WrexhamMiddlesbrough

Wrexham v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough

Championship · · Racecourse Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wrexham · Middlesbrough

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough — Wrexham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham beat Middlesbrough 2–0 at Racecourse Ground in the Championship on Wednesday 4 November.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Wrexham: George Thomason (70’, assisted by Kieffer Moore) and Oliver Rathbone (84’, assisted by L. O'Brien).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wrexham 1.51, Middlesbrough 0.95, from 15 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Wrexham: George Dobson (62’).

What it changes

Wrexham have scored 17 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wrexham have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough have scored 30 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Middlesbrough have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 8.2, George Thomason (Wrexham) 7.3 and Callum Doyle (Wrexham) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Wrexham, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Wrexham next host Wolves on 7 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough · Championship
  • Venue: Racecourse Ground · Wrexham
  • Referee: Oliver Langford
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Wrexham 0 · draws 2 · Middlesbrough 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wrexham 1W 1D 3L · Middlesbrough 4W 1D 0L

Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 7.75
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWrexham for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3our book
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
21.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
7.75 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Oliver Langford.

Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Patterson13901170 min322.5 /90181.4 /9000 /90
D. Ward19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Patterson n 890
2.66/5
D. Ward n 889.9
2.57/3

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Hyam14811136 min141.1 /90121 /9080.6 /90514 /90151.2 /9050.4 /90
C. Doyle13901170 min241.8 /90211.6 /9080.6 /90775.9 /90100.8 /9030.2 /90
Z. Vyner986773 min121.4 /9080.9 /9040.5 /90283.3 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
J. Worrall585427 min71.5 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90224.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
M. Cleworth464255 min31.1 /9062.1 /9010.4 /90124.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hyam n 874.5
1.55/4
0.84/1
—
K. Moore n 872
1.16/1
2.58/5
—
S. Smith n 848.1
1.24/1
1.64/2
—
C. Doyle n 890
0.84/2
0.54/0
A. Malanda
A. Patterson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Hyam n 874.5
1.26/2
K. Moore n 872
0.84/1
S. Smith n 848.1
0.21/0
C. Doyle n 890
2.17/7
B. Whiteman n 886.8
1.36/4
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Moore1465908 min50.5 /9010.1 /90272.7 /90141.4 /90111.1 /90131.3 /90
S. Smith1443602 min10.1 /9000 /90142.1 /9060.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
C. O'Hare882654 min00 /9000 /90131.8 /9040.6 /9081.1 /9071 /90
J. Windass643260 min00 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9010.3 /90
N. Broadhead474296 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9072.1 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Hyam n 874.5
0.32/0
00/0
K. Moore n 872
2.87/6
1.36/1
S. Smith n 848.1
1.95/3
0.72/1
C. Doyle n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Patterson n 890
00/0
00/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Hyam n 874.5
00/0
00/0
K. Moore n 872
0.53/0
0.21/0
S. Smith n 848.1
0.21/0
00/0
A. Patterson n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Doyle n 890
00/0
00/0
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek13901170 min262 /90171.3 /9000 /90
S. Brynn390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 890
1.95/2
S. Brynn n 890
2.35/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brittain16861383 min312 /90130.8 /9040.3 /90795.1 /90140.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Malanda14891247 min161.2 /90110.8 /9060.4 /90715.1 /9090.6 /9020.1 /90
Neto Borges14801116 min151.2 /9080.6 /9060.5 /90504 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
L. Ayling1376983 min171.6 /90141.3 /9050.5 /90544.9 /9060.5 /9000 /90
A. Phillips1171777 min111.3 /9060.7 /9050.6 /90424.9 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brittain n 890
0.32/0
0.42/1
—
W. Lankshear n 880
1.15/2
1.46/3
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.6
14/2
1.25/2
—
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.64/1
0.42/1
C. Doyle
A. Morris n 890
15/2
1.66/4
—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brittain n 890
2.67/5
W. Lankshear n 880
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.6
2.36/3
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.83/3
A. Morris n 890
3.68/6
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear16731169 min151.2 /9000 /90423.2 /90282.2 /90131 /9020.2 /90
K. Joseph1049485 min10.2 /9000 /90122.2 /9071.3 /9071.3 /9050.9 /90
J. Sarmiento850401 min20.4 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9051.1 /9071.6 /90
D. Strelec16767 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9022.7 /9011.3 /90
Sebastian Berhalter15701050 min30.3 /9030.3 /90201.7 /9080.7 /90393.3 /9010.1 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brittain n 890
0.53/1
0.42/1
W. Lankshear n 880
3.47/7
2.47/5
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.6
2.36/3
14/2
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.83/2
0.32/0
A. Morris n 890
1.46/4
0.95/2
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brittain n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
W. Lankshear n 880
1.16/2
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 864.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
A. Malanda n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
A. Morris n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WrexhamMiddlesbrough
38%Possession62%
1.51Expected goals (xG)0.95
15Shots12
4Shots on target2
7Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box9
3Corners2
1Offsides3
9Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves2
385Passes649

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000006.4
M. Cleworth9000110106.8
J. Worrall9000000106.9
C. Doyle9000100506.7
B. Whiteman9000200106.9
I. Kaboré9000000206.4
L. O'Brien9001104207.6
J. Ekomié9000001406.4
K. Moore9001514007.7
G. Dobson83000004Y6.4
G. Thomason7710312208.2
O. Rathbone1310210007.4
B. Sheaf700000006.5

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Phillips9000000106.3
C. Brittain9000210106.4
A. Cozier-Duberry9000203006.7
A. Malanda9000110006.6
A. Morris9000000207
R. Vítek9000000006.2
T. Conway7700101006.3
Neto Borges7200000206.1
L. Ayling6000000106.7
Sebastian Berhalter6000003006.6
K. Joseph6000200006.4
Maximilian Arfsten3000101106.9
R. McGree3000100006
M. Peart-Harris3000001106.1
D. Strelec1800001006.5
J. Sarmiento1300200006.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WrexhamDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Wrexham 0 · 2 draws · Middlesbrough 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-07 Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham
  • 2026-05-02 Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-10-25 Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham
League standing · 2026/27
Wrexham#16 pos17 pts14 pl-2 GD
Middlesbrough#1 pos28 pts14 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Wrexham scored1.21
Middlesbrough scored2.14
Wrexham conceded1.36
Middlesbrough conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Middlesbrough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Middlesbrough was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Middlesbrough?
In their last 3 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Middlesbrough won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — Wrexham 1W 1D 3L; Middlesbrough 4W 1D 0L.

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