This Matchweek

SouthamptonBolton

Southampton v Bolton result

Full-time · Southampton 0–0 Bolton

Championship · · St. Mary's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · Bolton

The model’s pre-match pick

Southampton 0–0 Bolton — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.52 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton and Bolton drew 0–0 at St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 17 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Southampton created the better chances, 2.19 xG to 1.53 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Matt Donohue, England showed six yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Southampton: Cameron Bragg (59’) and Kuryu Matsuki (85’); Bolton: Akinlolu Famewo (44’), Lewis Brunt (76’), Thelonius Bair (83’) and Luca Stephenson (88’).

What it changes

Southampton have scored 29 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Southampton have conceded 14 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Bolton have scored 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bolton have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

It was the only goalless draw of round 11, across 12 matches. Southampton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Peretz (Southampton) 4.3, Gavin Bazunu (Bolton) 4.3 and Keven Schlotterbeck (Southampton) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Southampton to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 279).

Next up

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Bolton next travel to Derby on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bolton: Derby v Bolton, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southampton 0–0 Bolton · Championship
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton
  • Referee: Matt Donohue, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Southampton 4W 0D 1L · Bolton 3W 0D 2L

Southampton 0–0 Bolton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.63 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Matt Donohue, England
21.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSouthampton for / againstLineBolton for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5our book
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Matt Donohue, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz12911086 min363 /90141.2 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
3.17/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
James Bree12871040 min141.2 /90111 /9060.5 /90332.9 /9080.7 /9020.2 /90
Ryan Manning1086859 min30.3 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90282.9 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90
K. Schlotterbeck890717 min81 /90121.5 /90111.4 /90425.3 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Stephens791636 min50.7 /9050.7 /9091.3 /90202.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Nathan Wood790630 min111.6 /9050.7 /9060.9 /90365.1 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
James Bree n 884.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
—
Finn Azaz n 888.3
0.32/0
1.14/3
T. Gale
F. Downes n 870.3
13/3
1.35/3
—
K. Matsuki n 864.1
1.45/2
1.47/1
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Bree n 884.3
1.25/3
Finn Azaz n 888.3
0.85/1
F. Downes n 870.3
2.78/4
K. Matsuki n 864.1
1.24/2
Leo Scienza n 866.4
1.46/2
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cyle Larin1166724 min81 /9000 /90313.9 /90151.9 /9070.9 /9070.9 /90
D. Mubama536179 min00 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
L. Dobbin473293 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.5 /90
B. Brereton16262 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Cameron Archer12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 884.3
0.53/1
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 888.3
15/3
0.64/1
F. Downes n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
K. Matsuki n 864.1
1.44/4
1.14/2
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
James Bree n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 888.3
0.43/0
0.53/1
F. Downes n 870.3
00/0
0.21/0
K. Matsuki n 864.1
0.42/0
00/0
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Bolton

Bolton Goalkeeper

Bolton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bonham691547 min172.8 /90101.6 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu590450 min193.8 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Bolton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bonham n 890.9
2.75/2
Gavin Bazunu n 590
3.84/2

Bolton Defensive

Bolton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gaizka Larrazabal1072721 min60.7 /90182.2 /9000 /90222.7 /90121.5 /9020.2 /90
M. Conway975672 min222.9 /90111.5 /9060.8 /90537.1 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
C. Forino-Joseph788616 min182.6 /90142 /9081.2 /90527.6 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
B. Davies780563 min40.6 /9061 /9010.2 /90264.2 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
A. Famewo777539 min122 /9061 /9030.5 /90416.8 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
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Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.14/3
1.67/3
—
S. Dalby n 871.5
1.36/1
0.83/1
—
T. Gale n 866.8
0.73/1
0.52/1
Finn Azaz
Gaizka Larrazabal n 873
1.45/3
0.84/1
—
S. Iling-Junior n 855
1.44/2
0.63/0
—
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Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.36/2
S. Dalby n 871.5
1.14/2
T. Gale n 866.8
14/2
Gaizka Larrazabal n 873
0.83/1
S. Iling-Junior n 855
1.25/1
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Bolton Attacking

Bolton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Dalby1177849 min40.4 /9000 /90171.8 /9070.7 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
J. Nelson522112 min00 /9000 /9064.8 /9032.4 /9032.4 /9043.2 /90
R. Hardie42391 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
Thelonius Bair347141 min00 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /90
J. Sheehan1190993 min10.1 /9000 /90141.3 /9070.6 /90151.4 /9040.4 /90
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Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.37/3
0.85/1
S. Dalby n 871.5
2.27/2
0.85/0
T. Gale n 866.8
1.35/3
0.74/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 873
0.84/1
0.31/1
S. Iling-Junior n 855
1.64/3
14/1
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Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Dalby n 871.5
0.53/0
00/0
T. Gale n 866.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 873
0.21/0
0.32/0
S. Iling-Junior n 855
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthamptonBolton
63%Possession37%
2.19Expected goals (xG)1.53
14Shots14
2Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
5Blocked shots7
11Shots inside the box9
5Corners3
10Offsides0
8Fouls9
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves2
609Passes368
87%Pass accuracy73%

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000007.7
Finn Azaz9000001107
James Bree9000102007.2
K. Schlotterbeck9000100107.9
Leo Scienza9000211007.2
J. Stephens9000000007.6
J. Ward-Prowse9000002107.2
Cameron Bragg73000001Y6.9
Welington7200101106.9
Tom Fellows4500000106.7
Cyle Larin4100000006.5
L. Dobbin sub4900200005.9
K. Matsuki sub45001010Y6.3
Ryan Manning sub1800002107
Samuel Edozie sub1700111007.3

Bolton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Toal9000100107.2
Luca Stephenson90000001Y7.2
J. Sheehan9000110108
A. Famewo90000010Y6.7
L. Brunt90000002Y8.2
Gavin Bazunu9000000007.2
Gaizka Larrazabal8700004007.5
S. Dalby7300111006.3
X. Simons6100000106.9
T. Gale6100210006.7
A. Ito4500000106.7
Ruben Rodrigues sub4500004107
K. Dong sub2900000106.6
E. Erhahon sub2900001006.9
Thelonius Bair sub17002010Y6.2
S. Iling-Junior sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthamptonWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BoltonLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Southampton#7 pos24 pts14 pl+15 GD
Bolton#17 pos17 pts14 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Southampton scored2.07
Bolton scored1.36
Southampton conceded1
Bolton conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southampton v Bolton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Bolton was Home win (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Southampton and Bolton?
Recent form — Southampton 4W 0D 1L; Bolton 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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