 min40.2 /9000 /90251.4 /90140.8 /90150.9 /9020.1 /90
Z. Inoussa26461197 min00 /9020.2 /90120.9 /9060.5 /90171.3 /90302.3 /90
A. Idah1845801 min30.3 /9020.2 /90101.1 /9060.7 /90131.5 /9040.4 /90
Gustavo Gomes1247559 min00 /9010.2 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9040.6 /90121.9 /90
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Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Burgess n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 887.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
Gonçalo Franco n 869.4
0.85/0
0.32/0
Ronald n 859.6
0.42/0
00/0
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
00/0
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Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Burgess n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 887.3
00/0
0.32/0
Gonçalo Franco n 869.4
00/0
00/0
Ronald n 859.6
00/0
0.21/0
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRSwansea
49%Possession51%
1.55Expected goals (xG)2.61
12Shots17
5Shots on target11
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box7
4Corners5
2Offsides2
11Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
8Saves4
523Passes560
83%Pass accuracy85%

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walsh9000000007.5
K. Adamson90000023Y5.9
R. Edwards9000001307.5
R. Norrington-Davies90101104Y7.7
H. Vale9000210106.7
Kieran Morgan90001011Y6.5
R. Burrell6200001106.2
S. Cook6100000105.9
I. Hayden6100110106.7
Rayan Jawad Kolli6000101006.2
K. Poku2900000106.2
P. Smyth sub6100320007
I. Chair sub3000001006.9
T. Smith sub2900000006.2
N. Madsen sub2900001006.3
R. Kone sub2800002006.5

Swansea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Vigouroux9000000007.3
B. Cabango9000001107
C. Burgess9000000007.3
J. Tymon9000111206.7
J. Fulton9000000106.3
Ronald90101124Y8.2
M. Widell7600110107.2
Sam Parker7300212207
L. Walta6700223206.9
Gonçalo Franco6600111106.9
A. Idah6600220006.2
Eom Ji-Sung sub2400002107.9
Z. Vipotnik sub2410210007
M. Yalcouyé sub2300000106.7
J. Ward sub1700000006.5
L. Cullen sub1400110106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRWWDDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
SwanseaLDDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 2 · 2 draws · Swansea 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-22 Swansea 0–1 QPR
  • 2025-04-21 QPR 1–2 Swansea
  • 2024-12-26 Swansea 3–0 QPR
  • 2024-04-01 Swansea 0–1 QPR
  • 2023-09-19 QPR 1–1 Swansea
  • 2023-01-21 QPR 1–1 Swansea
League standing · 2025/26
QPR#15 pos58 pts46 pl-12 GD
Swansea#11 pos64 pts46 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.33
Swansea scored1.24
QPR conceded1.59
Swansea conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Swansea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Swansea was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Swansea?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 2, Swansea won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Swansea?
Recent form — QPR 2W 2D 1L; Swansea 1W 2D 2L.

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